Across the last four major bear marketsā2018, 2020, 2022, and now 2025āone brutal pattern repeats with uncanny precision: fear peaks ā investors run for the exits.
š US mutual fund & ETF flows confirm it: massive outflows happen at the absolute worst moments. Capital isnāt fleeing because fundamentals collapseāitās fleeing because short-term pain overwhelms emotions.
2018: Heavy selling during crypto & equity drawdowns.
2020: Historic outflows amid COVID shock.
2022: Panic selling during aggressive monetary tightening.
2025: History repeatsāinvestors exit near cycle lows.
šØ This isnāt risk management. Itās emotional capitulation.
The real damage? Not the temporary drawdown. Itās what happens after. Selling in panic breaks compounding, halts wealth-building, and guarantees long-term losses.
āThe first rule of compounding: never interrupt it unnecessarily.ā
Markets donāt punish volatility. They punish investors who abandon compounding at its most powerful moments.
š Bear markets arenāt anomaliesātheyāre structural features of financial systems. Every long-term uptrend is forged during periods of discomfort, uncertainty, and negative headlines.
History is crystal clear:
Those who exit during fear often miss the recovery.
Those who stay invested or add selectively capture disproportionate gains when sentiment flips.
ā³ The market doesnāt reward perfect timingāit rewards discipline, patience, and contrarian action.
The real question isnāt: Can prices go lower tomorrow?
Itās: Are you investing with a long-term frameworkāor panicking like everyone else?
š Every cycle has winners. Almost always, theyāre the ones who didnāt sell when everyone else did.
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