$ETH Ethereum continues to bleed lower, and while price action may look slow and controlled on the surface, tension beneath the market is building rapidly. This is not just another routine pullback. $ETH is approaching a critical liquidation band where market mechanics shift from human decision-making to forced execution.
Once ETH drifts into a very specific price range, things stop being āmanageableā ā and start becoming automatic.
ā ļø The Critical Liquidation Band: $1,781 ā $1,862
If ETH enters the $1,781 to $1,862 zone, liquidation pressure begins for one of the largest and most influential players in the ecosystem: Trend Research.
This isnāt a single overleveraged bet. Itās a carefully layered leverage structure spread across multiple wallets, each with its own liquidation threshold. The danger lies not in a sudden crash ā but in a slow, grinding drift downward.
š Inside Trend Researchās ETH Exposure
Trend Research currently controls 618,245.96 ETH, distributed across six wallets, using approximately $1.33 billion worth of WETH as collateral to borrow around $939 million in stablecoins.
This structure resembles a staircase ā not a cliff.
Each step lower in price activates a new layer of liquidation risk.
š Wallet-by-Wallet Breakdown
š¹ Largest Exposure
Wallet: 0xe5c248d8d3f3871bd0f68e9c4743459c43bb4e4c
Collateral: 169,891 ETH
Borrowed: $258M
Liquidation Price: ~$1,833.84
This wallet sits right in the middle of the danger zone ā meaning even modest downside pressure could trigger forced selling.
š¹ Highest Liquidation Threshold
Wallet: 0xfaf1358fe6a9fa29a169dfc272b14e709f54840f
Collateral: 175,843 ETH
Borrowed: $271M
Liquidation Price: ~$1,862.02
This is one of the earliest dominoes. If ETH slips below this level, market stress could escalate quickly.
š¹ Mid-Zone Exposure
Wallet: 0x85e05c10db73499fbdecab0dfbb794a446feeec8
Collateral: 108,743 ETH
Borrowed: $163M
Liquidation Price: ~$1,808.05
This level acts as a transition point ā once reached, liquidation risk accelerates rather than stabilizes.
š¹ The Lowest Floor
Wallet: 0x6e9e81efcc4cbff68ed04c4a90aea33cb22c8c89
Collateral: 79,510 ETH
Borrowed: $117M
Liquidation Price: ~$1,781.09
This is the final step. If ETH reaches here, the structure becomes extremely fragile.
š¹ Tightly Clustered Upper Wallets
Wallet: 0x8fdc74bad4aa20904a362d4b69434a0cf4d97f43
43,025 ETH | $66.25M borrowed
Liquidation: ~$1,855.18
Wallet: 0xb8551abd2bb66498f6d257ae181d681fd2401e8a
41,034 ETH | $63.23M borrowed
Liquidation: ~$1,856.57
These sit dangerously close to each other, increasing the risk of clustered liquidations.
š§ Why This Zone Matters
This is not about ETH collapsing in a single candle.
Itās about time and gravity.
ETH doesnāt need to crash
It doesnāt need panic
It just needs to drift⦠slowly⦠awkwardly⦠lower
Once price enters this band, liquidation engines donāt care about:
Reputation
Fund size
Past performance
Market narratives
They execute ā automatically.
And forced selling creates feedback loops:
Liquidations ā selling pressure ā lower price ā more liquidations
š Broader Market Implications
If these liquidations trigger:
On-chain ETH supply increases
Stablecoin liquidity tightens
Volatility spikes across DeFi
Altcoins feel amplified downside pressure
This zone could become a systemic stress test for the Ethereum ecosystem.
š§© Final Thought
For now, the structure holds.
But once ETH enters this range, control quietly shifts from traders to algorithms.
This isnāt fear ā itās mechanics.
The market wonāt ask who is holding the position.
It will only ask where the liquidation price is.
Whatās your take ā does ETH stabilize before the zone⦠or does the staircase begin? šš
