🚨 BREAKING: The U.S. government faces a shutdown in just 6 days.
The last time this happened, gold and silver printed new all-time highs.
If you’re exposed to stocks or high-risk assets, caution is critical.
We’re moving toward a complete economic data blackout.
Here are the 4 real dangers 👇
1️⃣ Data paralysis
No CPI. No employment data.
The Fed loses visibility, and risk models stop working.
Uncertainty forces the VIX higher.
2️⃣ Collateral stress
With credit already under pressure, a shutdown risks ratings downgrades.
Repo haircuts rise.
Liquidity evaporates.
3️⃣ Funding freeze
The RRP facility is nearly exhausted.
There’s no remaining liquidity backstop.
If dealers start hoarding cash, funding markets can lock up fast.
4️⃣ Recession catalyst
Each shutdown week shaves roughly 0.2% off GDP.
That’s enough to push a fragile economy into recession.
📉 In the last major stress event (March 2020),
the SOFR–IORB spread exploded.
👀 Keep an eye on SOFR–IORB.
If it widens, it signals cash scarcity in private markets while the Fed sits idle — exactly what we saw before the 2020 liquidity crisis.
This is serious — but preparation beats panic.
My trading identity:
DR4G0N TR4D3RS 🐉📈
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