I have traded multiple new coin launches. Most traders lose in the first week. Not because the coin is bad. Because emotions are high and plans are missing.

When a new mining based coin launches, the market behaves in a repeatable way. I study three things before I put money in. Volume structure and participant behavior.

First is volume behavior.

Real opportunities show rising volume during both pumps and pullbacks. Fake hype shows high volume only on the first spike then volume fades while social media noise stays high. When volume drops more than 40 percent after the first move I stay away. That usually means interest is short term.

Second is price structure.

I never buy the first breakout. In most launches I tracked price drops 20 to 50 percent after the first spike. This is the shakeout. Weak traders exit here. If price finds support and stops making new lows that is where structure starts forming. Structure means the market accepts a price area.

My entry rule is simple.

I enter near support after a pullback.

My stop goes below that support.

My target is the previous high or the next resistance zone.

This gives a clear risk to reward setup. Small loss if wrong. Larger gain if right.

Third is miner and trader behavior.

Mining coins create constant sell pressure because miners sell rewards. At the same time, traders buy momentum. This creates sharp moves both up and down. Volatility in new coins is often two to three times higher than older coins. That is opportunity if risk is controlled.

I do not use full capital.

I risk 5 to 10 percent of my trading funds per position. One bad move will not damage my account. Survival is more important than one win.

Psychology is the real edge.

Most people buy green candles. I wait for red candles to slow down near support. Most people panic when price drops. I look for stability and volume return.

Questions I ask before every trade.

  1. Where is my entry level.

  2. Where do I exit if I am wrong.

  3. Is volume supporting the move.

If I cannot answer these fast I skip the trade.

New launches like Tesla attract attention. Attention brings volatility. Volatility pays disciplined traders and punishes emotional ones. The coin does not decide who earns. The plan does.

Are you trading with levels and risk control or following hype.

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