黑手Garry

Sorry, it's all the result of our live broadcast.

The pancake dropped by 10 points,
Ethereum also dropped by 10 points.
What are you pretending to be?
Hurry up and catch up with the drop 📉#ETH

Why can't I hold onto the orders? Many people are also asking me in the live stream
But I know my trading expectations, so anything beyond those expectations can only be said to be outside my ability, that's not my gain or loss or my fate!

Starting from the 1st, the live broadcast has currently won for four consecutive days.
From the current price of Ethereum, funds have started to enter the market. From a supply and demand perspective, this indicates that market leaders or large holders have begun to position themselves in the spot market or are preparing for larger waves. Therefore, at this position, while I will continue to sell high and buy low, I will also always keep a base position because I do not want to miss out on the potential of a major market movement. The space below is already limited; for those brothers who have not been liquidated after this round of market activity, if you are still in a flat position, you can start to build a part of your position. It is not recommended to continue to short at this level; if you are going to trade, it can only be a short position, and what we should look forward to next is the emergence of a new high point, at which point we can truly consider strategies for trend rebounds or even reversals.

The market rewards those who are insightful and perceptive with rich returns, not only for their trading skills but also for their understanding of position management and mentality. Brothers who have managed to hold on without being liquidated until now have already surpassed many others, so do not underestimate yourselves. My subjective trading approach is primarily bullish, so while my take profit points are always close to the highest points, I rarely reverse to short. These days, for those brothers who have been hanging out in the live broadcast room and are consistently making profits, you have now gotten used to going short when I call for a complete exit. Although the results have shown that you have made considerable profits each time, do not forget to set stop-losses; I will remind you in the future.
In the financial market, especially in speculative trading, opportunities are always abundant. Therefore, it is crucial to manage your positions well; I do not want any brother to exit halfway due to position management issues. I can promise you that as long as you believe in my long-term perspective and walk this path together, I can help you make up for the regrets from mistakes you made earlier over time. The long-term trading life has made us relatively solitary individuals, so I also appreciate the platform that the square has provided for us traders to communicate and learn from each other. I hope that we can grow together with Binance and continuously iterate, adhering to the principle of long-termism. @黑手Garry @币安广场 #ETH

The analysis during the live broadcasts the day before yesterday and yesterday suggested a potential second drop. As expected, it broke out of the box structure. Although it eventually came back, the strategy validated a maximum profit of 5000 points, and Ethereum also provided hints 👇

ETH's upcoming trend prediction
Scenario 1 (Strengthening) breaks 2400,
Tests resistance at 2488, retraces to 2375
Then rises all the way to targets of 2700-2800
Scenario 2 (Weakening) fails to break 2400,
Consolidates in the 2400-2150 range to accumulate,
Ultimately, a false breakdown to gain liquidity completely ends the decline
Live broadcasts are fixed from Monday to Friday at 11 PM, welcome to join the chat room

Yesterday's decline perfectly validated scenario two, which is the weakening scenario
In the live broadcast room, I also provided the strategy in real-time, and I believe those who kept up benefited from it, the live strategy 👇

Market buy Ethereum at 2160
Take profit: 2245-2345 - cost loss pattern
Stop loss: 2100
Floating profit, has reached TP2
Add position at market price of 2213, with the added position stop loss at 2180

After we entered the market at the market price, we also added positions at 2213, and then directly hit the second take profit position with one needle 🪡

For Bitcoin, the price is at a new low after October 2024. After touching 73000, a technical rebound occurred, which is a reasonable adjustment. The price is now fluctuating around 76500, with daily resistance at the 78600 - 79800 range and daily support at 75000 - 75800.
There is a higher probability of a rebound during the Asian session, and the operation suggestion is to focus on the support position for short-term longs.
Fixed live broadcast every day from 11 PM to 5 AM Beijing time $BTC @BlackHandGarry

I don't understand why I wait in someone else's live streaming room for a liquidation
and no one comes to my live streaming room to pick up the blood buns🧐

The large support level for ZEC mentioned in yesterday's live broadcast has broken, here it comes.

