财经少华
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For four consecutive weeks, the third place on the Alcoin V ranking list has changed again and again.
Only the world's richest man Musk ranked first and I ranked second have not changed.
I have really become the second place for a thousand years😍😂😅🤭😁
Only the world's richest man Musk ranked first and I ranked second have not changed.
I have really become the second place for a thousand years😍😂😅🤭😁
Surprisingly, I experienced an earthquake while going home for the New Year-------
To make money in the trading market, there are only three paths.
The first path: Deepen your understanding, see through the essence of trends, do not be swayed by emotions, and make logical judgments.
The second path: Respect the market, always prioritize your principal, set strict stop losses, avoid heavy positions, and maintain the confidence to turn things around.
The third path: Adhere to the long term, endure fluctuations and solitude, rely on compound interest, do not be greedy for immediate profits; these three are interconnected, achieving unity of knowledge and action.
The first path: Deepen your understanding, see through the essence of trends, do not be swayed by emotions, and make logical judgments.
The second path: Respect the market, always prioritize your principal, set strict stop losses, avoid heavy positions, and maintain the confidence to turn things around.
The third path: Adhere to the long term, endure fluctuations and solitude, rely on compound interest, do not be greedy for immediate profits; these three are interconnected, achieving unity of knowledge and action.
Shorting Ethereum...
Got it, long positions will be profitable
This short position has been held.
What affects us is never the objective facts, but the emotional reactions that come through our thinking patterns. For example, the drop in BTC is an objective fact, but different thinking patterns or operational logics will result in different reactions and feelings.
Some people ignore it and are indifferent to the asset. Some feel anxious because they bought at a high price. Some are conflicted and hesitant because they want to win but fear losing. Some are calm because they have already made a trading or investment plan.
Many objective facts are environmental or contextual, and we cannot influence or change them. Focusing all attention on this level will only lead to more exhaustion and confusion.
Doing something better than others means either discovering elements that others have not noticed or accomplishing things that others find difficult. This is closely related to thinking patterns, behaviors, or emotional responses.
Some people ignore it and are indifferent to the asset. Some feel anxious because they bought at a high price. Some are conflicted and hesitant because they want to win but fear losing. Some are calm because they have already made a trading or investment plan.
Many objective facts are environmental or contextual, and we cannot influence or change them. Focusing all attention on this level will only lead to more exhaustion and confusion.
Doing something better than others means either discovering elements that others have not noticed or accomplishing things that others find difficult. This is closely related to thinking patterns, behaviors, or emotional responses.
Let's see how low Ethereum can go?
What drives short-term market trends?
The essence of short-term trading is a game of capital driven by emotions, and the key is to understand and align with this collective psychology.
The core cycle of market sentiment is: making money attracts capital, capital reinforces the profit effect, conversely, the loss effect will drive capital away, creating a vicious cycle.
Understanding the market can be analyzed from dimensions such as the market itself, speculation, sectors, and their respective 'overall sentiment', to see which emotion is dominating the trend.
The first principle of operation is to focus on the core, only engaging in leading stocks or the strongest front runners, as they have the highest market presence, the strongest certainty, and the highest efficiency.
The second principle is to only engage in primary uptrends, resolutely avoid downtrends, and strike hard only during phases when both market sentiment and sector sentiment are rising.
Before placing an order, one must consider the risk-reward ratio and certainty. When sentiment is good, one can be more aggressive: when sentiment is mixed or risky, one can only take small positions to test low-risk starting points.
Avoid typical money-losing traps, such as: opposing mainstream hotspots, heavily investing at the end of a trend, or heavily investing in non-mainstream obscure coins.
Be wary of systemic risks and the pullback of high-position coins. When the index is in a major decline or sentiment recedes, staying out of the market is the best strategy.
The core task of daily review is to analyze changes in sentiment dimensions to determine whether the market is in a primary uptrend, consolidation, or retreat phase, thus deciding whether to act or rest.
In summary: sentiment is water, capital is fish, and the profit effect is bait. What you need to do is cast your net when the current is smoothest and strongest, and pull back and observe when going against the current.
The essence of short-term trading is a game of capital driven by emotions, and the key is to understand and align with this collective psychology.
The core cycle of market sentiment is: making money attracts capital, capital reinforces the profit effect, conversely, the loss effect will drive capital away, creating a vicious cycle.
Understanding the market can be analyzed from dimensions such as the market itself, speculation, sectors, and their respective 'overall sentiment', to see which emotion is dominating the trend.
The first principle of operation is to focus on the core, only engaging in leading stocks or the strongest front runners, as they have the highest market presence, the strongest certainty, and the highest efficiency.
