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January 15, 8:30 AM ETH Trend Analysis
Candlestick and Volume: (Daily chart closes at 8 AM) The daily chart closed near the key resistance level of 3325 yesterday. It was expected to close with a small negative candle for adjustment, but actually closed with a small positive candle, breaking above the 3325 resistance level, showing stronger momentum than anticipated. The resistance has now turned into support, indicating a bullish trend. The 1-hour chart is in a bearish divergence state, suggesting a short-term pullback is needed, so caution is advised for short-term long positions.
Moving Averages: Daily support at 3040-3190, resistance at 3505. 4-hour support at 3311. Short-term long positions at MA5 and MA7 have already been taken. For aggressive traders, consider entering long positions at MA10; for conservative traders, wait for MA20 to enter.
MACD: Both 4-hour and 1-hour MACD are in bearish divergence, indicating a pullback is currently needed.
Bollinger Bands: On the daily chart, the price remains below the daily resistance line at 3381. According to the Bollinger Bands indicator, if the upper band is not broken or not sustained, use this resistance level to consider short positions. For long positions on the 4-hour chart, consider entry at the middle band, 3220. On the 1-hour chart, aggressive traders may consider entering at the middle band, while conservative traders should wait for the lower band before considering long entries.
Supply and Demand: On the 4-hour chart, resistance levels are at 3388-3446, 3542, and 3607-3658; support levels are at 3132, 3095, and 3052.
Fibonacci Levels: In the upward move from 3061 to 3403, the 0.236 retracement is 3322, 0.382 is 3272, 0.5 is 3222, and 0.618 is 3192. Retracements can be used to enter long positions. Aggressive traders may enter near 3322 or 3272, while conservative traders should wait for 3232 or 3192 to enter.
Vegas Channel: On the 4-hour chart, breaking above the resistance range of 3278-3311 turns it into support. On the daily chart, the price is currently near the resistance level of 3345, with support at 3248 and 3284.
Personal opinion is for reference only: The daily candlestick body closed above 3325, indicating a bullish bias. However, there are two risks for a long position: first, no new high has been made, as the previous high of 3446 has not been broken; second, the 4-hour and 1-hour MACD are both in bearish divergence. The trend remains bullish. Long positions entered around 3100 should be held securely. Short-term traders should avoid chasing the market directly and are advised to wait for a pullback before entering long positions. @大圣兄 #ETH #ETH走势分析 #山寨 #财富自由

January 14, 9 AM ETH Trend Analysis
Price Action and Volume: The daily close was near the key resistance level of 3325, indicating a short-term bullish outlook. Next, we'll watch whether the recent two-day price action confirms a breakout from the triangle consolidation. The daily chart closed with a large bullish body, though volume wasn't particularly high. On the 4-hour chart, we can see volume expansion during the rally. The current price is at a key resistance level in the naked price action.
Moving Averages: Daily support at 3040-3190, resistance at 3504. 4-hour support at 3238. A short-term pullback to MA5 or MA10 can be used to take long positions.
MACD: The daily MACD has shifted from bearish crossover to bullish crossover, forming an 'airborne takeoff' pattern. The 4-hour MACD shows a strong bullish crossover with a need for a pullback.
Bollinger Bands: The daily Bollinger Bands haven't yet formed a clear trend, but signs are emerging. We're expecting the middle band to start moving upward as the bands open. Currently, the price is at the upper band resistance. Traders can consider short positions at the daily upper band resistance of 3345. The 4-hour chart shows a need for a pullback, returning to the Bollinger Band range.
Supply and Demand: On the 4-hour chart, resistance levels are at 3388-3446, 3542, and 3607-3658; support levels are at 3132, 3095, and 3052.
Fibonacci Levels: The 0.236 retracement of the 3061-3383 upward move is 3307, 0.382 is 3260, 0.5 is 3222, and 0.618 is 3184. The short-term trend is upward; pullbacks can be used to enter long positions. Aggressive traders can consider entering around 3260, while conservative traders should wait for entry at 3220 or 3184.
Vegas Channel: The 4-hour breakout above 3271-3290 turns this zone into support. The daily chart is just below the resistance at 3345, with support at 3247 and 3283.
Personal recommendation is for reference only: The price has shown a short-term bullish trend. While optimistic, traders should note that the price is currently at the upper resistance of the triangle consolidation without confirmed breakout. This level is suitable for short position opportunities. Pullbacks offer us a chance to enter. Small dips lead to small gains; larger dips lead to bigger gains. The 3122-3170 range is the best risk-reward zone for long positions (also the hardest to enter). @大圣兄 #ETH #ETH走势分析 #山寨 #财富自由

