俊哥说趋势

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Dear cryptocurrency friends, have you kept up with this wave of market trends in the late night?

Recently, many friends have complained to me that they are dizzy in the cryptocurrency world, trying to find direction but unable to do so. The opportunities they see always seem to be just out of reach, and after a long time of effort, they still miss out.

Having been in the cryptocurrency space for so many years, I understand the frustration of feeling lost. The market moves quickly, information is fragmented, and without a reliable partner to sort out the thoughts together, it's really easy to waste sleepless nights.

If you are also caught in this confusion, don't bear it alone. Come chat with me, Jun Ge. I am Jun Ge, an old-timer in the cryptocurrency world. I usually love to analyze trends and also enjoy helping my brothers clarify their logic.

@俊哥说趋势 Let's discuss and improve together. Chat room ID user99fzt, feel free to come in and sit for a while. How is the market moving? Where are the opportunities hidden? We can chat and break it down together, and who knows, the next fluctuation might be one you can catch steadily.

The cryptocurrency world is not short of opportunities; what’s lacking is partners who can discern direction together. I'll be waiting for you in the chat room.
#加密市场观察 #美联储回购协议计划

Evening BTC Trend Analysis

Recent Trends: Since the beginning of the month, the price has risen from a low of about 90066 to a high of 97932, then retreated. Currently, it is fluctuating around 95395.

Key Points

1. In an upward trend, the price has strongly broken through multiple moving averages. The moving average system shows a bullish arrangement, and the short-term moving averages show signs of a turn.

2. In the MACD indicator, DIF and DEA have formed a death cross at a high level, and green bars are gradually enlarging, indicating that selling pressure is increasing.

3. The price has formed certain resistance at high levels. During the range fluctuation, the volume has changed, and attention should be paid to whether the subsequent volume can effectively cooperate with the breakout.

Operational Suggestions

1. Aggressive traders: If the price breaks above 96000 and the volume follows, a light position can be taken to go long. Set the stop loss below 95000, with a target of the 97000 - 98000 range.

2. Conservative traders: Wait for the price to break through the fluctuation range or stabilize near 94000 before considering entry. If aggressive traders see the price break below 94000, a light position can be taken to go short, with the stop loss set above 95000, targeting the 93000 - 92000 range.

Jun Ge analyzes the meaning of this news update for crypto friends: In simple terms, for companies, if they buy in when ETH is at $3000 and stake it at a fixed annual yield of 3%, when the ETH price rises to $9000, they can earn a 9% annual yield in USD from staking. Even if the price drops, the long-term staking yield can offset fiat currency losses.

Moreover, for institutions and companies, ETH, like BitMine, acts as an optimizer for balance sheets in the long cycle. It has high growth potential and technological characteristics, which makes its valuation similar to today's AI stocks with extremely high price-to-earnings ratios, racing against time.

Family, what do you think about this wave of ETH? Let's chat in the comments.

Brothers, have you been confused by the double killing of bulls and bears recently @俊哥说趋势

The market swings back and forth; just as you chase the long position, it's smashed down; just as you cut losses on the short position, it rallies. It's like bungee jumping, and holding on will only lead you deeper into trouble.

Hear my advice: don't use your money to practice. For professional matters, you need to find professionals.

I've been in this circle for 8 years, and I've seen too many people mess around and lose their minds. Now I lead a team to monitor the chat room, specifically capturing the rhythm of the waves.

We don't play games; we don't do hindsight analysis. We watch the market and review it daily, breaking down key signals clearly and feeding them into your hands. Follow along, avoid pitfalls, and make more profit.

If you want to securely grasp the rhythm, just join the chat room, and let's take back the initiative together.
#Strategy增持比特币 #币安钱包TGE

From the chart, the recent trend of Sol is as follows:

Price Fluctuation: The price fluctuates between 137 - 148, which is quite noticeable.

Moving Average Situation: MA7 is 143 and MA30 is 143, with both moving averages almost overlapping, indicating that short-term and medium-term trends are close.

MACD Indicator: DIF is -0.25, DEA is -0.44, and the MACD value is 0.38, overall in a relatively stagnant state.

Core Points
Price Range Fluctuation: Recently, the price has been fluctuating up and down within a certain range, not forming a clear one-sided trend.

Indicators Provide No Clear Guidance: Moving averages and MACD indicators have not provided strong bullish or bearish signals; the market direction is unclear.

