It took me 4 years in the crypto market to realize these things & you only need 2 minutes to read: 🤏
1. No matter the market condition, one thing stays the same: 8% of people will own 21 million Bitcoin. 2. Financial, capital, and risk management skills are 100 times more important than technical analysis or crypto research. 3. Earning while you sleep: There are many ways to make money in the crypto market without actively trading.
On average, #Bitcoin has increased more than 100% per year over the past 15 years. Yet, why do so few people make money? Because getting rich quickly is a common mentality. If you can't dedicate at least 4 hours a day to crypto, stick to Bitcoin and ETH—70% in BTC and 30% in ETH.
Trust no one: Trust leads to hope, disappointment, and errors. Learn independently and take responsibility for your actions. This is how to gain automatic minting experience!
The ultimate goal of investing: Make life more meaningful. If crypto investing can achieve that, do it. If not, reconsider.
Crypto is now a financial market: Originally born from technology, it's now influenced by macroeconomics and connected to mainstream financial markets.
People may discourage you from buying Bitcoin, but remember, once something is widely accepted, the opportunity might be gone. Seize your chance now!
Invest wisely, make meaningful choices, and let crypto pave the way to a better future.
The U.S. just completed its first $500M sale of Venezuelan oil — but here’s the edge most missed 👇 Funds aren’t flowing to Caracas or the Treasury. They’re parked in U.S.-controlled offshore accounts (Qatar) to block creditor seizures.
Why this matters (and where money watches): • Sets a new blueprint for resource monetization under sanctions • Reduces legal risk → smoother future sales • Signals tighter control over cash flows = more predictable supply dynamics
Smart money is watching energy + geopolitics + liquidity spillovers. Narratives like this don’t move slow. ⚠️
Even if 2026 ends up being labeled a “bear market,” it’s increasingly clear that it won’t resemble t
What we’re seeing now is something more nuanced — an atypical bear market, shaped by a maturing holder base and a structurally higher cost foundation.
Back on December 10, 2025, a key calculation showed that Bitcoin would need to fall to around $62,000 to push the PSIP (Percentage of Supply in Profit) below 50%. An earlier calculation on November 20 placed that threshold closer to $59,000. When the model was recalculated again recently, the number stayed at $62,000 — unchanged.
That stability tells an important story.
Between November 20 and December 10, a significant amount of low-cost coins rotated into higher-cost hands. In simple terms: early holders took profits, and new buyers stepped in at higher prices. This raised Bitcoin’s overall cost basis.
From December 10 through mid-January, however, this rotation slowed dramatically. Low-to-high swaps largely dried up, and the cost basis stabilized — which is why the PSIP threshold remained fixed at $62,000.
Looking back over the past decade reinforces this pattern.
During major stress events, PSIP has always dropped — but each cycle’s “bottom” has been higher than the last. In 2019, PSIP bottomed near 40%. During the March 12, 2020 liquidity crash, it held closer to 45%. After the FTX collapse, it stabilized around 50%.
Each crisis left Bitcoin more resilient than before.
This trend suggests that if a true bottom reconstruction happens in 2026, PSIP is likely to remain above 50% — potentially closer to 55%. Under current conditions, that would imply a price region around $72,000.
Putting it together, the statistically reasonable range for a future bottom appears to sit between $62,000 and $72,000, or possibly higher.
Interestingly, this range aligns closely with independent work in the English-speaking market using a Bitcoin Power Law Price Model. As price deviations revert toward the model’s lower bound over time, the overlap with this cost-based range is striking.
Different methods. Same gravity.
This isn’t a short-term price call. It’s a framework — a dynamic equilibrium shaped by time, cost, and capital behavior. Short-term violations can happen, but historically, Bitcoin does not stay below its evolving cost anchor for long. $BTC
Larry Fink isn’t a crypto influencer. He runs BlackRock — the largest asset manager on earth.
What matters isn’t a hype quote. It’s positioning.
Institutions are already moving 👇 • Spot ETFs are pulling billions into BTC and ETH • Custody + compliance rails are live • Capital that waited for “regulation” now has an on-ramp
The real signal: Crypto is being treated less like a trade… and more like financial infrastructure.
For traders & investors: That’s long-term bullish for BTC, ETH, and liquidity hubs like BNB— even during pullbacks.
🔥 Crypto Myth Busters: Is Market Making Really Only for Big Institutions?
No billion-dollar balance sheet? Forget market making.” That line gets repeated a lot in crypto circles and it sounds convincing. But it’s also misleading.
Market making isn’t about status. It’s about efficiency.
Liquidity keeps every market alive — from illiquid alt pairs to $BTC itself. And liquidity doesn’t ask who you are. It only rewards those who can quote tightly, manage risk, and survive costs over time.
A few months ago at TOKEN2049 Singapore (Oct 1–2, 2025), I spoke with an independent algo trader during a side meetup. No hype. No VC backing. Just clean logic.
