KaiZXBT
Verified Creator
Full time Trader l Content Creator Web3 l Binance Loyalty User
High-Frequency Trader
4.7 Years
39 Following
8.3K+ Followers
13.7K+ Liked
349 Shared
All
Quotes
PINNED
Altcoins Have Changed, How to Invest in Altcoins in a New Way?
Forget how the altcoin season operated in the previous cycle. The current altcoin market is completely different from the last season
The flow of money into crypto has changed. The big players who used to drive the prices of altcoins have been replaced by other big players, but there is one problem: the new big players do not push altcoins in the old way, so how should we invest?
1. How did the old altcoin season operate?
The flow of money into crypto has changed. The big players who used to drive the prices of altcoins have been replaced by other big players, but there is one problem: the new big players do not push altcoins in the old way, so how should we invest?
1. How did the old altcoin season operate?
PINNED
BITCOIN’S 4-YEAR CYCLE ISN’T DEAD — IT’S PLAYING OUT EXACTLY ON TIME.
Zoom out, ignore the noise, and look at the roadmap Bitcoin has followed for over a decade.
The long-term chart gives one of the cleanest signals in crypto:
Cycle Peak Timing:
→ 2012
→ 2017
→ 2021
→ 2025 loading…
Every top has landed roughly 1,420–1,450 days apart — almost like clockwork.
And after every peak, one brutal truth repeats:
2012 top → -79% crash
2017 top → -81% crash
2021 top → -75% crash
Same structure. Same timing. Same macro psychology.
So when people say “This time is different,” the chart says:
No — this time is the same. And the next major peak is lining up for 2025.
If history repeats, we’re entering the final acceleration phase.
Stay focused. Stay strategic.
The real move hasn’t even started yet.
#CYCLE
Zoom out, ignore the noise, and look at the roadmap Bitcoin has followed for over a decade.
The long-term chart gives one of the cleanest signals in crypto:
Cycle Peak Timing:
→ 2012
→ 2017
→ 2021
→ 2025 loading…
Every top has landed roughly 1,420–1,450 days apart — almost like clockwork.
And after every peak, one brutal truth repeats:
2012 top → -79% crash
2017 top → -81% crash
2021 top → -75% crash
Same structure. Same timing. Same macro psychology.
So when people say “This time is different,” the chart says:
No — this time is the same. And the next major peak is lining up for 2025.
If history repeats, we’re entering the final acceleration phase.
Stay focused. Stay strategic.
The real move hasn’t even started yet.
#CYCLE
With this $RIVER token, the top 10 holders hold nearly 90% of the total supply, it can easily push to $1000 because apart from the dev team, no one else holds the token.
Moreover, there are good news like Justin Sun investing 8 million dollars, and famous KOLs are shilling, but at the peak, they got burned early.
The short team is burning margin, the long team or those buying spot should be careful, it's your turn next.
Moreover, there are good news like Justin Sun investing 8 million dollars, and famous KOLs are shilling, but at the peak, they got burned early.
The short team is burning margin, the long team or those buying spot should be careful, it's your turn next.
For 3 consecutive days, the Bitcoin ETF has been witnessing strong selling pressure.
Specifically, it was 700 million $ on the 21st, 484 million on the 20th, and 394 million $. In the event that this capital withdrawal trend continues and the volume increases, the price of BTC is likely to face deeper correction pressure in the near future.
Specifically, it was 700 million $ on the 21st, 484 million on the 20th, and 394 million $. In the event that this capital withdrawal trend continues and the volume increases, the price of BTC is likely to face deeper correction pressure in the near future.
Saga temporarily suspends EVM chain after smart contract was attacked
Layer 1 protocol $SAGA has confirmed the exploitation of a security vulnerability on the SagaEVM chain, resulting in nearly $7M being compromised. According to the announcement, the hacker withdrew approximately 7M USDC, bridged out of the SagaEVM network, and converted it to $ETH. The project quickly suspended the chain at block 6,593,800 after detecting unusual activity.
Saga stated it is completing the investigation and collaborating with partners to rectify the issue, while also working with exchanges and bridge operators to blacklist the hacker's wallet address. The project asserts that the incident does not affect the mainnet SSC, consensus layer, or validator system.