The second principle is to only engage in primary uptrends, resolutely avoid downtrends, and strike hard only during phases when both market sentiment and sector sentiment are rising.
Before placing an order, one must consider the risk-reward ratio and certainty. When sentiment is good, one can be more aggressive: when sentiment is mixed or risky, one can only take small positions to test low-risk starting points.
Avoid typical money-losing traps, such as: opposing mainstream hotspots, heavily investing at the end of a trend, or heavily investing in non-mainstream obscure coins.
Be wary of systemic risks and the pullback of high-position coins. When the index is in a major decline or sentiment recedes, staying out of the market is the best strategy.
The core task of daily review is to analyze changes in sentiment dimensions to determine whether the market is in a primary uptrend, consolidation, or retreat phase, thus deciding whether to act or rest.
In summary: sentiment is water, capital is fish, and the profit effect is bait. What you need to do is cast your net when the current is smoothest and strongest, and pull back and observe when going against the current.
Survival Guide for the Crypto Market: Winning in the Long Term, Not the Short Term
In the crypto circle, "winning" has never been about how much money you make in the short term, but about preserving wealth years later. This is a "last one standing" competition, not a contest of "who makes the most." Most people become fuel for the cycles, while only a few can navigate through the bull and bear markets and achieve compound growth.
1. The Core of Market Recovery: Consensus Upgrade, Not Narratives
The stagnation of the crypto market stems from the failure of capital, emotion, and consensus, rather than a lack of innovation or liquidity. A true bull market is an evolution of consensus, not merely a new narrative or technological breakthrough.
2. Increasing Odds: From "Conan" to "Participant"
Master basic skills: check wallet history, order books, and fund flows, and identify MEV attacks, wash trading, and other traps. Core information won’t be public; by the time the information spreads, the optimal window has already passed.
3. The Core of Long-term Survival: Belief and Value Anchoring
Do not be swayed by prices; belief is structural, not dogmatic. You can take profits in batches, but always adhere to underlying logic. Do not be corroded by "get-rich-quick thinking"; otherwise, rebuilding faith is harder than rebuilding capital. Consider the core value of the asset, rather than just looking at candlesticks. Differentiate between short-term speculation, medium-term positioning, and long-term investment, and avoid cross-dimensional decision-making. Prepare a response plan in advance (like actions when the price drops x%), to avoid emotional interference. Find your own "why" (such as the sovereign nature of Bitcoin), rather than copying others' ideas.
4. Survival is More Important than Profit
The crypto market is a harsh teacher that exposes human greed and impatience. The true winners are not those who "make the most," but those who "last the longest." What they preserve is not tokens, but their belief in the "sovereign system" and the discipline to resist the cycles.
In the crypto circle, "winning" has never been about how much money you make in the short term, but about preserving wealth years later. This is a "last one standing" competition, not a contest of "who makes the most." Most people become fuel for the cycles, while only a few can navigate through the bull and bear markets and achieve compound growth.
1. The Core of Market Recovery: Consensus Upgrade, Not Narratives
The stagnation of the crypto market stems from the failure of capital, emotion, and consensus, rather than a lack of innovation or liquidity. A true bull market is an evolution of consensus, not merely a new narrative or technological breakthrough.
2. Increasing Odds: From "Conan" to "Participant"
Master basic skills: check wallet history, order books, and fund flows, and identify MEV attacks, wash trading, and other traps. Core information won’t be public; by the time the information spreads, the optimal window has already passed.
3. The Core of Long-term Survival: Belief and Value Anchoring
Do not be swayed by prices; belief is structural, not dogmatic. You can take profits in batches, but always adhere to underlying logic. Do not be corroded by "get-rich-quick thinking"; otherwise, rebuilding faith is harder than rebuilding capital. Consider the core value of the asset, rather than just looking at candlesticks. Differentiate between short-term speculation, medium-term positioning, and long-term investment, and avoid cross-dimensional decision-making. Prepare a response plan in advance (like actions when the price drops x%), to avoid emotional interference. Find your own "why" (such as the sovereign nature of Bitcoin), rather than copying others' ideas.
4. Survival is More Important than Profit
The crypto market is a harsh teacher that exposes human greed and impatience. The true winners are not those who "make the most," but those who "last the longest." What they preserve is not tokens, but their belief in the "sovereign system" and the discipline to resist the cycles.
Why is gold skyrocketing?
The purpose of the rise in gold prices is to solve the debt problem. I owe you 1 million and can't pay it back now, but I have the pricing power of gold. I drive the price of gold up to 1 million per gram, so the gold in your hands also becomes 1 million per gram. I give you one gram of gold to settle our accounts, and once I resolve my own debt issues, I crash the price of gold to 10 dollars per gram. At that time, the gold in your hands also becomes 10 dollars per gram, and then I use 10 dollars to buy one gram of gold from you, settling the debt and getting the gold back.