He had a functioning strategy, disciplined execution, and controlled exposure. On paper, it worked. In live markets, it slowly bled.
The issue wasn’t alpha. It wasn’t speed. It wasn’t even competition.
It was fees.
Trading costs quietly consumed the spread. HFT-style economics broke down trade by trade. Over time, a strategy that should have been profitable turned negative — even with correct positioning. The edge wasn’t lost in the market. It was lost to friction.
That’s the part most people miss.
Retail vs institutions isn’t the real divide. Cost structure is.
When fees, rebates, latency, and execution models aren’t aligned with the strategy, scale won’t save you — and lack of scale won’t doom you either. What matters is matching your setup to the market you’re serving.
That’s why alternative market-making setups are gaining attention.
Not because they promise magic returns — but because they rethink where and how liquidity is provided, and at what cost.
In crypto, myths don’t die easily. But markets don’t care about myths.
They only care about who can stay efficient long enough to matter. $BTC
🚨 $FOGO GEO ALERT — RUSSIA’S FAR EAST NARRATIVE SHIFTS
Russian Z-bloggers are claiming China has effectively taken control of large parts of Russia’s Far East 👀 Allegations say Chinese authorities are collecting taxes from regions stretching Chita → Vladivostok, alongside a growing Chinese population on the ground.
⚠️ Unverified — but market-relevant if pressure builds.
Why traders care: • Signals deepening Russia–China power imbalance • Long-term risk to Russian sovereignty narratives • Bullish volatility for energy, defense, and geopolitical hedges
Watch this closely. Narratives like this price in before confirmation.
Market note: If $FOGO holds this base and reclaims $0.048+, continuation setups open toward the $0.055–$0.06 range. Lose $0.043, and it’s a deeper reset — patience wins.
BlackRock just crossed $14 TRILLION in Assets Under Management — a new all-time high. Q4 2025 revenue came in at $7.01B, confirming capital isn’t sitting on the sidelines anymore.
Why this matters 👇 When the world’s biggest asset manager grows this fast, it usually means risk appetite is rising. TradFi liquidity → ETFs → crypto exposure tends to follow with a lag.
This is quietly bullish for majors ($BTC / $ETH ) …and for stable liquidity rails like $FRAX X as capital rotates on-chain.
BREAKING : The first U.S. sale of Venezuelan oil (~$500M) is done, but the cash didn’t go to Venezuela or the U.S. Treasury.
Instead, funds are held in U.S.-controlled offshore accounts (Qatar hub) — protected from creditors and courts. This is a new playbook: control the resource, sell it globally, lock the revenue.
Markets are watching. When energy power shifts, volatility creates opportunity.
🏦 BANKING COMMITTEE WATCH: SILENCE BEFORE THE MOVE
Senate Banking Chair Tim Scott says “everyone remains at the table working in good faith” — but gave no timeline on when the markup will be rescheduled.
That delay matters. No markup = no near-term regulatory clarity. Markets usually read this as policy risk staying elevated, which can keep TradFi cautious and push crypto traders into range-bound, volatility setups instead of long-term bets.
Smart money angle 👀 When legislation stalls, liquidity waits. Short-term traders often focus on key support holds, while institutions stay sidelined until dates are confirmed. Any sudden scheduling update could act as a headline catalyst.
Market note: stay nimble, trade reactions not hope.
$FOGO — Classic Launch Volatility, Not a Death Signal
$FOGO dumped ~50% in the first minute after launch — this is very normal for fresh listings.
What happened in simple words 👇 • Early buyers + airdrops smashed market orders • Liquidity was thin → candles stretched fast • Stops got wiped → panic selling kicked in • Smart money waited, then started absorbing
Now look at the structure: Price bounced hard from ~0.035 and is holding around 0.053–0.055. That tells us sellers are cooling off and buyers are defending a base.
Market read: This isn’t weakness — it’s price discovery. Launch dumps often shake out weak hands before the real move.
Simple trade idea (low stress): • Support: 0.050–0.052 • Bullish if: holds above 0.050 and forms higher low • First upside zone: 0.060–0.065 • Invalidation: clean break below 0.048
🔥 UPDATE: $DASH Unique addresses holding tokenized euros have now surpassed 200,000, per Token Terminal. $GUN Tokenized fiat adoption is quietly accelerating in Europe - real users, real settlement, real-world finance moving on-chain, $INIT This is how TradFi gets absorbed, not disrupted. #Write2Earn!
$OM The market is currently moving within a corrective zigzag pattern (ABC), and it seems we are in wave C, the final phase of this structure. Wave A has already started with a sharp downward movement, followed by wave B, which served as a countertrend rally. Now, wave C is advancing, forming the final phase of this corrective cycle.
Since this is a corrective zigzag 5-3-5, the third wave of wave C has already formed, which means that the market is approaching a critical demand area at 4.0283. This level represents a strong support area where a potential reversal may occur. If the price reacts positively from this area, it may indicate the end of the correction and the beginning of a new bullish phase, starting the first wave of the next upward trend.