The 2025-2026 bull run mightāve reached its limit.
š¤Fear is spiking again, showing market exhaustion
I checked cycle trends and investor psychology
ā
Hereās my outlook for whatās ahead š
1.Retail panic is back in the market
Fear & Greed Index dropped to 29, and social sentiment crashed
Yet the actual catalysts arenāt bearish - theyāre neutral or leaning bullish
Rate cuts are already priced in, ETF flows remain steady, and miners arenāt selling
2. Wondering why the market dumped?
Binance and Trump together wiped out $1B worth of longs
It was one of the quick liquidation acorss the market.
The drop was planned, not natural - and now traders are too afraid to re-enter
3.BTC is holding around $87000
It broke below the 200d BPRO .
Still, this area has sparked reversals in previous cycles
RSI sits at 36 with neutral momentum - shaken, not finished
4.Retail expects $80k next
But big players see it differently
Spot ETF assets still hold above $143B
Outflows exist, but itās rotation - not withdrawal
5. ETH is echoing BTCās weakness
AUM remains stable at $23.88B
Funds arenāt exiting crypto ā theyāre waiting for confirmation
That confirmation might come from a short squeeze trigger
6. This is lining up for a brutal upside squeeze
Just like last weekās planned crash, only flipped
The market structure remains the same just reversed
Longs got wiped out, now shorts are next in line
7.Miners are around breakeven.
Theyāre not dumping ā theyāre holding steady
On-chain metrics show a slowdown, not a breakdown
This kind of late-cycle volatility is typical, not fatal
8.Q1 has always been Bitcoinās launch phase
Itās delivered an average 51% gain over the past 15 years
And right now, weāre sitting right on that timing line
9.Weāre now 1,080 days deep into this cycle
That marks about 99.5% of the usual duration
Historically, major tops tend to form in this phase
The next 5ā10 days statistically matter the most
10. Retail believes the bull run has ended
Smart money views this as the perfect entry point
Fear is loud, but opportunity speaks quietly
When volatility hits extremes, trends flip quickly
11. True, this cycle feels different - more institutional and far trickier
But that doesnāt make it weaker
It just makes trading tougher and easy to misread
Donāt let fear blind you to a rare opportunity.