BTC Update: Breakdown After the Dump 📉 (What Happens Next?)

$BTC just made a sharp sell-off into the 92.5K zone (from ~95K), and this move looks like a classic liquidity grab + displacement event.

Now the key question is simple:

📌 Is this a sell-side sweep before continuation up… or the start of a deeper bearish expansion?

Below is a clear trade plan - educational only — no financial advice.

1) Market Context

1D View

BTC is still inside a broader bearish structure from the previous drop, but recently it was holding a base near ~90K and tried to push upward.

Now price is back below ~95K, meaning bulls lost an important intraday support.

✅ Key takeaway:

BTC is in a zone where the market often shakes out buyers before deciding direction.

4H View

On 4H, BTC was ranging and then printed a strong bearish impulse that broke structure down.

This is the type of candle that usually creates a clean “retest zone” for continuation

📌 This is not random selling — it’s structured movement.

2) Intraday Structure (1H / 15m)

1H View

BTC created a major displacement down from the ~95K area straight into 92.5K.

That means: ✅ liquidity was taken

✅ stops got triggered

✅ weak longs were flushed

Now price is consolidating → this is a key moment.

15m View

15m shows the dump + small bounce and sideways movement.

This confirms we are in a post-impulse consolidation phase.

📌 That’s where traps happen.

Market usually “tests” both sides before moving again.

3) Short-Term (1m View)

1m is choppy, with small reclaim attempts.

This is not a clean entry by itself.

✅ The best move is to wait for:

a sweep

then structure confirmation

then entry from a clean level

4) Price Forecast (What’s Most Likely Next?)

✅ Scenario 1 (Most probable): Sweep low → bounce to retest supply

BTC may first grab liquidity below the current base (92.5K area), then bounce and retest the breakdown zone.

✅ Scenario 2: Retest up first → continuation down

BTC may retest a bearish zone around 93.5K–95K and then drop again if sellers defend.

📌 logic:

Impulse → consolidation → retest → expansion

5) Trade Setups (2 Options)

✅ Setup A: LONG (only after confirmation)

This is valid only if BTC proves the dump was a sweep.

Conditions (must happen)

✅ 1) Sweep below current lows (~92.3K → 92.0K zone)

✅ 2) Strong reclaim above 92.6K–92.8K

✅ 3) 15m BOS up (structure shift bullish)

✅ 4) Entry on retest of bullish OB / FVG

✅ 5) Impulse candle shows strength (clean expansion)

Targets

🎯 TP1: 93.3K–93.8K

🎯 TP2: 94.5K–95.0K (major retest zone)

🛑 Invalidation: hold below ~92.0K

📊 Probability: 70% (only if BOS confirms)

✅ Setup B: SHORT (preferred if price retests supply)

This is the cleanest continuation setup after the breakdown.

Conditions (must happen)

✅ 1) Price retests into 93.3K–94.5K

✅ 2) Rejection candle + failure to hold above retest zone

✅ 3) 15m CHoCH down (bear continuation)

✅ 4) Entry from bearish OB / FVG

✅ 5) Strong sell continuation (not slow drift)

Targets

🎯 TP1: 92.3K

🎯 TP2: 91.5K–91.0K

🎯 TP3: 90K (sell-side liquidity)

🛑 Invalidation: hold above 95K with continuation

📊 Probability: 72–78% (if rejection confirms)

6) What NOT to Do Right Now ❌

Don’t long just because price “looks cheap”

Don’t short the bottom after a dump (late entry = bad RR)

Don’t trade the middle of consolidation

Wait for sweep + confirmation

7) Quick Checklist (Simple Trading Rule)

✅ Sweep → ✅ BOS/CHoCH → ✅ Retest OB/FVG → ✅ Trade

If one condition is missing → no trade.

📣 Do you think BTC will:

💬 Sweep lower first and bounce? Comment “LONG”

💬 Retest supply and continue dropping? Comment “SHORT”

If you want, I can post the exact entry trigger (the candle close rules) for both setups.

⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Crypto trading is high-risk. Always use proper risk management and never trade money you can’t afford to lose.

#BTCanalysis #tradesetup $BTC

BTCUSDT

Perp

88,398.9

-1.32%