Right now in early February 2026, the US and Iran are in a tense standoff — think "silence before the storm."
US warships (including carriers) are positioned in the region after Iran's crackdown on massive protests killed thousands.
Trump warns of "bad things" if no deal happens, while Iran's leaders threaten a regional war if attacked.
But diplomacy is heating up: US and Iranian officials are set for nuclear talks soon (possibly this week in Turkey), with regional players like Qatar and Turkey pushing to avoid conflict.
It's brinkmanship — high risk of miscalculation, but signs point to possible de-escalation instead of all-out war.
Crypto hit hard by the uncertainty:
Bitcoin dipped below $85K-$88K recently amid risk-off vibes, with the market shedding value and liquidations spiking. Geopolitical fears treat crypto like a volatile stock — sell first, ask later. Gold surges while BTC struggles as "digital gold."Inside Iran, though, crypto booms as people hedge against sanctions, inflation, and unrest — using BTC and stablecoins to move money freely.
Short-term: More tension = more volatility and potential dips. If talks succeed and calm returns, expect a relief rally. War?
Bigger sell-off, higher energy costs hitting mining.Bottom line: This fragile quiet could break either way — watch those talks closely.
Crypto stays sensitive to global chaos, but long-term, crises like this often boost adoption in shaky economies.
