ukrainerasiya

Un raport major publicat pe **27 ianuarie 2026**, de către **Centrul pentru Studii Strategice și Internaționale (CSIS)** a generat șocuri în comunitatea internațională, detaliind costul uman uluitor al războiului din Ucraina, pe măsură ce se apropie de marcajul de patru ani.#UkraineRasiya

Studiul subliniază că pierderile militare rusești au atins niveluri nemaivăzute de către o putere majoră de la sfârșitul celui de-al Doilea Război Mondial.

## Constatările Cheie ale Raportului CSIS

Conform analizei, amploarea conflictului s-a transformat într-un război brutal de uzură cu următoarele estimări ale pierderilor (acoperind februarie 2022 până în decembrie 2025):

As of late January 2026, the diplomatic landscape surrounding the Ukraine-Russia war has shifted into a high-stakes phase mediated by the Trump administration. Following a series of trilateral meetings in **Abu Dhabi**, both sides are signaling a cautious willingness to continue dialogue despite a brutal "winter war" ongoing on the ground.

## Current Diplomatic Status

The first round of direct, U.S.-brokered talks concluded on **January 24, 2026**. While no definitive peace deal was signed, the event was described by U.S. and Ukrainian officials as a "big step" toward a resolution.

* **The "Abu Dhabi Process":** These talks involved U.S. envoys **Steve Witkoff** and **Jared Kushner** meeting with Ukrainian officials and Russian representatives.
* **Trump’s Optimism:** President Trump recently stated that "very good things are happening," referring to the momentum of these negotiations. He has reportedly emphasized that future U.S. security guarantees for Ukraine may be contingent on Kyiv agreeing to a peace framework.
* **Next Steps:** A second round of trilateral talks is scheduled to begin this Sunday, **February 1, 2026**, in Abu Dhabi.

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## Core Sticking Points

Despite the "constructive" tone in the UAE, the two nations remain deadlocked on fundamental issues:

| Issue | Russia's Position | Ukraine's Position |
| --- | --- | --- |
| **Territory** | Demands full withdrawal of Ukrainian troops from the **Donbas** (Donetsk and Luhansk). | Rejects surrendering any territory not currently under Russian military control. |
| **Security** | Demands a "neutral" Ukraine with no NATO alignment. | Seeks ironclad **U.S. security guarantees** (which Zelenskyy says are "100% ready" in draft form). |
| **Military Status** | Pushes for the "Anchorage Formula" (freezing front lines). | Fears a freeze would simply allow Russia to re-arm for a future invasion. |

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## Reality on the Ground

The "negotiation table" is being set against a backdrop of intense military escalation.

* **Energy Infrastructure:** Russia has launched massive drone and missile strikes targeting Ukraine's power grid, leaving millions in cities like Kyiv and Kharkiv without heat or electricity in sub-zero temperatures.
* **Casualties:** New reports estimate that combined military casualties (killed and wounded) from both sides are approaching **2 million** as the war enters its fourth year.
* **Territorial Gains:** While Russia claims to have seized several settlements this month (including Novoyakivlivka), independent monitors suggest the front lines remain largely static and grinding.

> **Note:** Ukrainian officials have criticized the timing of Russian strikes, with Foreign Minister Andrii Sybiha stating that Putin’s missiles are "hitting the negotiation table" even as diplomats meet.

Would you like me to look into the specific details of the proposed U.S. security guarantees or the "Anchorage Formula" being discussed?
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