Markets are pricing in a 50% probability of another U.S. government shutdown before Valentine’s Day.
With budget negotiations still unresolved, political uncertainty remains a growing macro risk — especially for risk assets sensitive to sentiment shifts.
Historically, shutdown fears tend to increase volatility, push traders toward defensive positioning, and delay policy clarity.
Eyes remain on Washington as deadlines approach.

ARCUSDT
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OGUSDT
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SYNUSDT
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