Layer 1 protocol $SAGA has confirmed the exploitation of a security vulnerability on the SagaEVM chain, resulting in nearly $7M being compromised. According to the announcement, the hacker withdrew approximately 7M USDC, bridged out of the SagaEVM network, and converted it to $ETH. The project quickly suspended the chain at block 6,593,800 after detecting unusual activity.
Saga stated it is completing the investigation and collaborating with partners to rectify the issue, while also working with exchanges and bridge operators to blacklist the hacker's wallet address. The project asserts that the incident does not affect the mainnet SSC, consensus layer, or validator system.
WHY DOWNTREND IS THE MOST IMPORTANT TIME IN THE INVESTMENT PROCESS?
If we look at the crypto market according to the 4-year cycle, we may have officially entered a downtrend. However, instead of leaving during this downtrend, I personally think this is the time when everyone needs to stay.
Because downtrends are not a phase for quick money-making, but the most important phase to build positions for the next cycle. Most people only pay attention to the market when prices are rising sharply, good news is plentiful, and excitement spreads. But at that time, the advantage is already gone.
Because downtrends are not a phase for quick money-making, but the most important phase to build positions for the next cycle. Most people only pay attention to the market when prices are rising sharply, good news is plentiful, and excitement spreads. But at that time, the advantage is already gone.
CZ is super cycling and here are the results.
after ASTER then Bitcoin dives =))
after ASTER then Bitcoin dives =))
Important macroeconomic events that impact the Crypto market you need to know
The crypto market used to be small, so it was not heavily affected by major economic news like that from the US, but now that the crypto market is larger and more developed, it will be influenced by such news like other traditional financial markets.
The evidence is that every time important news such as CPI, Employment data, or speeches from the FED is released, Bitcoin fluctuates accordingly.
The evidence is that every time important news such as CPI, Employment data, or speeches from the FED is released, Bitcoin fluctuates accordingly.
PancakeSwap modifies tokenomics, reducing the maximum supply for token $CAKE
PancakeSwap has approved a cut of 11% in the maximum supply of CAKE, lowering the limit from 450 million to 400 million tokens, aiming to bolster its long-term development strategy with a focus on prioritizing deflation. This decision received absolute support from the holder community through an on-chain vote on Snapshot, with over 1.66 million votes in favor and no votes against.
This move follows the implementation of CAKE Tokenomics 3.0 in April, when the veCAKE model was eliminated and the daily issuance was significantly reduced from around 40,000 to 22,250 CAKE. As a result, CAKE recorded a net burn of approximately 8.19% in 2025, with the total supply decreasing from 380 million to about 350 million tokens.
The removal of 50 million CAKE from potential future issuance helps mitigate long-term dilution risk without impacting the current circulating supply. Tokens will continue to be burned from various revenue sources such as spot trading fees, profits from perpetual contracts, and fees from initial farming programs.
PancakeSwap has approved a cut of 11% in the maximum supply of CAKE, lowering the limit from 450 million to 400 million tokens, aiming to bolster its long-term development strategy with a focus on prioritizing deflation. This decision received absolute support from the holder community through an on-chain vote on Snapshot, with over 1.66 million votes in favor and no votes against.
This move follows the implementation of CAKE Tokenomics 3.0 in April, when the veCAKE model was eliminated and the daily issuance was significantly reduced from around 40,000 to 22,250 CAKE. As a result, CAKE recorded a net burn of approximately 8.19% in 2025, with the total supply decreasing from 380 million to about 350 million tokens.
The removal of 50 million CAKE from potential future issuance helps mitigate long-term dilution risk without impacting the current circulating supply. Tokens will continue to be burned from various revenue sources such as spot trading fees, profits from perpetual contracts, and fees from initial farming programs.
A suspicious project from Vietnam area, blatant scam
- 08/01/2026: Trove opens ICO, target raise 2.5M USD, FDV valuation 20M.
- During the raise, the team manipulated bets on Polymarket: opened a last-minute raise then closed it, bought shares to profit (estimated to make 7 figures).
- The raise result skyrocketed to 11M USD (over 4 times the target).
