$BTC/USDT current Price: 68,074 USDT

Weekly Trend: Strong bearish

Support / Resistance: Key levels identified below

Timeframe Analyzed: 1W chart with daily implications

1️⃣ Market Context

Trend: Downtrend since ~126k → 60k

Recent Action: Sharp drop, last weekly candle wicks to 60k, weak bounce to ~68k

Volume: High sell volume, weak buying on recovery

Technical Signals:

MA(5) & MA(10) above price → bearish bias

Lower highs & lower lows → trend continuation

Conclusion: Market favors sellers, but a short-term bounce is possible.

2️⃣ Key Levels

Type

Level (USDT)

Notes

Major Support

60,000

Strong bounce last week, must hold for relief rally

Minor Support

65,500

Immediate floor, currently fragile

Immediate Resistance

71,200 – 72,000

First weekly resistance

Medium Resistance

75,000 – 78,000

Supply zone if short-term rally occurs

Trend-Changing Resistance

85,000

Bullish confirmation, unlikely next week

3️⃣ Daily Forecast (Feb 7 – Feb 13, 2026)

Feb 7 (Today / Sunday)

Likely action: Sideways recovery / small green candle

Key level: 65,500 support

Expectation: Weak buying, may retest 68,500 – 69,000

Strategy: Observe volume. Avoid heavy long positions.

Feb 8 (Monday)

Likely action: Testing resistance zone 71,200 – 72,000

Scenario A: Rejection → drop back to 66k (bearish)

Scenario B: Break above 72k → relief rally to 75k (less probable)

Key levels: 71.2k resistance, 65.5k support

Feb 9 (Tuesday)

Likely action: Consolidation or minor pullback

Price may hover: 66k – 70k

Watch for weekly trend confirmation: if it dips below 65k, risk increases

Feb 10 (Wednesday)

Likely action: Bearish pressure

Possible retest: 65k support

Key indicators: Look for spike in sell volume

Probability of drop: ~40–50%

Feb 11 (Thursday)

Likely action: Bounce or dead-cat recovery

Price may rise to: 68k – 70k

Volume confirmation is critical for judging if rally has legs

Feb 12 (Friday)

Likely action: Range-bound

Expected range: 65k – 70k

Scenario: Weak buyers struggle to hold above 68k, risk of another drop

Feb 13 (Saturday)

Likely action: Critical weekly close approach

Key level: Weekly close above 72k needed to change short-term bearish bias

Else: Continuation of downtrend to 60k or lower next week

4️⃣ Trading Strategy / Action Plan

Spot Traders

Buy aggressively near 60k–65k only

Take profits near 71–72k, do not chase further upside

Avoid adding positions above 72k without weekly confirmation

Futures / Leverage

Short opportunities: 70k – 72k

Stop loss: Just above 72k

Target: 65k → 60k, depending on weekly momentum

Avoid high leverage during bounces

Risk Management

Weekly support (60k) is critical

Do not hold long positions if price closes below 60k on weekly candle

Keep stop-loss tight in volatile conditions

5️⃣ Summary Table (Quick Reference)

Day

Expected Action

Support

Resistance

Notes

Feb 7

Sideways recovery

65.5k

68.5k

Weak bounce

Feb 8

Test resistance

65.5k

71.2k

Likely rejection

Feb 9

Consolidation

65k

70k

Watch volume

Feb 10

Bearish pressure

65k

68k

Possible drop

Feb 11

Dead-cat bounce

65.5k

70k

Weak upside

Feb 12

Range-bound

65k

70k

Choppy market

Feb 13

Critical weekly close

60k

72k

Decide trend direction

✅ Key Takeaways

Market remains bearish until weekly close above 72k

60k is a major support; a break will trigger deeper drop

Expect volatility, choppy sideways action, and potential dead-cat bounces

Stick to risk management: small positions near support, take profit at resistance

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