There is only one global gold pricing authority. Do you understand now?
The purpose of the rise in gold prices is to solve the debt problem. I owe you 1 million and can't pay it back now, but I have the pricing power of gold. I drive the price of gold up to 1 million per gram, so the gold in your hands also becomes 1 million per gram. I give you one gram of gold to settle our accounts, and once I resolve my own debt issues, I crash the price of gold to 10 dollars per gram. At that time, the gold in your hands also becomes 10 dollars per gram, and then I use 10 dollars to buy one gram of gold from you, settling the debt and getting the gold back.
There is only one global gold pricing authority. Do you understand now?
Trends usually start with a "breakthrough", then transition to a "channel", and evolve into a "volatile range". After the breakthrough of the volatile range, a new trend is formed.
Bitcoin is still brewing an upward force.
In recent days, the trend of Bitcoin has not been ideal. A quick pullback occurred again in a short time, with the price once dropping to around 86,000 USD. From the market structure, the market sentiment has clearly weakened, and short-term funds are becoming cautious.
However, if you only focus on the price, it's easy to overlook the truly important signals. Bitcoin has not completed its cycle; on the contrary, it is still brewing a greater upward force.
1. The short-term trend is indeed weak.
From a technical structure perspective, Bitcoin is still in the retracement phase. The long-term moving averages have not shown an ideal 'contraction-reversal' structure, the moving averages are diverging again, trending downward, and the short-term moving averages have once again fallen below the long-term moving averages. The price continues to be suppressed by the long-term moving averages, which means that Bitcoin has returned to a weak oscillation structure from the previous medium to short-term upward trend. If it is to turn into a clear upward market again, it still needs time to form a bottom. This must be viewed objectively.
However, if you only focus on the price, it's easy to overlook the truly important signals. Bitcoin has not completed its cycle; on the contrary, it is still brewing a greater upward force.
1. The short-term trend is indeed weak.
From a technical structure perspective, Bitcoin is still in the retracement phase. The long-term moving averages have not shown an ideal 'contraction-reversal' structure, the moving averages are diverging again, trending downward, and the short-term moving averages have once again fallen below the long-term moving averages. The price continues to be suppressed by the long-term moving averages, which means that Bitcoin has returned to a weak oscillation structure from the previous medium to short-term upward trend. If it is to turn into a clear upward market again, it still needs time to form a bottom. This must be viewed objectively.
BlackRock deposited 1,814.76 BTC and 15,112 ETH into Coinbase
The related address of BlackRock deposited approximately 1,814.76 BTC (around $159.46 million) and 15,112 ETH (around $43.75 million) into the Coinbase platform, and may continue to make additional deposits.
The related address of BlackRock deposited approximately 1,814.76 BTC (around $159.46 million) and 15,112 ETH (around $43.75 million) into the Coinbase platform, and may continue to make additional deposits.
Strategy repurchased 2,932 Bitcoins
The Strategy company recently increased its holdings by 2,932 BTC at an average price of approximately $90,061 per coin, for a total amount of about $264.1 million.
As of January 25, 2026, Strategy holds a total of 712,647 BTC, with a cumulative purchase cost of approximately $54.19 billion and an average purchase price of $76,037.
The Strategy company recently increased its holdings by 2,932 BTC at an average price of approximately $90,061 per coin, for a total amount of about $264.1 million.
As of January 25, 2026, Strategy holds a total of 712,647 BTC, with a cumulative purchase cost of approximately $54.19 billion and an average purchase price of $76,037.
Next Week's Macroeconomic Outlook: The Federal Reserve Meeting Approaches, Silver Enters the 'Three-Digit' Era - Will Trump Spark Another Fire?
This week, an astonishing market volatility triggered by Trump has played out once again. However, for precious metals, even Trump's latest 'surrender' has failed to deter gold and silver bulls, who have pushed precious metals to the next milestone: silver has surpassed $100, and gold is very close to $5000. Looking ahead to next week, market volatility is unlikely to diminish. Weekend anxieties regarding Iran and a generally tense atmosphere are heating up the market, especially with the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting approaching, and Trump preparing to announce the next Federal Reserve Chair nominee.
Here are the key points the market will focus on in the new week:
Tuesday 23:00, U.S. January Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index, U.S. January Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index
Thursday 03:00, Federal Reserve FOMC announces interest rate decision
Thursday 03:30, Powell holds monetary policy press conference
Thursday 21:30, U.S. Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending January 24, U.S. November Trade Balance
Friday 21:30, U.S. December PPI data, Canada November GDP Monthly Rate
Friday 22:45, U.S. January Chicago PMI data.