Normally, if over-raised, the surplus would be refunded, but Trove declared: no refund and took that money to “continue building the project” =)))
On-chain, we also see the investor's fund wallet transferring 45K USD to a casino.
This is no longer a “drama”, this is a public scam.
- 08/01/2026: Trove opens ICO, target raise 2.5M USD, FDV valuation 20M.
- During the raise, the team manipulated bets on Polymarket: opened a last-minute raise then closed it, bought shares to profit (estimated to make 7 figures).
- The raise result skyrocketed to 11M USD (over 4 times the target).
Normally, if over-raised, the surplus would be refunded, but Trove declared: no refund and took that money to “continue building the project” =)))
On-chain, we also see the investor's fund wallet transferring 45K USD to a casino.
This is no longer a “drama”, this is a public scam.
The free USD exchange rate has dropped sharply, the State Bank has withdrawn nearly 30,000 billion VND in the past week
In the past week (12/1 - 16/1), the State Bank continued to withdraw liquidity through the open market channel, interbank VND interest rates increased again, and the foreign exchange market recorded a sharp decline in the free USD exchange rate. In addition, many banks have raised lending rates (At LPBank, starting from December 2025, the lending rate has been raised to 10.5%/year. Nam Á Bank currently applies a base lending rate of about 9.7%/year, while GPBank has increased the lending rate to 12.7%/year in the first 24 months.) ...
This tightens VND liquidity, pushing interbank VND interest rates up sharply (overnight to 3.8%, 1 week to 4.6%), reducing USD speculation demand, increasing foreign currency supply → The free USD price closes at 26,250-26,300 VND/USD (down 510-520 VND/week, >1,600 VND compared to the peak in November 2025)
The tendency of banks to raise interest rates to tighten this VND supply makes me concerned about 2 things.
- Real estate: Tight liquidity + high lending rates → Capital costs skyrocketing, real estate (house/land) investment slowing down, house and land prices may adjust down if lending demand decreases. (This is beneficial for those who want to buy real estate at a reasonable price)
- Business: Export-import enterprises will face higher USD/VND interest rates → Profit margins thin out, investment may be delayed, or labor costs cut.
In summary, 2026 is forecasted to still be a rather difficult year, those who have stable cash flow or secure jobs should continue to maintain sustainability to get through before thinking about more distant goals like quitting to full-time trade or full-time TikTok.
In the past week (12/1 - 16/1), the State Bank continued to withdraw liquidity through the open market channel, interbank VND interest rates increased again, and the foreign exchange market recorded a sharp decline in the free USD exchange rate. In addition, many banks have raised lending rates (At LPBank, starting from December 2025, the lending rate has been raised to 10.5%/year. Nam Á Bank currently applies a base lending rate of about 9.7%/year, while GPBank has increased the lending rate to 12.7%/year in the first 24 months.) ...
This tightens VND liquidity, pushing interbank VND interest rates up sharply (overnight to 3.8%, 1 week to 4.6%), reducing USD speculation demand, increasing foreign currency supply → The free USD price closes at 26,250-26,300 VND/USD (down 510-520 VND/week, >1,600 VND compared to the peak in November 2025)
The tendency of banks to raise interest rates to tighten this VND supply makes me concerned about 2 things.
- Real estate: Tight liquidity + high lending rates → Capital costs skyrocketing, real estate (house/land) investment slowing down, house and land prices may adjust down if lending demand decreases. (This is beneficial for those who want to buy real estate at a reasonable price)
- Business: Export-import enterprises will face higher USD/VND interest rates → Profit margins thin out, investment may be delayed, or labor costs cut.
In summary, 2026 is forecasted to still be a rather difficult year, those who have stable cash flow or secure jobs should continue to maintain sustainability to get through before thinking about more distant goals like quitting to full-time trade or full-time TikTok.
🤔$BTC is one day away from the “60-day zone” where previous consolidations turned into major moves.
good threads
How To Win The Market With EMA21 ?
EMA (Exponential Moving Average) is a technical indicator commonly used for trend analysis and is extremely popular among countless traders entering the market. However, understanding and applying it correctly is a completely different story.
