Introduction:
Bitcoin started the second week of January 2026 at $90,605, marking a 28% decline from its October peak of $126,198. While the "Moon Boy" hype of 2025 has faded, the institutional infrastructure has never been stronger.
1. The $68,000 Prediction
Financial analysts are sounding the alarm, suggesting a test of the 200-week EMA at $68,000. However, this isn't a "death spiral." In 2026, a 25% correction is considered "standard volatility" compared to the 80% crashes of previous cycles.
2. Institutional Buy Walls
Despite the bearish charts, Morgan Stanley just filed for its own Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana ETFs. The "Smart Money" isn't selling; they are creating new vehicles to buy the dip. The London Stock Exchange (LSE) volume also remains steady, showing that European demand is absorbing the retail panic.
3. Altcoin Rotation
While $BTC struggles, the Altcoin Season Index has climbed to 42. Projects like Solana ($SOL) are up 5.4% on the week, showing that investors are moving capital into high-utility networks rather than just sitting in cash.
Conclusion:
The "Neutral" sentiment dominating early 2026 is a reset. Whether we hit $68K or bounce to $100K, the long-term fundamentals—driven by ETFs and compliance—remain unchanged.
Is this the "Last Dip" before the six-figure era? Comment your thoughts!
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