Market Insight

The U.S. government shutdown has ended after the approval of a $1.2 trillion funding bill.

Short-term uncertainty has reduced.

However, liquidity conditions and political risks can still create volatility.

Focus Asset: $BTC

Why This Matters for Crypto

  1. Liquidity and Risk Appetite
    With the shutdown resolved, one major uncertainty has been removed.
    This may improve market confidence and capital flows.
    Historically, better liquidity conditions tend to support assets like Bitcoin and gold.

  2. Institutional Activity
    Regulatory and institutional processes that were paused can now resume.
    This is important because large capital inflows often drive major crypto trends.

  3. Ongoing Political Risk
    Department of Homeland Security funding expires on February 13, 2026.
    This creates another potential volatility window.

On-Chain and Macro Signals to Watch
• Stablecoin inflows indicate available buying power
• $BTC dominance shows risk sentiment
• DXY stability affects pressure on risk asset

These factors will help define the next move.

Current Market Structure
• BTC remains in a decision zone.
• It is neither strongly bullish nor bearish.
• The market is waiting for confirmation.

Risk and Invalidation
• If BTC loses the key support area near 74k–75k,
downside risk may increase.
• Every position should have a clear stop-loss.

High leverage remains risky in uncertain conditions.

Practical Takeaways
Avoid chasing short-term pumps
Wait for confirmation at support and resistance
Keep capital ready for February volatility
Use controlled position sizing

This is a patience-driven market, not a gambling environment.

Not financial advice. Do your own research

Your Turn
Do you think liquidity will push BTC higher,

or will February bring another shakeout?

Bullish or Cautious?


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