Operational Suggestions
Short-term Trading: Given the price fluctuations, one could attempt to take a light long position when the price approaches the lower edge of the range around 137, targeting near 145. If the price encounters resistance around 145, a light short position could be taken, targeting near 137. Be sure to set stop-losses to control risk.

Medium-term Observation: Due to the current unclear market direction, medium-term investors may temporarily observe and wait for the trend to become clearer before entering trades.

【SOL Market Analysis】

The 1.2-hour level has shown signs of rebound, but the 4-hour level remains in a bearish pattern. Today's focus is on the vicinity of 143.82, which is a critical short-term node. Only if the 4-hour level firmly stands above this position can the rebound continue, with upward pressure observed at 145.55, 147.17, and around 148.83.

If the 1-hour level cannot push above 143.82 today, it indicates that this small rebound lacks strength and is likely to weaken further. Initial support is at 142.20, followed by 140.77 and around 169.38.

【XRP Market Analysis】

The 1 to 2-hour levels are currently oscillating in a bearish range, and the 4-hour level is also leaning bearish. Today's key focus lies around 2.0798, and we need to wait for the 4-hour level to stabilize at this position before the 2-hour level has a chance to initiate a rebound. Upward pressure should be noted at 2.1018, 2.1259, and around 2.1523.

If the 2-hour level cannot break through 2.0798 today, the weakness is unlikely to change, and a further decline is highly probable. Initial support is at 2.0558, with further declines to 2.0337 and around 2.0081.

Note: Keeping a close watch on key levels and resonance across timeframes is the core logic. If stability is not maintained, follow the weak scenario, and keep the rhythm steady.

1.16 Afternoon Market Analysis

On the Bitcoin side, influenced by the hawkish signals from the Federal Reserve, coupled with the negative impact of U.S. employment data, it plummeted directly from a high of 98000, once probing down to 95080. Subsequently, there was a weak rebound, and it is currently oscillating around 95672.8. The short-term rhythm is still firmly grasped by the bears, leaving little room for the bulls to turn the tables.

Looking at the technical side, the MA7 and MA30 have already crossed downwards on the hourly level, with the two moving averages pressing down on the price like a barrier. For the rebound to surge upwards, it must first pass this hurdle. The drop was accompanied by a significant volume increase, while the volume during the rebound weakened, showing a feeble strength in the pullback. It didn't even touch the MA7 moving average, a typical pattern where the bears dominate.

Operational thought reference: Consider positioning a limit order in the 96100-96600 range during the rebound. For the short term, focus on 94000-94500, while for the medium term, aim for the round number of 90000. For the long term, 86000 is a more distant anchor point.

In terms of rhythm, keep a close eye on volume and moving average pressure. Don't blindly chase the rebound; in a bear-dominated situation, it's more important to guard key positions in line with the trend.

Brothers, did you really understand CZ's live stream?

He said Bitcoin could hit $200,000? Not surprising.

He said the altcoin season is coming? Not new either.

What truly gave me chills was this—on-chain Meme players' most important skill is risk control.

You thought he was talking about the future, but he was actually judging your present.

Jun Ge breaks down CZ's hidden meanings line by line—each one hits hard.

1. $200,000 will eventually come. But he immediately added, 'I can't see the top yet.'

Translated: The journey will bloodily wipe out countless people. Only those who survive will be the winners.

2. You like Meme jokes, but you're indifferent to Meme coin trading.

Even the CEO of Binance only plays memes and doesn't trade coins. Why do you think you're the chosen one who can escape the top?

3. There will definitely be an altcoin season in the future. But he doesn't recommend beginners touch futures contracts.

The message is clear: opportunities are only for those still in the game and haven't blown up yet.

The harshest line: he doesn't want the Meme coin hype to chase his and He Yi's tweets.

Think about it, really think. Even the founders are afraid of market overinterpretation of their words—what does that tell you?

It means retail investor sentiment has become so volatile that a single spark could trigger a stampede.

Your action checklist? Just copy the playbook.

Stick the words 'risk control' right in the most visible spot on your screen.

If you feel the urge to chase gains, test with just 5% of your position. If it goes up, don't add more. If it drops, don't average down.

Remember CZ's unspoken rule: he dares to shout $200,000 because he knows most people can't hold on.

Finally, here's a truth.

Bull markets don't make everyone rich—they let a few清醒 people profit from the money of the majority who are疯狂.

Follow Jun Ge at @俊哥说趋势 . Next week, I'll break down how to use CZ's mindset to escape the top before the crash.

