If we draw historical parallels between the situation in financial markets caused by the COVID 19 pandemic in March 2020 and today's economic upheavals due to Trump's tariff war - we can cautiously try to glimpse into the future of the second half of 2025 and the beginning of 2026.

So, what do we have?

1) In theory, tariffs and the high Fed rate should 'catch up with the economy' in the summer, and 60 days from 'the last bottom' before the rebound will fall exactly in June.

2) The key question: global trade tensions, disruptions in international supply chains (only in 2020 the cause was Covid 19, and today - it is Trump's tariffs).

3) Everyone knows that the problem exists, but against the backdrop of the market rebound, people begin to forget about the ongoing negative impact of tariffs, just as they do about the pandemic at that time.

What is the difference between 2020 and 2025?

1) Volatility is significantly lower, spot and futures ETFs have emerged, large buyers from international companies, institutions, as well as the USA and other countries have entered the market.

2) The Federal Reserve System of the USA, having learned from the experience (I hope so) of 2020, will approach overcoming the financial challenges of 2025-26 more effectively.

3) Today's problems and crisis are 'man-made' and depend on Trump and his team, while in 2020 - these challenges were uncontrollable and independent of anyone's will.

4) During the bearish trend of 2020, ETH and altcoins showed better dynamics than Bitcoin (usually this is the main sign of increasing risk). Today, however, this component is lacking.

Conclusions: the reasons for the potential recession and market shock today are the same as in 2020, and the calendar 'timing' is approximately the same, but it should be remembered that cycles may repeat according to a global scenario, but not on a daily basis. History cannot guarantee repetition in the future. If the Fed of the USA engages in work in a timely manner, and Trump eases tariff policy - we may see the 'bottom' of the market and a historical turnaround that traders from all over the world have been waiting for so long.

Be prepared for 'everything'. #StablecoinPayments #BinanceHODLerSTO #SaylorBTCPurchase