Bitcoin is showing striking similarities to past cycles, and if history repeats itself, the next phase could be massive.

I’ve been tracking $BTC along two critical axes: TIME and PRICE. Most traders focus only on price – that’s why they miss the best entries.

TIME Axis

The days from $ATH to cycle lows after each halving:

2012: 406 days

2016: 363 days

2020: 376 days

2024: still unfolding

Notice the consistency? If this pattern holds, the next real bottom is likely Oct–Nov 2026. That’s my target window. When it hits, I’m buying regardless of price, because timing is everything to avoid front-running.

PRICE Axis

Even before the time window, I started buying around $60,000. Waiting for the “perfect price” often means missing the move entirely. If BTC gives value now, I buy. If history’s timing arrives, I buy heavily, no questions asked.

Additional On-Chain Signals

I also monitor NUPL (Net Unrealized Profit/Loss). Historically, this indicator identifies the real cycle bottoms:

2018 crash

COVID dip

2022 drawdown

Right now, BTC is not yet in the “bottom zone”. We could still see $45K–$50K before the ultimate low forms – where I’d go heavy.

My Strategy

TIME: Oct–Nov 2026 = strong buy

PRICE: Below $60K = strong buy

If either condition hits, I execute daily buys to maximize positioning.

Markets are chaotic, but this phase will pass. Bitcoin has a history of repeating cycles, and those prepared for it stand to capture the next big move.

Stay sharp. $BTC