U.S.–Iran standoff as of early February 2026 — including current tensions, military actions, diplomacy, and risks:
🔥 Current Situation
Escalation of military tensions: On February 3, 2026, the U.S. Navy shot down an Iranian Shahed-139 drone approaching the aircraft carrier USS Abraham Lincoln in the Arabian Sea, citing “unclear intent” and “aggressive approach.” Around the same time Iranian Revolutionary Guard forces harassed a U.S.–flagged merchant ship in the Strait of Hormuz, prompting defensive U.S. naval action.
Major diplomatic signals: Both sides are signaling talks to avert outright conflict. Iran has indicated progress on negotiations with the U.S., and U.S. leaders confirm engagement to prevent military escalation.
Iran’s public stance: Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian has said Tehran is ready for “fair and equitable” talks with Washington, emphasizing negotiations without threats. Iran also seeks changes to the location and scope of face-to-face discussions.
Regional risk factors:
Iran has warned that any U.S. attack could spark wider war across the Middle East.
Tehran has historically threatened to target U.S. military bases in the region if attacked.
Global commodity markets — especially oil and fuel prices — are vulnerable to disruption due to tensions around the Strait of Hormuz, through which a large share of global oil passes.