1.Momentum pullback (preferred for short-term spot scalps)
Rationale: strong hourly momentum but 15m fatigue; buyers regrouping near structural supports.
Trigger: price pulls back into 44–47 USDT with reduced selling volume and holding above 40.1 support.
Plan: buy partial size on 44–47, add only if 40–41 holds; tight stop ~3–5% below entry (adjust to volatility). Target initial partial take-profit at 53–54, second at 60+ if momentum resumes.
Why it matters: captures recovery from liquidation-driven dips while respecting new-found support built after fundraising/news.
2. Breakout continuation trade
Rationale: sustained institutional/strategic flows can push price above intraday supply.
Trigger: clean hourly close above 53.8 with rising volume and positive MACD confirmation on 1h.
Plan: enter on retest or breakout candle; stop below 51–52 (previous resistance turned support). Targets: 62 then 75 (scale out).
Why it matters: reclaims higher-timeframe control; breakout backed by on-chain/strategic catalyst news increases odds.
3.Mean-reversion scalps (high frequency, small risk)
Rationale: high ATR and orderbook imbalance create profitable short swings.
Trigger: 15m RSI oversold (<35) near local support (39–44) or quick spikes above Bollinger upper band for shorting.
Plan: tight stops (1–2× ATR), small size, quick profit-taking (1–3%); avoid holding through major news windows.
Why it matters: exploits intraday oscillation generated by large flows and retail FOMO.
4.Volatility grid / range play (for low-frequency traders)
Rationale: large intraday swings; grid reduces timing risk.
Setup: grid between 40 and 60 (wider steps while volatility high). Prefer smaller notional exposure given wide range.
Management: scale out as price approaches upper grid; pause grid after confirmed breakout.
5.Short/futures trade — only for experienced traders
Rationale: funding dynamics and rapid deleveraging have caused leverage whipsaws.
Conditions: consider shorting only on clear structural failure (hourly MACD flip negative and break below 44 with rising OI/volume). Alternatively, long futures on confirmed breakout >53.8.
Risk controls: use low leverage, tight stop, and monitor funding. Past intraday liquidations indicate high tail risk.
Risk and execution notes (concise)
Liquidity and volatility are elevated after strategic news — expect fast, wide moves and potential stop hunts. Use small size and explicit stops. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Watch orderbook clusters (~50–51.6 bids/asks) and 24h net outflow context; large-hour flows can reverse quickly.
