I am watching the pair $BTC on the daily chart, which has decisively broken the quarterly installment 1 area (the dashed white line at around $102,400) and immediately retested this level as new support. This classic 'break and retest' pattern indicates a strong shift in institutional positions:
Setup
For breakout: Bitcoin closed above QP1 with trading volume above average, indicating buyer confidence.
Retest: A clear pullback to QP1 held without a breach, confirming liquidity polarization and support reversal.
Entry
: Enter a buy position when the first daily close is above the lowest level for retesting (around $102,500).
Targets:
TP1 (Quarterly installment 2): approximately $111,400.
TP2 (Annual installment 1): approximately $121,000.
Set a stop-loss
At the lowest level for retesting directly at around $100,500, with risk limited to about 2% of the current price.
Risk Management:
Set your investment position size so that any decline of $2,000 does not exceed 1-2% of your total capital.
Forecasts and Catalysts:
Overall liquidity remains supportive with cautious signals from central banks.
Watch for a monthly close above $107,000 to increase confidence.
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