As we open the second week of January, the Tudor Indicator is flashing a divergence between immediate order flow and long-term structural health.
Current Indicators (The Bearish Pressure):
• Order Book Skew: We are seeing a massive sell-side imbalance of 89.74% vs. 10.26%. This confirms heavy distribution by market makers in the short term.
• Delta Div (-79.48): Negative delta confirms that sellers are currently "hitting the bid" with aggression.
• MACD: Currently trending in the bearish zone, suggesting the downward momentum isn't finished yet.
The Bullish Pivot (The Opportunity):
• RSI (26): We have entered the Oversold Zone. Historically, an RSI below 30 in a Bullish Trend is a high-probability "Buy the Dip" signal.
• Global Trend: Remains Bullish. The macro structure of the 2026 bull run is intact.
Weekly Outlook (Jan 12–19):
• Phase 1 (Mon-Wed): Expect a test of the $90,000 psychological level or a wick down to the $89,450 consolidation zone. This is a "cleansing" move to flush out over-leveraged longs.
• Phase 2 (Thu-Sun): With the RSI exhausted, we anticipate a sharp recovery toward $93,800, targeting a weekend range of $92,500 – $94,500.
Key Levels:
• Support: $90,174 | $88,700
• Resistance: $93,795 | $95,000
Verdict: Short-term pain for long-term gain. Use the early-week volatility to position for the weekend recovery. 🛡️
