𝗕𝗿𝗲𝗮𝗸𝗶𝗻𝗴 : 𝗕𝗶𝘁𝗰𝗼𝗶𝗻 𝗴𝗼𝘁 𝗵𝗶𝘁 𝗵𝗮𝗿𝗱: 𝗽𝗿𝗶𝗰𝗲 𝗱𝗿𝗼𝗽𝗽𝗲𝗱 𝗳𝗿𝗼𝗺 $𝟵𝟬,𝟬𝟬𝟬 𝘁𝗼 $𝟴𝟯,𝟮𝟬𝟬, wiping out almost the entire weekly recovery attempt back into the $92,000 zone.
As a reminder, this risk scenario was mentioned in advance:
𝗣𝗼𝘀𝘁 𝗳𝗿𝗼𝗺 𝟮𝟴/𝟬𝟭:
"As long as the price hasn't returned to the main watch zone at $92,000+ (marked with a red circle), the downside continuation scenario toward 84,000 and lower remains more than realistic."
Post from 26/01:
"I expect continuation toward stop 3 at $84,200, unless we see strong institutional buying, ETF inflows, or any major hawkish news."
What's happening now
- At this point, I confirm a daily close /hold below the long-term trendline, which increases the probability of a deeper correction.
- All stop-losses around $84,200 have been swept - this was the 3rd and final stop zone previously marked on the chart.
New correction levels
- $73,800 (Уровень 4)
A major stop-loss concentration zone for those who started building positions since early April 2025.
A historically significant level with multiple clean touches.
- $52,900 (Уровень 5)
Another historically important level.
Matches the measured move target of the flag pattern highlighted on the chart.
→
This is now my main scenario.
Bullish scenario (unchanged)
The bullish scenario remains the same:
any reclaim and hold above the long-term trendline, with a return into the main watch zone at $92,000+.
Important note (Fibonacci)
Also watch $57,900 - this level aligns with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement, measured across the entire growth cycle from January 2023 to October 2025
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