Ethereum is showing strong technical confluence on the weekly timeframe, positioning itself for what could become a major bullish expansion phase in the coming months.
After a prolonged corrective structure, $ETH is now reacting precisely from a high-probability demand zone, supported by Fibonacci retracement levels and classical chart patterns.
📊 Market Structure Overview (Weekly)
Current Price: $3,115
Timeframe: Weekly (1W)
Trend Context: Macro pullback within a larger bullish cycle
Ethereum has successfully defended the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, a zone historically known for marking cycle bottoms and strong continuation points in trending markets.
At the same time, price action is compressing within a falling wedge structure, which is widely recognized as a bullish reversal pattern when broken with confirmation.
🔍 Technical Confluence (Why This Setup Matters)
Several high-confidence signals are aligning simultaneously:
✅ 1. 0.786 Fibonacci Support
Strong reaction from the deep retracement zone
Indicates smart money accumulation, not distribution
Sellers are losing control after extended downside pressure
✅ 2. Falling Wedge Breakout
Structure shows lower highs with weakening momentum
Compression suggests volatility expansion is approaching
Breakout from this pattern often leads to impulsive upside moves
✅ 3. Price Acceptance & Base Formation
$ETH is stabilizing above the demand zone
Weekly closes are holding structure
This behavior favors continuation rather than further breakdown
🎯 Upside Targets (Weekly Expansion Zones)
If the breakout confirms and ETH maintains acceptance above the wedge and key Fibonacci levels, the following upside targets come into focus:
🎯 TP1: $4,958.89
→ Previous structural resistance & first major expansion level
🎯 TP2: $5,762.50
→ Mid-cycle resistance and liquidity magnet
🎯 TP3: $6,693.95
→ Upper macro target aligned with historical expansion ranges
These targets are not arbitrary — they are derived from Fibonacci extensions, prior supply zones, and market structure symmetry.
🛡 Risk Management & Invalidation
Stop Loss Zone: Below the falling wedge & 0.786 Fibo
(~ $2,650)
A decisive weekly close below this area would invalidate the bullish thesis and signal the need for reassessment.
📌 Strategy Notes
Monitor retest of the wedge breakout for confirmation
Watch the 0.618 Fibonacci level as potential dynamic support
Best suited for swing traders and position traders
Risk management remains critical despite bullish bias
🧠 Final Thoughts
$ETH is currently at a make-or-break technical level.
The combination of deep Fibonacci support, bullish reversal structure, and base formation suggests that ETH may be preparing for a powerful impulsive move once confirmation is fully established.
📈 Bias: Bullish
🕰 Outlook: Medium–Long Term
⚠️ Reminder: Always trade with proper risk management
🔔 This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
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