cryptocrash

Fraților, așa cum se tem mulți –

scade brusc după raportul ADP Nonfarm din ianuarie 2026, publicat în această seară (4/2/2026)! Indicele locurilor de muncă private a fost doar +22K – mai slab decât prognoza aproape de două ori (+46K) și cel mai scăzut din multe luni. Rezultatul este că BTC a scăzut din zona de $80k-$83k, testând $75k-$76k, chiar atingând un minim de $72k în sesiune
De ce vestea "bună" (slabă = dovish) s-a transformat într-un "coșmar" pentru BTC? Haideți să analizăm detaliat acest drama!

Introducere (realitatea actuală):
Piețele s-au trezit astăzi, 5 februarie 2026, la o continuare a valului de vânzări de panică care a lovit criptomonedele ieri seară. Indicele fricii și lăcomiei se află în zona "fricii extreme" (15/100), un nivel pe care nu l-am mai văzut de mult timp. După ce Wall Street a închis în "sânge", așa cum am menționat în actualizarea de ieri, vedem astăzi încercări disperate din partea taurului (Bulls) de a apăra zonele de suport esențiale.

The crypto market is bleeding today, with Bitcoin ($BTC ) shedding nearly 7-8% in the last 24 hours. While "Extreme Fear" (Index at 12) grips the market, understanding the why is crucial for any strategic move. Here’s a breakdown of the four primary catalysts driving this crash:

1. The "Hawk" at the Fed: The Warsh Factor
The single biggest macro trigger has been the nomination of Kevin Warsh as the next Federal Reserve Chair. Markets perceive Warsh as a "hawk"—meaning he is expected to aggressively shrink the Fed’s balance sheet.

The Impact: Crypto thrives on liquidity. A smaller balance sheet means less "easy money" flowing into speculative assets like BTC and $ETH .

2. Tech Sector Contagion
We are seeing a massive "risk-off" sentiment across global markets. Technology stocks, particularly chipmakers (like Samsung and SK Hynix) and AI-related equities, have been hammered today.

Correlation: Bitcoin’s correlation with the Nasdaq 100 has reached a staggering 0.8. When tech giants stumble, $BTC often follows as institutional investors dump risk-on assets to cover losses elsewhere.

3. Institutional ETF Outflows
The narrative of "endless institutional demand" is facing its first real test. In January 2026, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs saw over $3 billion in net outflows.

The Shift: Traditional investors who entered through ETFs appear to be cashing out or rotating into "safe havens" like Gold (which has significantly outperformed BTC over the last year).

4. The Leverage Liquidation Cascade
Thin liquidity during the Asian trading session turned a slide into a slump.

Forced Selling: As BTC drifted below key support levels ($75k and $72k), it triggered a wave of liquidations for over-leveraged long positions. Over $660 million in positions were liquidated recently, creating a "vicious cycle" of downward pressure.

Technical Outlook: Where is the Floor?
Support: Analysts are eyeing the $70,000 psychological barrier. If this breaks, the next major "floor" sits around $68,000, with some bears predicting a probe into the $50,000–$60,000 range.

The Silver Lining: The RSI (Relative Strength Index) is at near-record oversold levels (around 27). Historically, such "extreme fear" and oversold conditions have preceded relief rallies.

Are you buying the dip or waiting for a clearer bottom? Let’s discuss below! 👇

#cryptocrash #BinanceSquare

Bitcoin a suferit o lovitură semnificativă astăzi, prăbușindu-se cu 7-8% pentru a tranzacționa în jur de $70,000 - $71,000. Aceasta nu este doar o mică bâlbe; este un "cocktail" de factori care creează un eveniment major "risk-off" în piețele globale.
Iată descompunerea motivelor pentru care BTC scade:
Vânzarea globală de tehnologie: aceasta nu este specifică criptomonedelor! Acțiunile tehnologice din SUA și piețele asiatice sunt în declin. Cu o corelație puternică a Bitcoin cu acțiunile tehnologice, această contagiune "risk-off" ne afectează sever.
Realizarea profitului de către balene: datele on-chain indică faptul că jucătorii instituționali mari (balene) care au cumpărat în intervalul $45k-$55k iau acum profituri masive. Aceasta nu este panică de retail, este o "vânzare calculată".