Today, I will guide you on how to use just one indicator to capture almost every future price movement on higher timeframes like H4 and D1. This is also a powerful tool that helps you easily buy at the start of an uptrend and sell when signs of exhaustion appear at the peak.
What is EMA21? Why the number 21?
EMA21 (Exponential Moving Average 21) is an exponential moving average calculated based on the 21 most recent trading periods. Unlike the SMA (Simple Moving Average), which assigns equal weight to all periods, the EMA places greater weight on the most recent price fluctuations.
Why do professional traders prefer the EMA21?
Fibonacci Number: 21 is a number in the Fibonacci sequence, which often reflects natural cycles in crowd psychology and financial markets.The Perfect Balance: It is not as slow as the EMA50 (which often lags) but not as noisy as the EMA9 or EMA10. On H4 and D1 timeframes, the EMA21 represents the average trend of approximately one trading month (business days), helping you filter out minor "noise."
The Power of EMA21
To accurately capture price movements on H4 and D1, you need to view the EMA21 through three key roles:
Dynamic Support and Resistance (Dynamic S/R): In a strong uptrend, price does not move in a straight line but often has "pullbacks" (retracements). The EMA21 acts as a support buffer. When the price touches this line and leaves a wick (rejection), it signals that buyers are waiting to push the price further. Conversely, in a downtrend, the EMA21 acts as a "barrier" preventing the bulls' recovery efforts.Defining the "Value Area": The biggest mistake traders make is FOMO (buying/selling in a panic) when the price has moved too far from the EMA21.Price far from EMA21: The market is in an overbought or oversold state (overheated).Price retracing to EMA21: This is when the price returns to the "Value Area." This is the safest time to open a long or short position.The "Rubber Band" Rule (Mean Reversion): Imagine the EMA21 is the anchor and the price is a rubber band. When the price is stretched too far from the EMA21, profit-taking pressure will emerge, pulling the price back toward the moving average. Understanding this helps you avoid "buying the top" and know exactly when to exit when the price shows signs of exhaustion.
How to apply EMA21 to "Catch the Wave" on H4 and D1
To trade effectively, follow this simple yet powerful set of rules:
Identify the Trend: Only buy when the EMA21 slope is pointing upward and the price is above the line. Only sell when the EMA21 slope is pointing downward and the price is below the line.
Entry Point: Wait for a price correction (Pullback) that touches or slightly pierces the EMA21, followed by a reversal candlestick pattern (Pinbar, Engulfing). That is the moment to "get on board."
Exit Point: When the gap between the price and the EMA21 is too wide (the angle between the price and the EMA is overextended), or when the price closes decisively on the opposite side of the EMA21.
Important Note: EMA21 works most effectively when the market has a clear trend. During sideways (consolidation) phases, this line will be crossed back and forth repeatedly; in these cases, you should stay on the sidelines and observe.
Hope this thing can help you guy , best wish !!
Today, I will guide you on how to use just one indicator to capture almost every future price movement on higher timeframes like H4 and D1. This is also a powerful tool that helps you easily buy at the start of an uptrend and sell when signs of exhaustion appear at the peak.
What is EMA21? Why the number 21?
EMA21 (Exponential Moving Average 21) is an exponential moving average calculated based on the 21 most recent trading periods. Unlike the SMA (Simple Moving Average), which assigns equal weight to all periods, the EMA places greater weight on the most recent price fluctuations.
Why do professional traders prefer the EMA21?
Fibonacci Number: 21 is a number in the Fibonacci sequence, which often reflects natural cycles in crowd psychology and financial markets.The Perfect Balance: It is not as slow as the EMA50 (which often lags) but not as noisy as the EMA9 or EMA10. On H4 and D1 timeframes, the EMA21 represents the average trend of approximately one trading month (business days), helping you filter out minor "noise."