Here he comes, he has arrived, the institution has entered with capital
Don't ask me where I saw it, all institutions have entered yet it still looks
Bring more in to be family, no doubling no leaving!!!$ASTER #Strategy增持比特币 @黑手Garry

#BTC何时反弹？ this issue is believed to be the most concerning for many people recently, as only when the major currencies begin to rebound can many holders of altcoins hope to break even or profit.

Next, I will share my perspective on the current market based on the daily structure of Bitcoin. In my trading system, the overall market and most altcoin prices have completed a complete downward trend.
High points continue to decline, the rebound strength is gradually weakening, and the bearish trend line remains effective, indicating that the market is still in a phase of trend decline.

Currently, BTC has fallen to the $77,000–$80,000 range, which is an important weekly demand area from earlier, as well as a key support zone in this round of upward structure. From historical trends, this range has the conditions for a technical rebound, but it does not equate to a trend reversal.

From a momentum perspective, the daily MACD is still operating below the zero line, and bearish momentum has not yet been fully released. Even if a rebound occurs in the short term, it is more likely to be a corrective rally during a downward trend.

What needs to be focused on is the height after the rebound, rather than whether to go long immediately.

If the subsequent rebound cannot re-establish above the $85,000–$88,000 range (previously dense trading area + downward trend resistance), then this rebound is likely still part of a trap for bulls. After the rebound ends, there is a risk that the price may retest or even break current support.

From a cyclical perspective, it appears more like a structural adjustment in the later stage of a bull market rather than the starting point of a new upward movement. The market is digesting the previously overly concentrated bullish positions through time and space.

In summary:
There will be rebounds, but the pace is slow.
The height of the rebound determines subsequent risks.
Before a clear structural reversal occurs, it is not advisable to have overly high expectations for the rebound.

The market has never lacked rebounds; what is lacking is a structure that can continue to strengthen after the rebound.
At this stage, it is more appropriate to patiently wait for confirmation rather than rush in.
The above is an observation of the mid-term trend; short-term fluctuations are large, so be mindful of risk control.
To prevent misunderstandings, this is hereby explained. $BTC @黑手Garry #BTC何时反弹？

Why does it seem that all the news coming out of a bear market is negative?
Recently, macro and market news has been released intensively.
PPI higher than expected, gold and silver plummeting, government shutdown, Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates, ETF net outflow, repeated geopolitical conflicts.

At first glance, it all seems negative.
But one thing needs to be made clear: it’s not that the news in a bear market is worse, but rather that in a bear market, the market will only amplify negative news. The same structure of news, if it occurs in a bull market, will most likely be interpreted as “within expectations,” “uncertainty digested,” or “short-term disturbances.” However, in a bear market or in the later stages of a sideways market, any bearish signal will be taken by the market as a reason for continued decline.

The essential reason lies not in the news itself, but in the fact that risk appetite has already contracted.

When the market is unwilling to take on risk: good news struggles to push prices up, neutral news is ignored, and bad news is repeatedly traded. This is also why during bear markets, watching the news only leads to increasing pessimism.

It is important to note that the so-called “bad news” currently does not materially change the market structure. It is more of a reaffirmation of existing problems rather than a new source of shock.

What truly deserves attention is not the content of the news, but whether funds are continuously withdrawing as a result, and whether market behavior undergoes a qualitative change. If the flow of funds and trading behavior do not show sustained deterioration, then most “bad news” is just part of an emotional release.

The essence of a bear market is not that there is more bad news, but that good news begins to lose its effect. Before the cycle has completed its switch, the market's interpretation of news is doomed to lean in a single direction.

This point has never changed throughout historical cycles.

The strong wind knows the tough grass; only in truly extreme market conditions is a trader's true level tested. Trading is not just about technical analysis; it is more about mindset, position management, and trading system $ETH