Markets never make noise when they decide.
They move quietly first, then shock everyone later.
Thatās exactly what just happened.
$BTC has rolled below $71,000 ā
the very support level I highlighted earlier is now broken.
Many expected the $71,500 resistance to hold.
And it did⦠for a brief moment.
Then what followed was inevitable:
ā”ļø Continuation to the downside
ā”ļø Bearish structure confirmed
Now one question is echoing everywhere:
āIs this the real breakdown?ā
āAre we heading toward 42k?ā
Letās remove emotion and look at charts, dominance, and macro reality.
š What the 4H Close Is Telling Us
Survivors in this market donāt trade headlines ā
they trade candle closes.
š“ A 4H close below the key zone has shifted the entire structure.
The chart is now very clear.
šÆ Next confirmed level:
BTC ā $63,000
This is not speculation.
This is structure + dominance alignment.
š So Where Is the Possible Bottom?
My POV is straightforward:
BTC ā $63,000
$ETH ā $1,750
$SOL ā $79
These levels are not random guesses.
They are technically and mathematically linked.
Hereās why.
š§ The Real Driver: USDT Dominance
Most traders are still staring only at BTC charts.
Smart money doesnāt.
They watch:
š USDT Dominance (USDT.D)
š Current status:
USDT.D ā 7.7%
Key resistance = 8.01%
Why is 8.01% critical?
Because it is:
A yearly resistance
Historically a trigger zone for market-wide flushes
Hereās the key alignment:
If USDT dominance pushes toward 8.01%,
BTC aligns perfectly with the $63,000 region.
Thatās not coincidence.
Thatās capital rotation math.
ā ļø What If 8.01% Doesnāt Hold?
This is the part most donāt want to hear.
If:
USDT dominance breaks above yearly resistance
Then:
ā”ļø Liquidity shifts further risk-off
ā”ļø Altcoins bleed harder
ā”ļø BTC could realistically be seen inā¦
𩸠The $40k range
Iām not saying it will happen.
Iām sayingā
Market structure allows for that scenario.
š³ Whale Behavior Is Sending Signals
Look around carefully:
#WhaleDeRiskETH
Smart money is reducing ETH exposure
Funding rates weakening across derivatives
These are not early bull market signals.
These are late-cycle caution signals.
š Macro Pressure Isnāt Helping Either
At the same time, zoom out:
#USIranStandoff ā geopolitical risk premium rising
#KevinWarshNominationBullOrBear ā Fed narrative uncertainty
Capital still seeks safety
GoldāSilver discussions resurfacing (#GoldSilverRebound)
All of it points to one conclusion:
This is not a risk-on environment yet.
ā³ So When Is the Bottom?
In my view:
š§ The bottom is not far.
But it is not confirmed yet.
Markets always:
Create fear first
Shake out weak hands
Then offer opportunity
š Those who panic now will chase later
š Those who stay patient now will win the next leg
š§ Final Thoughts
In this market:
Donāt trust noise
Donāt marry narratives
Watch Structure + Dominance + Macro together
I warned when BTC was near 71k.
Now Iām saying this clearly:
63k is not fear.
63k is information.
Stay tuned.
Stay liquid.
Stay sharp.
The market is preparing something.
#KevinWarshNominationBullOrBear
