Asset manager VanEck has released a long-term framework that explains how $BTC could be valued around $2.9 million by 2050 â and this is not a hype prediction or moonboy price target.
Instead, VanEck treats Bitcoin as an emerging monetary infrastructure.
Their base-case model assumes Bitcoin slowly transitions from a speculative asset into two powerful roles:
1ď¸âŁ A global settlement layer
VanEck assumes Bitcoin could eventually settle 5â10% of global trade, especially in a world where trust in sovereign currencies keeps weakening.
2ď¸âŁ A reserve asset
Central banks may allocate a small portion of reserves to BTC over decades â not to replace fiat, but to diversify away from political and monetary risk.
This is a massive shift from todayâs reality.
Right now, Bitcoin plays almost zero role in trade settlement and is not held by major central banks. VanEck openly admits this future depends on regulatory clarity, infrastructure, and political acceptance that does not yet exist.
Volatility wonât disappear either.
VanEck models long-term ,$BTC volatility between 40â70%, closer to frontier markets than traditional assets. But even in bearish scenarios, the framework still projects positive long-term returns, driven by Bitcoinâs fixed supply and growing macro relevance.
One important insight:
Bitcoinâs price has historically tracked global liquidity trends more than stocks or commodities. Its weakening correlation with the US dollar suggests BTC is slowly becoming a global macro asset, not just a risk trade.
From a portfolio angle, VanEck notes that small BTC allocations (1â3%) have historically improved risk-adjusted returns, despite extreme volatility.
Bitcoin at $2.9M by 2050 isnât a guarantee â itâs a framework.
A bet on adoption, monetary change, and a world looking for neutral settlement money.
This isnât for traders chasing candles.
Itâs for those positioning decades ahead. đ
#Bitcoin #Binance #Write2Earn $BTC