After all, what he dares to say on live stream isn't a secret. What he doesn't say? That's the life-or-death line. #CZ

Ethereum withdrawal sentiment continues

CEX net outflow of 38,700 ETH in the past 24 hours

This is a BlockBeats report, data from January 16th, provided by Coinglass

The top three CEXs by outflow are:

Bithumb: outflow of 25,300 ETH

Bybit: outflow of 18,200 ETH

Binance: outflow of 8,762 ETH

Additionally, OKX saw an inflow of 21,800 ETH, ranking first on the inflow list

Crypto trading requires constant attention to these dynamics. Let's seize the market opportunities together—Jun哥 is with you all

Recent Ethereum Trend Analysis and Trading Recommendations

Trend Analysis

From the chart, Ethereum has recently shown an initial upward trend followed by consolidation. The upward phase began around 3061.35 and rose steadily to a high of 3403, after which it entered a consolidation phase. The consolidation range is roughly between 3290 and 3403. The current price is fluctuating within this range. In the MACD indicator, the DIF line is below the DEA line, and the histogram shows green bars, indicating short-term downward pressure, but the overall upward trend has not been completely broken.

Key Points

The initial upward trend was clear, indicating that bullish forces were dominant. Although there was a pullback and transition into consolidation, there is still some support below. The 3290 level is a strong support zone, and a potential rebound may occur if the price drops to this level.

Although the MACD indicator shows short-term downward signals, it should be combined with other indicators for comprehensive analysis and should not be used alone to determine a trend reversal.

During the consolidation phase, trading volume has remained relatively stable without significant expansion or contraction, indicating limited divergence between bulls and bears at current levels. However, the market is also building momentum for a potential breakout.

Trading Recommendations

If you are a conservative investor, wait for a clear breakout from the consolidation range before taking action. If the price breaks above 3403, consider entering a long position with a moderate size, setting a stop-loss around 3350, and targeting a range of 3500 to 3600. If the price breaks below 3290, remain cautious and wait for stabilization signals.

If you are an aggressive investor, you can engage in high-low trading within the consolidation range. When the price approaches 3403, consider a light short position, with a stop-loss set around 3450, targeting a range of 3300 to 3250. When the price approaches 3290, consider a light long position, with a stop-loss set around 3250, targeting a range of 3350 to 3400. However, be sure to manage position size and risk carefully.

【1.16 Market Snapshot】Focus on Key Support & Resistance Levels @俊哥说趋势

Daily Pressure Level: Watch closely around 96000.

Daily Support Level: Keep an eye on around 94800.

Daily Chart View: Bullish Foundation Remains Strong

Currently, the daily-level moving averages have formed a clean bullish alignment, like laying down a 'rising staircase' for upward movement. Although the bullish momentum shows minor fluctuations, it remains firmly within a healthy range, effectively reinforcing the foundation for further upward momentum—there's no sign of weakening.

4-Hour Detail: Stability Maintained as Long as Midline Holds

Switching to the 4-hour chart, Bitcoin price is steadily positioned above the Bollinger Middle Band—a critical support level in the recent uptrend! The logic is simple: as long as the price doesn't break below this level decisively, the overall upward rhythm remains intact. Stick with the low-long strategy and stay calm.

Trading Strategy: Pullbacks Are Buying Opportunities

For a concrete reference, consider placing long positions around 95000–94500, aiming first for 97000, then targeting 98800.

In short, the bullish tone of the current market hasn't changed. As long as support levels hold, follow the trend and maintain the low-long strategy firmly.
#Strategy增持比特币 #BinanceABCs

Where will FIL fall to? Today I'll clearly draw out the path.

Currently, FIL is encountering resistance near the daily chart pressure level of 1.61, and the 4-hour MACD is approaching a death cross, so it's currently in a 4-hour downtrend. After this wave completes, the second buying opportunity at the sub-level of the daily chart's 4-hour structure will gradually form, which will be the comfortable entry point for us to go long.

From a Chan Theory perspective, FIL has now shown a 30-minute top divergence, and two笔 (bǐ) centers have already formed within the 30-minute timeframe, triggering a trend divergence. This structure is highly likely to lead to a 4-hour downward wave, i.e., a 30-minute level segment correction.

Trading strategy: first focus on short positions.

Entry range: aim for around 1.61 to 1.63.

Target first: 1.54, then 1.5.

Stop-loss set at 1.7, to maintain risk control.

In short, don't rush to buy the bottom now; wait for the second buying signal on the 4-hour chart to light up, then switch to a long position without delay.