The Power of EMA21
To accurately capture price movements on H4 and D1, you need to view the EMA21 through three key roles:
Dynamic Support and Resistance (Dynamic S/R): In a strong uptrend, price does not move in a straight line but often has "pullbacks" (retracements). The EMA21 acts as a support buffer. When the price touches this line and leaves a wick (rejection), it signals that buyers are waiting to push the price further. Conversely, in a downtrend, the EMA21 acts as a "barrier" preventing the bulls' recovery efforts.Defining the "Value Area": The biggest mistake traders make is FOMO (buying/selling in a panic) when the price has moved too far from the EMA21.Price far from EMA21: The market is in an overbought or oversold state (overheated).Price retracing to EMA21: This is when the price returns to the "Value Area." This is the safest time to open a long or short position.The "Rubber Band" Rule (Mean Reversion): Imagine the EMA21 is the anchor and the price is a rubber band. When the price is stretched too far from the EMA21, profit-taking pressure will emerge, pulling the price back toward the moving average. Understanding this helps you avoid "buying the top" and know exactly when to exit when the price shows signs of exhaustion.
How to apply EMA21 to "Catch the Wave" on H4 and D1
To trade effectively, follow this simple yet powerful set of rules:
Identify the Trend: Only buy when the EMA21 slope is pointing upward and the price is above the line. Only sell when the EMA21 slope is pointing downward and the price is below the line.
Entry Point: Wait for a price correction (Pullback) that touches or slightly pierces the EMA21, followed by a reversal candlestick pattern (Pinbar, Engulfing). That is the moment to "get on board."
Exit Point: When the gap between the price and the EMA21 is too wide (the angle between the price and the EMA is overextended), or when the price closes decisively on the opposite side of the EMA21.
Important Note: EMA21 works most effectively when the market has a clear trend. During sideways (consolidation) phases, this line will be crossed back and forth repeatedly; in these cases, you should stay on the sidelines and observe.
Hope this thing can help you guy , best wish !!
When picking levels to Trade from
I prefer to use levels where there are large limit orders clustered in 1 place.
This is because once price hits the level and then starts moving away from it (either in the form of a breaking through the level OR reversing from it), the reaction can get more violent.
Big Orders = Strong Reactions
Small Orders = Weak Reactions
I prefer to use levels where there are large limit orders clustered in 1 place.
This is because once price hits the level and then starts moving away from it (either in the form of a breaking through the level OR reversing from it), the reaction can get more violent.
Big Orders = Strong Reactions
Small Orders = Weak Reactions
$BTC Technical Analysis
Bitcoin's correction has reached the 20-day EMA at $92,625 — a key short-term support zone to watch.
If the price bounces strongly from the 20-day EMA, it reflects positive market sentiment and increases the likelihood of breaking the $97,924 mark. In that case, the BTC/USDT pair could rise to $100,000 and even further to $107,500.
Conversely, if the price breaks and closes below the moving averages, this indicates that the bulls are gradually losing control. Bitcoin could then fluctuate within a range of $84,000 to $97,924 for several days.
Bitcoin's correction has reached the 20-day EMA at $92,625 — a key short-term support zone to watch.
If the price bounces strongly from the 20-day EMA, it reflects positive market sentiment and increases the likelihood of breaking the $97,924 mark. In that case, the BTC/USDT pair could rise to $100,000 and even further to $107,500.
Conversely, if the price breaks and closes below the moving averages, this indicates that the bulls are gradually losing control. Bitcoin could then fluctuate within a range of $84,000 to $97,924 for several days.
President Trump appeared upset about not winning the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025.
Trump sent a letter to Norwegian Prime Minister Jonas Gahr Støre, saying he “no longer sees an obligation to think only about peace” after declining the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize.
In the letter, Trump directly linked this to his position that he wants the US to “completely control” Greenland to ensure global security.
He sulked, and financial markets like crypto suffered.
Trump sent a letter to Norwegian Prime Minister Jonas Gahr Støre, saying he “no longer sees an obligation to think only about peace” after declining the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize.
In the letter, Trump directly linked this to his position that he wants the US to “completely control” Greenland to ensure global security.
He sulked, and financial markets like crypto suffered.
Investment flows into digital assets surged, reaching their highest level since October 2025.
• $2.17B in weekly inflows, strongest since October 2025
• Bitcoin led, but $ETH and $SOL stayed bid
• Altcoins saw real demand too: $XRP, $SUI, $LDO, $HBAR
• Blockchain equities pulled in $72.6M alongside crypto
Flows improved even as macro and geopolitics got noisy late week.
