$$BTC
$USDC History doesn't repeat, but it certainly rhymes. If you’re looking at the current price action and feeling optimistic, you might be ignoring the most consistent pattern in Bitcoin’s history: The Diminishing Drawdown.#WhenWillBTCRebound
As the market matures and institutional liquidity provides a thicker floor, the "pain" of the bear market has mathematically decreased in every single cycle. Take a look at the data:
2011: -93% (The Wild West)
2015: -86% (Early Adoption)
2018: -84% (Retail Mania)
2022: -77% (Institutional Entry)#
🧩 The 2026 Projection
The pattern is undeniable. Each cycle bottom is roughly 7-10% shallower than the previous one. Following this trajectory, the next logical bottom is a -70% drawdown.
With our 2025 All-Time High sitting at approximately $126,000, the math is cold and simple: