КРИПТО ИЛЬЯ | ОБЗОРЫ 🍋

ESCALATION IN IRAN | DAMP $BTC ?

Today it is already clear that the White House is indeed preparing to strike Iran.

It is worth noting that yesterday F-15E were deployed not in Qatar (as in June 2025), but in Oman, which indicates only one thing: the Pentagon plans to cover not only its facilities but also actively defend the territory of Israel (including from drones/cruise missiles), apart from the ballistic threats we saw in 2025..

This can only indicate one thing, that Israel will take an active part in combat operations and for this reason, yesterday Tel Aviv received three of the latest F35l Adir fighter jets.

At the same time, it is worth mentioning that twelve F-15E is a small force. During the "Twelve-Day War" in June 2025, when the U.S. bombed Iran's nuclear facilities, the Pentagon deployed three squadrons at once. At that time, aircraft were sent to the Middle East from both the United Kingdom and the U.S. Now Washington seems to be counting on a lighter and less prolonged "response" from Iran - which means any concessions on the fact of the attack can be bought off in panic, a large war is not being prepared, a quick shock is being readied.

🍋LONG IDEAS: $IP $STRK $ZEC

$SOL LOOKS UNDER $100

💰Could the chart for Solana show a different picture? See where the rebound ended, at the previously marked resistance of $150-170…

And the double top is also not broken, the last rise so far has only been a rebound, and in case of a breakout at $120 - the risks of dropping below the round $100, based on the chart, are quite real…

Here’s what I meant, friends: urging you not to rush to rejoice in the altseason and until we have solid confirmations above key resistances, just look for entry points to short, working with the trend. Those who read the posts carefully even made money on shorts! 😎🙏🏻👌

$XRP ACTIVE SLUMP 😱

✖️XRP fully liquidated all its growth on yesterday's decline, let me remind you, this is not a shitcoin, but a major asset, is this a bullish picture? - definitely not, major altcoins are not holding.

But what is even more important, the monthly chart - until the last bounce, I pointed out to you that the price is chopping support and in case of a breakthrough, the price could plummet by 20% down to levels: 1.55-1.46$ (since then we have had a bounce that wiped out the shorts, changed the sentiment and at the moment, was almost fully liquidated on the monthly candle), and the risks of a collapse haven't gone anywhere.

$BTC - the picture is bad 👀

At the moment of Bitcoin's arrival, in our short zone of 96,000-98,000$, I pointed out that those who were previously stuck would try to exit at breakeven and if there wasn't a large buyer to absorb these sales and secure the price above 100,000$ - this bounce would be completed and the correction would continue!

❎Ultimately, we shorted the highest point (the reason for the decline was mass liquidation of retail at a loss, at that moment, a strong American buyer is not just absent, he is selling) - metrics indicate this…

📈And if you look at the weekly Bitcoin chart today, the situation there is not comforting: the weekly candle wick updated a significant maximum (taking out stop losses/liquidations of short sellers), returned to the range, and closed below - from the perspective of smart money concept, this is a bearish picture, and until the price updates the high of this wick again - the priority is down…

On the daily chart: a classic bearish flag, the highs were updated several times (taking out short sellers), while the lows were not broken for a long time - in case of a breakout with a consolidation above 90,500$, the GAP at 88,700$ and all liquidity down to 83,800$ - will become the target…

🚨Bad news nearby…

Gold $PAXG and silver $XAG set a new HISTORICAL maximum, large capital is fleeing to metals before widespread panic and instability…

$AAVE - THIS IS A GEM…

While the useless meme $TRUMP is still with an FDV capitalization of 5B$, the no less useless $WLFI has a cap of 17B$…

Top 1 DeFi project, a crypto-bank with huge income, is only valued at 2.6B$, while its TVL is 35B$…

Think about these numbers and don't miss opportunities at levels: 114$ - 93$

$LTC one of the FEW assets that do not update their bottom at every pullback of $BTC

Moreover, the price has maintained a GLOBAL UPWARD TREND since 2017 - this is a rarity; if the price allows purchases at $50-30, I will make a purchase!

$MON BRINGS PROFIT, $IP NEXT?

Recently, I shared entry points with you on the asset $MON , during the morning drop, we see a squeeze to two entry levels, the average came out to 0.0.1968, and now the price is trading at a 5% profit - the stop can be moved to breakeven if Trump comes up with something before the market opens (de-escalates the situation with tariffs against Europe), the deal will work out according to the targets.

The IP remains in effect, it is stuck in consolidation, and if it breaks out downwards, the target will be this liquidity pool, which means the price may come to our entry points: 1.750$-1.52$

18 BILLIONS OF LIQUIDATIONS 🚨

This is the number of longs that will be liquidated in the event of a sharp price drop to the level of $BTC at $77,000…

The economy shows signs of weakness (under pressure from Trump's tariffs and the Fed), geopolitics is sending very alarming signals, and the SP500 is overheated - do you believe that Bitcoin will still drop to these levels?

SITUATION ON $BTC

All thoughts on Bitcoin remain valid as long as the price is below $100,000 - the trend is downward and the priority is down, the last bastion of hope for the bulls is $90,500 (and the post of the reverse Kramer, who said that starting Tuesday we will be falling) - if the level is lost and the Kramer indicator does not work out, the way down will be open to the previously formed GAP at $87,800, and there to the cascade of liquidations to the already lower boundary of the range under $83,800.

🚨3 EVENTS THAT COULD CRASH $ BTC MARKET (GEOPOLITICS)

1⃣Tariff. Trump stated that all countries doing business with Iran will be subject to 20% tariffs (which could disrupt trade agreements with China and exacerbate the tariff war). Also, on Saturday, Trump imposed tariffs on European countries until they return Greenland to him (Europe responds with tariffs - escalation intensifies).

2⃣Second risk. Geopolitical, according to my sources: in Israel, unlike the cryptans - they are still preparing for an imminent war, the army and air defense are at full combat readiness, and while Trump says that Iran is already good - halfway, near Singapore, the aircraft carrier strike group Abraham Lincoln will arrive in the region on January 24-25, over the weekend.

3⃣Third risk - Greenland. Trump sent a letter to the President of Norway stating: since your country did not award me the Nobel Peace Prize, I no longer see it as necessary to seek it, now US interests come first.

In his social network, he stated that for 20 years the US has been asking Denmark to give up Greenland to protect NATO from the Russian threat, but they have refused, it's time to do it ourselves…

Gold and silver ☝️

⚠️US ECONOMY ON THE BRINK (DUMP)

1⃣Firstly, there is an unprecedented gap between the US GDP and SP500 (the fund is growing much faster than the economy) and sooner or later, a painful correction must occur (which one would not want to be caught in longs on altcoins)…

2⃣The number of real estate sellers in the US has exceeded the number of buyers by 530,000 people - a record in the entire history of observations (this indicates that the population is experiencing unprecedented economic hardships - despite reports still looking good)

3⃣The Truflation Index - which relies on real, contemporary data (and is not calculated using old formulas like the official index), shows that real inflation is already 1.5%, while the Fed continues to pressure the economy with interest rates - this could end in stress, a recession shock, during which we will buy the fear, and afterwards - we will profit from the reversal of the US Fed's monetary policy.

💘The situation in the economy and geopolitics gives me a clear understanding: if buying spot, then only in fear and panic - but not in sideways markets.

WHALES ARE GETTING READY TO SELL? 🚨

Whales are stirring: record inflows $BTC to exchanges undermine confidence in a rebound - CryptoQuant

While Bitcoin was bouncing back, a troubling signal was developing under the hood: inflows of coins to exchanges reached 39,000 BTC (based on a 7-day average) - the highest since November 2025 (the local peak of the market)

This means that large holders have started to move coins back into potential selling zones.

Such a surge in activity often indicates not a desire to accumulate, but a readiness to lock in profits. Especially after a price jump.

📈 There is currently no direct selling pressure, but the market is getting a clear signal: supply could rise sharply, and then the rebound could quickly shift to a deeper correction.

It's important to understand that while the price is below $100,000, the trend remains downward and the correction could complicate at any moment. Locally, on the hourly chart, a bounce to around $96k is likely.

😱How to Detect the MARKET PEAK and EXIT ON TIME

🚨Signals:

1⃣The Coinbase exchange app is rising to 1st place in the AppStore (this morning it is at 338th place and cryptocurrency is of no interest to anyone)

2⃣Taxi drivers are bragging about their portfolios (and today, crypto enthusiasts are going to work as taxi drivers after their investments)

3⃣YouTube bloggers about Minecraft are launching crypto-tokens (today, views of crypto blogs on all platforms have dropped to 5-year lows, and audience sentiment is predominantly negative)

4⃣Your friend, who never believed in the market, suddenly starts buying $ETH (today, crypto enthusiasts have no friends left, and those willing to invest - even less)

5⃣Relatives are asking you for investment advice (today they only look at crypto enthusiasts with understanding and sympathy and do not ask unnecessary questions)

6⃣Everyone around is making money, regardless of age, experience, and skills (in the current market phase, it's incredibly hard to earn money, traders are getting shaved, and spot investors have already "buried" their portfolios)

⏺And from myself, when you take a screenshot of profit/portfolio - that is the moment to lock in at least part (it works even on futures) 😂

🙃Share your "secret methods"

🟠Preparing for a liquidation on $BTC

➡️The weekends are calm, trading closed on Friday at $95,500, and the current price is trading at a slight discount of $95,100.

📈On the local hourly chart, enticing liquidity has formed above, and the short imbalance at values: $95,900 - $96,300 acts as a "magnet" for the price (it is quite likely that after the weekend's sideways movement, the quotation will attempt to liquidate short sellers with high leverage, even in a scenario of continued decline).

👀However, the risk factors are:

1⃣ The introduction of new tariffs by Trump against European countries (as part of pressure regarding Greenland) - and since Monday is an official holiday in the States, there will be no inflows from ETFs, and Europe may trigger a sell-off..

2⃣The previously formed GAP around $87,800 has also not been closed yet, and based on the historical chart (BTC1!) - it's only a matter of time.

✅Usually, we actively trade any price deviations on weekends, according to the GAP strategy, and quite successfully! But today, considering the very slight deviation (to profit, one needs to enter with a large volume) and the risk factors - this undertaking is quite risky.

We are waiting for good movements and a huge number of great opportunities 🥰

Preparing SHORT for $AXS

The asset has fallen below the global support (which served as the lower boundary of accumulation and held the price since 2021).

Today - this level acts as a strong resistance that will be very difficult to overcome.

In the event of the current upward movement towards levels: $3.55 - $4.2, one could try to bet on the continuation of the bearish trend for the asset with targets of 27.7% - 43.2% - 62.5%, the stop is not small, only 1x - 2x leverage should be used!