There's room for an increase — but with Bitcoin, no one can be certain in the short term, as the price is heavily influenced by money flow and sentiment (it can "soar" or "fluctuate" very quickly).
Below are factors that often support and hinder the possibility of an increase in the near future, for your own assessment:
Factors leaning towards an increase
* Loosening macroeconomic liquidity: expected interest rates decrease, USD weakens, "risk-on" markets (rising stocks) often drag crypto along.
* Institutional/ETF inflows (if any): net capital inflows into "easily accessible" BTC buying channels usually provide good support.
* Limited new supply + long-term holders accumulating: when the amount of BTC on exchanges decreases, immediate selling pressure is usually lower.
* Technical (price action): maintaining a trend of higher highs and higher lows, breaking resistance with increased volume.
Factors that easily cause a decline/difficult to increase:
* Risk-off: sharp stock market decline, bad macroeconomic news, high real interest rates → investors reduce their risk appetite.
* Over-leverage: high funding, rapidly increasing open interest → easily leads to a sharp drop even if the long-term trend remains stable.
* Legal news / exchange incidents / hacks: extremely strong psychological impact, often causing rapid declines.
* Miners/holders taking profits aggressively at sensitive price levels.
Quick checklist to "read" the trend (no need to guess):
* Is the price above the 200-day moving average (MA), and is the MA sloping upwards?
* Is the funding rate excessively high for an extended period? (Too high = easily susceptible to a long squeeze)
* Is the stablecoin market/liquidity increasing?
* Is the BTC balance on exchanges decreasing or increasing?
* Will it break through a significant resistance level and "retest and hold"?
If you are considering placing a trade:
* Prioritize DCA (Dividing Capital into Multiple Purchases) over going all-in at once.
* Avoid using leverage without a clear stop-loss order.
* Only use funds that can withstand significant volatility (BTC corrections of 20-30% are not uncommon).
