#US10Yield There it is:
The 10Y Note Yield officially hits 4.30% for the first time since September 2nd.
Yields are rising sharply on concerns over US-EU trade relations, just as we saw in April 2025.
In our "tariff playbook" below, we explain with the 10Y Note Yield is the ULTIMATE indicator.
When the 10Y Note Yield rises into Trump's "warning zone," he implements a pause on tariffs for bond markets to normalize.
This zone is still well above current levels, as outlined below, but worth noting.
Trump does NOT want higher yields, especially during midterm election year.
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