1.15

Bitcoin at 126,000 is just the beginning; what we're seeing now is merely a warm-up.

A drop from 126,000 to 80,000 represents a 37% correction. Last year and the year before, it was the same—each time, a 30% to 31% correction occurred, followed immediately by a surge.

How strong is the rebound? In the past, there were three-month rallies of 120%, and others that jumped 70% in just three months. We're now at the craziest phase of the bull market's tail—this phase can see gains of 150% or even 200% within three months. So Bitcoin is expected to reach between 180,000 and 240,000.

The most intense part of a bull market is never the start or the middle—it's the tail. That's when institutions, governments, and funds rush to accumulate and restructure debt. Retail investors wanting to exit? They'll become the next batch of韭菜 (chopped greens) on the chopping block.

Looking back at my previous forecasts: when Bitcoin hit 31,000 and the entire network was screaming collapse, I had already said this wave would definitely break 100,000; when Ethereum was at 2,200 and panic spread across the network, I directly pointed out the next month’s main rally would hit 3,800, with short-term targets of 5,000 and medium-term goals of 12,000!

Looking at historical patterns:

2017 bull market tail: 2,800 to 20,000 in three months;

2019 bear-to-bull transition: 3,300 to 14,000 in three months;

2021 bull market tail: 13,000 to 58,000 in three months;

2023 bear-to-bull transition: 34,000 to 64,000 in three months;

2024 consolidation phase: 49,000 to 100,000 in three months.

Don’t ask why—this is Bitcoin’s fixed rhythm. The main surge of each cycle always erupts within three months, and every frenzy ignites in the silence of despair.

The current market structure is exactly what the big players love: 'pseudo-fatigue.' ETFs are quietly accumulating, M2 continues to expand, Nasdaq hits new highs, while gold has already peaked; the Fed talks tough hawkishness but practices dovish policies—this isn’t a correction. It’s clearly the prelude to a bull market’s final explosion!

The number of Ethereum network transactions reaches a new high, bringing fresh momentum to the crypto market

From the perspective of market activity, the significant increase in Ethereum network transactions is undoubtedly a positive signal. It indicates that more and more users are actively operating on Ethereum, whether for transferring assets, trading NFTs, or participating in DeFi projects. All these reflect the vibrant development of the Ethereum ecosystem

Take DeFi as an example—various lending, borrowing, and investment projects have emerged like mushrooms after rain on Ethereum, attracting substantial capital and users. Meanwhile, the booming NFT market has drawn numerous artists, creators, and investors to the Ethereum network for digital asset trading. These activities collectively drive the growth in Ethereum network transaction volume

Additionally, Ethereum's development faces growing competition from other public chains. Although Ethereum remains the market leader in the crypto space, chains like Solana and Polkadot are also rapidly rising, each with unique advantages and characteristics, striving to capture a share of the market. Ethereum must continue innovating and upgrading to meet these challenges

For investors, the record-high transaction volume on the Ethereum network can serve as a reference indicator for market observation. However, this does not mean blindly following the trend. The crypto market is full of uncertainty and risks. We need to consider various factors comprehensively, including market trends, technological developments, and regulatory policies

In summary, the record-breaking transaction volume on the Ethereum network marks a significant milestone in the development of the crypto market. It brings both opportunities and challenges. Whether developers, project teams, or investors, we all need to closely monitor Ethereum network dynamics and make reasonable decisions based on our own circumstances. Let's seize opportunities and move forward steadily in this ever-changing crypto market.

【ETH Order Review Yesterday】#Strategy增持比特币 #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥

Place long orders around 3280-3300
🎯 First Target: 3350 — Already Reached (Harvested 70 USD)
🎯 Second Target: 3400
🎯 Third Target: 3450.

The target breakdown is crystal clear, progressing step by step without greed. The first target of 3350 was hit first, securing a 70-point gain—this rhythm was perfectly controlled. Steady traders, take profits when you see the chance, lock in gains, and sleep soundly, prioritizing stability above all. Those who haven’t taken profit yet, don’t panic—the second target of 3400 and third target of 3450 are still within reach. Your holding logic remains unchanged; just be patient and wait for the right moment.