January 13, 9 AM ETH Trend Analysis
Price Action and Volume: On the daily chart, the candlesticks have not yet formed a clear trend. The higher timeframes can still be viewed as ranging, with a triangle convergence pattern to follow. The short-term outlook is also range-bound.
Moving Averages: Daily support at 3062, resistance at 3142 and 3514. 4-hour support at 3055, resistance at 3142.
MACD: On the daily chart, the MACD fast and slow lines are flattening, with decreasing and slowing momentum bars. On the 4-hour chart, a bullish crossover has turned into a bearish crossover.
Bollinger Bands: Daily Bollinger Bands remain in a ranging market. The 4-hour Bollinger Bands are flattening, so trade using a range-bound strategy with high-rent low-buy.
Supply and Demand: On the 4-hour chart, resistance zone at 3255–3310; support zone at 3056–3095 (yesterday's levels were already taken profit, proceed with caution today), and 2957–2988.
Fibonacci Levels: In the upward move from 2772 to 3308, the 0.5 retracement is 3040, 0.618 is 2977, and 0.782 is 2887. Currently in a sideways consolidation. If the price moves lower, it would be better to place long positions near the 0.618 level as a small platform.
Vegas Channel: 4-hour support at 3078, resistance at 3149 and 3332. Daily support at 2968–3053, resistance at 3241–3280.
Personal advice is for reference only: The daily chart still shows triangle convergence. Expecting a breakout from the range and an upward move afterward, but also be prepared for a downward reversal. Breakout requires stop-loss. The long-term long position around 3100 should be held steady; add positions after the daily trend is confirmed. For short-term trading, continue with high-rent low-buy. The 3000 area is a good zone for entering long positions. @大圣兄 #ETH #ETH走势分析 #BTC #山寨

January 12, 11 AM ETH Trend Analysis
Price Action and Volume: On the daily chart, the candlestick pattern has not yet broken out of the trend, and the higher timeframes can still be viewed as a range-bound market, with a triangle convergence strategy applicable. The short-term trend is also range-bound, currently biased upward.
Moving Averages: Daily support at 3054, resistance at 3145 and 3525. 4-hour support at 3122.
MACD: On the daily chart, the MACD fast and slow lines are flattening, with decreasing and slowing momentum bars. On the 4-hour chart, the golden cross is ongoing; the golden cross below the zero line may still indicate room for higher prices.
Bollinger Bands: The daily Bollinger Bands remain in a range-bound market. The 4-hour Bollinger Bands are contracting and now showing signs of expansion, with the middle band trending upward.
Supply and Demand: On the 4-hour chart, the upper resistance zone is 3255–3310; the lower support zone is 3056–3095.
Fibonacci Levels: The 3308–3052 decline, with the 0.5 retracement at 3180, 0.618 at 3210, and 0.782 at 3258. A conservative approach would be to consider short positions near 3258, offering a good risk-reward ratio and safety.
Vegas Channel: 4-hour support at 3075, 3118, 3150; resistance at 3335, 3437. Support and resistance between 3121–3155. Daily support at 2968–3053, resistance at 3242–3281.
Personal advice is for reference only: The daily chart still shows a triangle convergence pattern. Positions above 3220 are considered entry points for shorting. A conservative strategy would be to consider shorting near 3258, with long entries possible on a pullback to 3134. In a range-bound market, use a high-low trading strategy with a bias toward longs. Expect an upward breakout after the larger-range consolidation ends. Avoid holding short positions; long positions initiated around 3100 should be securely held. Add positions after the daily trend breaks out. @大圣兄 #ETH走势分析 #ETH #山寨 #BTC

