1. Kaun hai race mein sabse aage?
Abhi char bade naam shortlist mein hain, lekin Kevin Warsh (former Fed Governor) sabse bade frontrunner hain.
Kevin Warsh: Inhe market "Hawkish" (sakht) maanta hai, lekin unhone haal hi mein Trump ki policies ka samarthan kiya hai.
Rick Rieder (BlackRock): Inhe Wall Street pasand karta hai aur ye "Dovish" (naram) maane jaate hain, jo market ke liye bohot positive ho sakta hai.
Kevin Hassett & Christopher Waller: Ye dono bhi finalists hain.
2. Market par kya asar pad raha hai?
Trump ke is announcement ki khabar aate hi market ne react karna shuru kar diya hai:
Dollar Index (DXY): Warsh ki news se Dollar majboot ho raha hai.
Gold & Silver: Dollar majboot hone ki wajah se Gold aur Silver ki prices mein aaj profit-taking (girawat) dekhi ja rahi hai.
Bitcoin & Crypto: Crypto market mein bhi thoda pressure (sell-off) dikh raha hai kyunki investors uncertainty se darr rahe hain.
3. Trump ka motive kya hai?
Trump ne bar-bar kaha hai ki wo aisa Chair chahte hain jo Interest Rates ko tezi se niche laye (2-3% tak). Unka manna hai ki abhi ki rates "unacceptably high" hain.
4. Extreme Volatility ki wajah
Senate Confirmation: Trump ke pick ko Senate se pass hona padega, lekin kuch Senators ne isse block karne ki dhamki di hai jab tak Fed ki purani jaanch (investigation) puri nahi ho jati.
Jerome Powell vs Trump: Powell ka term May 2026 mein khatam ho raha hai, aur ye naya appointment unki jagah lega.
Conclusion: Agar announcement "Dovish" (rate cut ka samarthan karne wala) raha, toh Gold aur Crypto mein bada bounce aa sakta hai. Lekin agar koi "Hawkish" pick hua, toh Dollar aur majboot hoga aur metals/crypto niche gir sakte hain