Capital hasn’t left, it’s just being far more selective.
• $2.17B in weekly inflows, strongest since October 2025
• Bitcoin led, but $ETH and $SOL stayed bid
• Altcoins saw real demand too: $XRP, $SUI, $LDO, $HBAR
• Blockchain equities pulled in $72.6M alongside crypto
Flows improved even as macro and geopolitics got noisy late week.
Capital hasn’t left, it’s just being far more selective.
godd
Wendyy_
·
--
Bullish$BTC Bitcoin DEFENDS the Line Again — Is the Next Leg UP Loading? 🚨
Bitcoin just did it again. Price has bounced cleanly off a long-term ascending support, a level that has repeatedly separated bull continuation from deeper pullbacks. Every time BTC has tested this line in the past, sellers tried — and failed — to break it.
This zone has acted as a launchpad, not a trap. Previous rejections above it marked distribution, but successful retests below have consistently led to strong upside continuation. Right now, structure remains intact, higher lows are holding, and momentum is starting to curl back up from support.
In simple terms: bears had their shot… and couldn’t finish the job.
As long as this trendline holds, the path of least resistance stays higher — and dips continue to look like positioning opportunities, not panic signals.
Is this the calm before Bitcoin’s next expansion move?
Follow Wendy for more latest updates
#Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto #wendy
Bitcoin just did it again. Price has bounced cleanly off a long-term ascending support, a level that has repeatedly separated bull continuation from deeper pullbacks. Every time BTC has tested this line in the past, sellers tried — and failed — to break it.
This zone has acted as a launchpad, not a trap. Previous rejections above it marked distribution, but successful retests below have consistently led to strong upside continuation. Right now, structure remains intact, higher lows are holding, and momentum is starting to curl back up from support.
In simple terms: bears had their shot… and couldn’t finish the job.
As long as this trendline holds, the path of least resistance stays higher — and dips continue to look like positioning opportunities, not panic signals.
Is this the calm before Bitcoin’s next expansion move?
Follow Wendy for more latest updates
#Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto #wendy
$XRP Technical Analysis
Bulls are trying to keep XRP price above the moving averages, however selling pressure remains high
If the price falls below the moving averages, the XRP/USDT pair could continue moving within a descending channel pattern. The $1.61 level is a key support zone to watch. A break and close below this level would increase the risk of a sharp decline to the October 10th low of $1.25.
To signal a short-term trend reversal, bulls need to push the XRP price above the descending trend line. This could lead to a strong surge to $2.70, and then to $3.10.
Bulls are trying to keep XRP price above the moving averages, however selling pressure remains high
If the price falls below the moving averages, the XRP/USDT pair could continue moving within a descending channel pattern. The $1.61 level is a key support zone to watch. A break and close below this level would increase the risk of a sharp decline to the October 10th low of $1.25.
To signal a short-term trend reversal, bulls need to push the XRP price above the descending trend line. This could lead to a strong surge to $2.70, and then to $3.10.
$ETH Technical Analysis
Ether (ETH) has bounced back from the 20-day EMA ($3,088), indicating that the bulls are attempting to regain control.
If the closing price is above the resistance line, the advantage will shift to the buyers. In that case, the ETH/USDT pair could rise to $3,569, and further to the psychological $4,000 mark.
Conversely, if the price reverses from the resistance line and breaks through the moving averages, ETH is likely to continue fluctuating within the triangle pattern for a few more days. Bears will prevail if the price breaks through the support line, causing ETH to fall sharply to $2,623.
Ether (ETH) has bounced back from the 20-day EMA ($3,088), indicating that the bulls are attempting to regain control.
If the closing price is above the resistance line, the advantage will shift to the buyers. In that case, the ETH/USDT pair could rise to $3,569, and further to the psychological $4,000 mark.
Conversely, if the price reverses from the resistance line and breaks through the moving averages, ETH is likely to continue fluctuating within the triangle pattern for a few more days. Bears will prevail if the price breaks through the support line, causing ETH to fall sharply to $2,623.
Login to explore more contents