This week, an astonishing market volatility triggered by Trump has played out once again. However, for precious metals, even Trump's latest 'surrender' has failed to deter gold and silver bulls, who have pushed precious metals to the next milestone: silver has surpassed $100, and gold is very close to $5000. Looking ahead to next week, market volatility is unlikely to diminish. Weekend anxieties regarding Iran and a generally tense atmosphere are heating up the market, especially with the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting approaching, and Trump preparing to announce the next Federal Reserve Chair nominee.
Here are the key points the market will focus on in the new week:
Tuesday 23:00, U.S. January Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index, U.S. January Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index
Thursday 03:00, Federal Reserve FOMC announces interest rate decision
Thursday 03:30, Powell holds monetary policy press conference
Thursday 21:30, U.S. Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending January 24, U.S. November Trade Balance
Friday 21:30, U.S. December PPI data, Canada November GDP Monthly Rate
Friday 22:45, U.S. January Chicago PMI data.
Bitcoin speculators buy again - but we must beware of bull market traps
Bitcoin whales, also known as "sharks," have increased their holdings by more than 56,000 bitcoins during the recent drop in Bitcoin price from nearly $98,000 to around $88,000, indicating their confidence in the long-term trend of Bitcoin.
This on-chain behavior, where wallets holding 100 to 1,000 bitcoins buy during price declines, usually signals a stronger market by reducing circulating supply. However, there may be a "bull market trap," as this behavior resembles past patterns, and prices may continue to decline. Caution is advised regarding the conflict between patient accumulation and the risks of short-term volatility.
Bitcoin whales, also known as "sharks," have increased their holdings by more than 56,000 bitcoins during the recent drop in Bitcoin price from nearly $98,000 to around $88,000, indicating their confidence in the long-term trend of Bitcoin.
This on-chain behavior, where wallets holding 100 to 1,000 bitcoins buy during price declines, usually signals a stronger market by reducing circulating supply. However, there may be a "bull market trap," as this behavior resembles past patterns, and prices may continue to decline. Caution is advised regarding the conflict between patient accumulation and the risks of short-term volatility.
The current decline of Ethereum reflects panic rather than a crash, as large investors are still quietly accumulating.
Investors must look beyond price and major indicators, focusing on supply, leverage, and actual network usage.
Investors must look beyond price and major indicators, focusing on supply, leverage, and actual network usage.
Why is Bitcoin falling? Are we about to enter a cryptocurrency winter?
On Wednesday, January 21, 2026, the price of Bitcoin briefly dropped to $88,000. The price of Bitcoin has fallen by 2.1% in the past 24 hours. A 6% drop over the past week prompts us to explore the reasons behind the sharp decline in Bitcoin's price and whether we have entered a bear market.
Bitcoin experienced a brief price surge in January 2026, returning to the $97,000 mark on January 15. However, this rally was short-lived, and the price subsequently plummeted to its current level.
The recent market downturn is likely triggered by President Trump's announcement of tariffs on countries supporting Greenland's autonomy. The U.S.-China dispute has caused significant concern among investors and further reinforced the current risk-averse sentiment. This risk-averse strategy is also reflected in the fact that gold and silver reached new highs on January 20, 2026, while Bitcoin faced a correction.
In the coming weeks, Bitcoin's price trend may reverse. The Federal Reserve is expected to inject $55 billion in liquidity in the coming weeks. The first $8.3 billion was injected on January 20, 2026. Such interventions by the Federal Reserve typically lead to an increase in Bitcoin's price. We anticipate similar trends in the coming weeks.
On Wednesday, January 21, 2026, the price of Bitcoin briefly dropped to $88,000. The price of Bitcoin has fallen by 2.1% in the past 24 hours. A 6% drop over the past week prompts us to explore the reasons behind the sharp decline in Bitcoin's price and whether we have entered a bear market.
Bitcoin experienced a brief price surge in January 2026, returning to the $97,000 mark on January 15. However, this rally was short-lived, and the price subsequently plummeted to its current level.
The recent market downturn is likely triggered by President Trump's announcement of tariffs on countries supporting Greenland's autonomy. The U.S.-China dispute has caused significant concern among investors and further reinforced the current risk-averse sentiment. This risk-averse strategy is also reflected in the fact that gold and silver reached new highs on January 20, 2026, while Bitcoin faced a correction.
In the coming weeks, Bitcoin's price trend may reverse. The Federal Reserve is expected to inject $55 billion in liquidity in the coming weeks. The first $8.3 billion was injected on January 20, 2026. Such interventions by the Federal Reserve typically lead to an increase in Bitcoin's price. We anticipate similar trends in the coming weeks.
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