$BTC $72,000 - $74,500 (Primary Support): This is the current battleground. A sustained break below $72,000 could trigger another wave of panic selling.
$68,000 - $69,100 (Long-term Trendline): This aligns with the 200-week exponential moving average (EMA). Many institutional buyers are looking at this as a "must-hold" level to keep the long-term bull market alive.
$53,000 (The "Ultra-Bear" Target): If the $68k level fails, analysts warn of a deep correction toward the mid-50s, where heavy accumulation is expected.
2. Resistance Levels (The "Ceiling")
$80,000 (Psychological Barrier): Reclaiming this level is the first step toward a recovery.
$84,000 - $85,000 (Pivot Zone): Formerly strong support, this has now turned into a "supply wall." BTC needs to close daily above $85,150 to shift market psychology back to bullish.
$97,000 (Trend Confirmation): A break above this would likely end the bearish structure and put the path back to $100k+ on the table.
Market Sentiment Analysis
The crash was fueled by a combination of high-leverage liquidations (over $1.7 billion in a single window) and massive outflows from Bitcoin ETFs (nearly $3 billion in recent weeks). While Michael Burry and other bears are sounding the alarm, institutions like Bernstein and Standard Chartered still maintain year-end targets between $120,000 and $150,000.
Note: The market is currently in a state of "Extreme Fear." While this often precedes a relief rally, the lack of immediate buyer demand suggests caution.

Bitcoin briefly dropped below the $70,000 mark, extending a sharp downside move that has defined the past several sessions.

Key Takeaways
Bitcoin briefly slipped below $70,000 before stabilizing.Crypto market liquidations surged to nearly $1 billion in 24 hours, with longs taking most of the hit.RSI and MACD remain bearish, signaling continued downside pressure.
The break pushed price deeper into a short-term bearish structure, with lower highs and lower lows continuing to dominate on intraday charts. While the dip below $70K was short-lived, the move confirmed that sellers remain firmly in control for now.
Liquidations surge as leverage unwinds
The sell-off was accompanied by a sharp spike in liquidations across the crypto market. Nearly $1 billion in leveraged positions were wiped out over 24 hours, with long positions accounting for the overwhelming majority.
Bitcoin alone saw hundreds of millions of dollars in forced liquidations, highlighting how crowded long positioning amplified the drop below $70,000 and accelerated the move.
Capitulation signals flash on-chain
On-chain data suggests the move was driven more by stress than by orderly selling. According to Glassnode, Bitcoin’s capitulation metric printed its second-largest spike in the past two years.

Such events typically reflect forced selling and rapid de-risking as traders rush to reduce exposure. Historically, these spikes often occur during periods of heightened volatility and have sometimes preceded local market stabilization, though not always immediately.
Analysts warn volatility is far from over
Market analyst Michael van de Poppe said volatility is unlikely to cool down in the near term, noting that Bitcoin failed to reclaim key resistance levels on lower timeframes.

He highlighted that price is now approaching the zone around the 2021 all-time high, an area that could act as a stronger demand region if selling pressure starts to fade. Despite the bearish trend, he argues that panic-driven sell-offs have historically offered better long-term entry opportunities than chasing strength.
RSI and MACD confirm bearish momentum
On the 4-hour timeframe, Bitcoin continues to trade within a clearly defined descending channel. Every rebound attempt over recent days has been capped at lower resistance levels, suggesting that demand is still too weak to shift momentum. As long as price remains below the upper boundary of this channel, the broader short-term trend remains tilted to the downside.
From a momentum perspective, indicators remain weak. The Relative Strength Index on the 4-hour chart has dropped toward oversold territory, reflecting sustained selling pressure rather than a healthy pullback.

Meanwhile, MACD remains firmly in negative territory, with no clear bullish crossover in sight. Together, these signals suggest that downside momentum is still intact, even if short-term relief bounces emerge.
For now, Bitcoin’s inability to hold above $70,000 keeps the near-term outlook fragile. Heavy liquidations, strong capitulation signals, and weakening momentum point to continued volatility ahead, with the next decisive move likely to come once selling pressure either fully exhausts - or accelerates further.
#bitcoin #cryptocrash

⚡ Mișcări de piață de urgență:
· Prețul curent: $77,510 (-4.01% în ziua respectivă)
· Nivel cheie rupt: suportul de $80,000 a eșuat
· Suportul următor: $72,863 (linie critică în nisip)
· Volum: Crește pe scăderi → PRESIUNE DE VÂNZARE
---
📊 Ce s-a schimbat de ieri:
1. Defalcarea tehnică se accelerează
· Prețul se tranzacționează acum SUB toate EMA-urile cheie
· RSI(6) probabil se apropie de zona de supravânzare (@30)
· $80,000 suport psihologic DISPĂRUT
2. Distribuția balenelor se intensifică
· Datele Santiment confirmă: deținătorii mari (10-10K BTC) continuă să iasă