$XRP
{spot}(XRPUSDT)
As 2025 comes to a close, it's looking like it'll be a down year for major cryptocurrencies. One token that experienced a particularly dramatic reversal this year is XRP (+1.03%).
Over the summer, XRP has reached a price of $3.56 -- eclipsing the $3 threshold for the first time since 2018. However, as of this writing (Dec. 18), XRP is trading roughly 48% below its intra-year high and has plummeted to a price of $1.86.
Let's explore what influenced XRP's price action throughout 2025. From there, I'll look at whether the token could be headed back to $3 in the new year.
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This table is basically showing Bitcoin’s seasonality by quarter, and the red box highlights Q4, which is where most people expect strong performance — but the data shows it’s not guaranteed.
Key takeaways from the chart
1. Q4 is historically strong, but volatile
Big green Q4s: 2017 (+215%), 2020 (+168%), 2023 (+56.9%), 2024 (+47.7%)
But there are also deep red Q4s: 2018 (-42%), 2019 (-13.5%), 2022 (-14.7%), 2025 (-22.6%)
👉 Q4 tends to expand volatility, not promise upside.
2. Context matters more than the quarter Strong Q4s usually happened when:
BTC was in a bull market continuation
Liquidity was expanding
Price had already reclaimed key HTF levels before Q4
Weak Q4s happened when:
BTC was in a bear or distribution phase
Macro liquidity was tightening
Prior quarters failed to build structure
So Q4 amplifies the existing trend rather than reversing it.
3. Q2 is statistically the most consistent upside quarter Across cycles, Q2 often shows:
Strong recoveries (2017, 2019, 2020, 2024, 2025)
Trend confirmation after Q1 volatility
Many bull runs actually start structurally in Q2, not Q4.
4. Current implication (important) If BTC enters Q4:
Below key resistance / range high → risk of red Q4
Above ATH / in price discovery → Q4 expansion likely
Seasonality is a bias, not a signal.
Bottom line
Q4 can be explosive only if structure supports it
Blind “Q4 bullish” narratives fail roughly 40–45% of the time
Always combine seasonality with market structure, liquidity, and HTF trend
If you want, I can break this down into a clean post-style narrative or align it with your usual BTC/USDT analysis script.
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{spot}(DASHUSDT)
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{future}(KITEUSDT)
$BTC Update ⚡
@bitcoin is trading around $88,087 right now. It tried to push higher but failed near the $89,800–$90,000 zone, which is acting as strong resistance. Sellers are still in control at the top, keeping the price capped, while buyers are only defending dips.
This is a make or break moment. If BTC holds above $87,500, a bounce back toward $90K is possible. But if this support breaks, price could slide toward the $85,000 area fast.
Tension is high. Next move decides the trend. ⚡🔥🚀
{spot}(BTCUSDT)
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$ETH /USDT Range-bound after volatile swings. Price is stuck below key resistance with no strong follow-through.
Bias: Bearish continuation within range.
EP: $2,975 – $2,990
TP: $2,920 → $2,870
SL: $3,030
Trend strength is neutral to weak after multiple failed pushes higher.
Momentum is fading with sellers defending the upper range.
Liquidity below $2,900 is likely to be tested before any bullish continuation.
$ETH
{future}(ETHUSDT)
$VTHO already did the hard part. The fast move is done, and instead of dumping back to where it came from, price is just sitting there, going nowhere. That’s usually a good sign. If this was weak, it wouldn’t be holding above 0.001. It would’ve already slipped.
Right now the area around 0.00100–0.00103 looks like a fair spot. Price keeps coming back there and getting accepted, not rejected. That’s what I want to see before another push.
If this holds, the first place price usually tests again is around 0.00108. After that, 0.00112 is the obvious level from the last spike. If momentum really comes back in, 0.00118 isn’t crazy, but that depends on volume showing up again.
If price drops and closes below 0.00095, then the idea is wrong. No drama, no arguing with the chart. Just step aside.
This isn’t a chase. The move already happened. This is about letting the market breathe and seeing if buyers are still comfortable holding higher. If they are, it usually shows in the next leg up.
$BTC /USDT Range-bound with a clear compression after a sharp volatility sweep. Liquidity was taken below $84,400$ and above $90,300$, signaling distribution and rebalancing. Price is now holding mid-range near a key acceptance zone.
Bias: Neutral to bearish continuation unless range high is reclaimed.
EP: $88,100$ – $88,300$
TP: $87,200$ → $86,300$ → $84,800$
SL: $89,600$
The broader trend has stalled after a strong impulse, showing loss of upside momentum.
Lower highs on the intraday structure indicate sellers defending the upper range.
Liquidity rests below $86,500$, making downside continuation more likely before any sustainable bounce.
$BTC
{future}(BTCUSDT)
Check this carefully. This is exactly why I always say trust the levels I share.
I clearly pointed out $UNI at lower prices and asked everyone to focus on long positions early. The chart has now confirmed that call perfectly. Price moved strongly from the accumulation zone and delivered a clean, powerful rally exactly as expected.
Those who entered early are already sitting on strong profits. This move was not luck. It was planned, level-based execution from support to breakout. Discipline and patience paid off once again.
UNI is still holding strength. Momentum remains bullish, structure is healthy, and buyers are still in control. As long as price holds above key support, continuation toward higher levels remains likely.
This is how consistent trading works. Trust the levels, manage risk, and let the market do the rest. More clean setups are coming.
$UNI
{future}(UNIUSDT)
Listen. $UNI didn’t just wake up and decide to pump today. This has been building for a while, and you can see it if you stop staring at the price for five seconds and actually look at how it’s moving.
Price spent time going sideways, shaking people out, dipping just enough to make holders uncomfortable. Every time it dipped, sellers tried… and nothing really happened. No follow-through. That’s usually the first clue something is changing. Weak hands leave, strong ones step in quietly.
Then the push came. Not aggressive, not crazy. Just clean. One level taken, then another. And notice this part carefully after the move, price didn’t collapse back down It stayed up. That’s not how fake moves behave. Fake moves give everything back fast. Real ones don’t.
Volume backed it too. You don’t see panic volume here, you see participation. People stepping in, not rushing out. Even the pullbacks are boring and boring is good when price is higher than it was before.
I’m not saying this is the top, and I’m not saying this is the start of some wild run. I’m saying the market is behaving differently now. More controlled. More confident. That usually happens when buyers aren’t in a hurry because they don’t feel late.
As long as $UNI stays above the area it just broke from, there’s no real reason to be bearish. If it loses it, fine, we adjust. That’s trading. But right now, the chart isn’t asking for fear. It’s asking for patience.
The funny part is moves like this always look obvious later. In the moment, they just feel quiet.