At the time of writing, Bitcoin ($BTC ) is trading around $78,000. Based on current market structure and liquidity dynamics, I expect a short-term move lower toward the $71k–$72k zone 📉 before any meaningful continuation higher.
Why a Pullback Is Likely
There are several strong technical and structural reasons supporting this view:
1. Liquidity Below the April 2025 Swing Low
Large players — whales, banks, and institutions — have not yet swept liquidity below the April 2025 swing low. This area is packed with retail stop losses 🎯.
Historically, Bitcoin tends to hunt liquidity first before initiating a sustained move upward.
2. Falling Wedge Structure
Price action remains inside a downward-sloping falling wedge. A retest of the lower trendline aligns perfectly with the $71k–$72k support zone, making this area a high-probability reaction point.
Why $71k–$72k Is a Strong Buy Zone
While a short-term dip is expected, this zone represents a very attractive long opportunity 🟢:
RSI is approaching oversold conditions, signaling downside exhaustion
Strong technical confluence with structure support
Ideal area for smart money accumulation
Before any deeper move lower, I expect a relief rebound toward $83k–$84k 📈.
The key question will be whether bulls can break out of the falling wedge — price action will confirm.
My Trading Plan Going Forward 🔍
Short term: Expect a drop toward $71k–$72k
Next: A strong rebound toward $83k–$84k
Later in the year: Bitcoin could still move significantly lower, potentially below $60k, depending on macro conditions and liquidity shifts
What About Altcoins?
At this stage, I am not recommending buying altcoins ❌.
While short-term bounces are possible, mid-term structure remains bearish across most alts.
A more favorable accumulation window for altcoins may emerge around October 2026, though this bias will require further confirmation as more data becomes available.
💬 Comment your favorite altcoin and hit the like button — I’ll reply with a personalized analysis just for you.
Trading isn’t hard when you have the right guidance.
Thank you, and I wish you disciplined and successful trades 🚀📊