If you're stuck in a loss or want to follow a new strategy, just chat with Jun Ge in the chat room and check Jun Ge's homepage info @俊哥说趋势

sol
I. Trend Analysis

From the chart, SOL's price has been fluctuating frequently recently, rising to 145 before pulling back. Overall, it has been oscillating within a certain range. The current price is around 144, with a closing gain of 0 and an amplitude of 0.04%. In terms of moving averages, MA7 is 144 and MA(30) is 144, with the price hovering near both short-term and medium-term moving averages. In the MACD indicator, DIF is -0.04 and DEA is -0.05, both below the zero line, with DIF slightly below DEA, indicating a slight advantage for the short-side, but the edge is not significant.

II. Key Points

1. The price is in a consolidation range, with no clear directional trend established.

2. Moving averages are entangled, making short-term direction unclear.

3. The MACD indicator shows a slight short-side advantage, but the strength is limited.

III. Trading Suggestions

1. For short-term traders: Consider buying low and selling high within the range, using 144 as support and 145.00 as resistance. When the price approaches 144, consider lightly entering long positions with a stop-loss set below 143. When the price nears 145, consider lightly entering short positions with a stop-loss set above 145.

2. For medium-term traders: It is recommended to wait and observe, waiting for a breakout from the range accompanied by increased volume or other clear signals before entering the market.

3. Closely monitor overall market sentiment and relevant news. The cryptocurrency market is highly volatile, and news can have a significant impact. Be cautious and manage risk accordingly.

DOGE's current position, really has some substance.

On the surface, the data is dazzling. Whales have aggressively bought 297 million tokens in 24 hours, and ETFs have seen net inflows of $423,000 this month. At first glance, the momentum seems strong enough to take off.

But when you dig into the technicals, the picture completely changes. MACD has formed a bearish crossover, RSI has dropped to just 35, and the price has broken through the Bollinger Band middle line. More critically, the range between 0.155 and 0.16 clearly shows whales positioning themselves to dump.

Here's a sobering stat: the concentration score is only 0.01579824. What does that mean? Institutions aren't planning to enter the market at all—interest is virtually zero.

For short-term trading, focus on the consolidation between 0.14 and 0.15. To break the deadlock, the price must first surge past 0.155. If it can't hold above 0.135, don't hesitate—exit immediately.

For long-term strategy, stay cautious. Wait until EMA120 stabilizes before discussing the next move.

Right now, DOGE is like a hidden battle between bulls and bears. Data can be misleading, but the technicals tell the truth. Don't get dazzled by the noise—timing and positioning are what truly matter.

Trend Analysis

From the chart, ETH's recent price has shown a pattern of initial decline followed by recovery. There was a noticeable drop earlier, reaching a low of 3275, after which a rebound began. The current price is around 3311 and is trading above both the MA7 and MA30 moving averages. The MA7 value is 3312, and the MA30 value is 3308, indicating that short-term bullish momentum is dominant, with an upward trend in place.

Key Points

The previous decline was significant, and the new low triggered a rebound, suggesting there is some support at lower levels.

The price has stabilized above short-term moving averages, with the moving average system showing a bullish alignment, providing support to the price.

In the MACD indicator, the DIF line is above the DEA line, and the MACD value is positive, indicating the presence of bullish momentum.

Trading Recommendations

Aggressive investors may consider entering lightly on dips, with a recommended entry range of 3300–3305. Set a stop-loss below 3290. If the price breaks above 3320, consider adding to the position.

Conservative investors may wait for the price to break above and hold above 3320 before entering, with a stop-loss set below 3305. The target range is 3335–3340.

Closely monitor market developments and news. If the price breaks below the stop-loss level, exit promptly to control risk.

ZEC Recent Trend Analysis:

From the chart, ZEC has shown a volatile upward trend recently, with prices gradually recovering from the low of 422 and reclaiming some lost ground.

Key Points:

1. Price Movement: In terms of moving averages, the short-term MA7 has crossed above the medium-term MA30, forming a golden cross signal, indicating short-term bullish dominance. However, the price is still constrained by the previous downward trend line.

2. Trading Volume: As prices rise, trading volume has increased, reflecting higher market participation. However, overall volume has not seen a explosive surge.

3. Technical Indicators: In the MACD indicator, the DIF has crossed above the DEA, forming a bottom-level golden cross, with the red histogram bars gradually expanding, indicating strengthening bullish momentum.

Trading Suggestions:

1. Aggressive Investors: Consider gradually building positions around 430 during price pullbacks, setting stop-loss below 427, with a target of 435. If 435 is broken, the next target could be 440.

2. Conservative Investors: Wait for a confirmed breakout above the 435 resistance level, then enter when the price pulls back for confirmation.

3. Closely monitor market news and overall market trends, adjusting position sizes accordingly.