Based on historical patterns between the bottom and the cycle peak, Bitcoin is likely to reach its fourth cycle peak around October 2025.

This was conveyed by one of the crypto market analysts on platform X, under the account name CryptoCon. He explained that counting 152 weeks from the bottom, BTC is currently only 21 weeks or 5 months away from that point.

BTC Cycle Patterns Consistent

In the three previous cycles (2011-2022), Bitcoin consistently reached its peak around week 152 to 154 after the bottom:

Cycle 1 (2011-2014): Peak at week 154.

Cycle 2 (2015-2018): Peak at week 152.

Cycle 3 (2019-2022): Peak at week 152.

Cycle 4 (2023-2026): Currently week 133, with a peak prediction in October 2025.

If this pattern continues, the remaining time of about 5 months becomes the final accumulation and euphoria phase before a potential long-term decline (bear market).

In this case, CryptoCon also stated that compared to previous cycles, most have already completed the 'first cycle top' and are preparing for the last surge towards the main peak at this point in the near future.

The current cycle appears slower, leading some to speculate that the cycle could extend until 2026. However, most data and technical structures support the scenario that the peak will be reached by the end of 2025, not later.

"Some believe the cycle will extend to 2026 due to slow price movements. However, the data so far actually supports that the end of 2025 is the cycle point," he said.

Patience is Strategy

With the remaining time growing tighter, the current phase can be seen as the last preparation moment before the peak. Like previous cycles, a major surge could occur in a matter of weeks, not months.

However, it is also important to remain realistic. Not all cycles are identical, and various macro factors and liquidity can affect the duration and shape of the cycle.

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