L2 Expansion and Modularization (Ecological Expansion, Upside Potential)
ARB (Arbitrum): L2 TVL Leader. The most vibrant ecosystem, currently the optimal solution for Ethereum scaling.
OP (Optimism): Superchain Vision. Unifying multiple L2s (e.g., Base) via OP Stack, forming a massive liquidity alliance.
TIA (Celestia): Modular Data Availability (DA). Significantly reduces chain issuance costs, serving as the foundation for the era of thousands of interconnected chains.
STRK (Starknet): Apex of ZK Technology. Extremely high mathematical proof-based security, ideal for complex financial and gaming computations.
Specialized Niches and Emerging Forces
STX (Stacks): Bitcoin Layer 2 (BTC L2). With the widespread adoption of Bitcoin ETFs, DeFi applications on Bitcoin are expected to be the biggest overlooked breakout in 2026.
PYTH: High-Frequency Price Oracle. Dominant position on Solana and high-performance blockchains, with speed far exceeding LINK.
HYPE (Hyperliquid): King of On-Chain Contracts. Exceptional user experience and massive trading volume, emerging as the new dominant player in decentralized perpetual exchanges (Perp DEX) in 2026. @大圣兄 #OP #山寨 #ARB #l2

Market trends have changed little; ETH is currently in a range-bound movement, BTC is converging in a triangle pattern, and fund flows are low on Saturday and Sunday. It is recommended to adopt a short-term strategy of high selling and low buying. The previous analysis and price levels for ETH remain valid. @大圣兄 #BTC走势分析 #ETH走势分析 #山寨 #ETH #BTC

January 10, 9 AM ETH Trend Analysis
Price Action and Volume: On the daily chart, the K-line has not yet broken out of the trend. For the larger time frame, continue to view it as a range-bound market and consider a triangle convergence strategy. The short-term outlook is a correction after a decline.
Moving Averages: Daily support levels at 3047 and 3027; resistance at 3127 and 3155. The 4-hour chart shows a dense resistance zone between 3090 and 3120.
MACD: The 4-hour indicator shows a bullish crossover trend, while the 1-hour chart is in a sideways consolidation.
Bollinger Bands: Daily Bollinger Band middle line supports at 3041, lower band at 2838, upper band at 3244. On the 4-hour chart, the middle line can be used for short positions. On the 1-hour chart, the upper band can be used for short entries.
Supply and Demand: Support zone at 2957-3004; resistance zones at 3145-3185 and 3255-3310.
Vegas Channel: Daily support at 2967-3054, resistance at 3244-3285. 4-hour support at 3072, resistance at 3121-3155.
Fibonacci Levels: In the upward move from 2775 to 3309, the 0.5 retracement is 3042, 0.618 is 2979, and 0.786 is 2889. In the downward move from 3310 to 3055, the 0.382 retracement is 3152, 0.5 is 3182, and 0.618 is 3212.
Personal advice is for reference only: The two support levels below from Fibonacci are 0.5 (3042) and 0.618 (2979). Currently, watch for direction after the 3100 area consolidation ends. If the large-scale convergence pattern completes and the market turns up, consider initiating long-term positions now at the lower end of the triangle convergence, with the optimal entry near 0.618 (3000). The market is similar to yesterday; with low weekend liquidity, focus on short-term high-sell, low-buy strategies. @大圣兄 #山寨 #ETH #ETH走势分析 @BTC

DePIN and Storage (Real-world Deployment, Hard Currency)
HNT (Helium): Decentralized 5G network. Has deployed a large number of real-world hotspots globally, serving as a successful case of Web3 transforming traditional infrastructure.
AR (Arweave): Permanent storage. The demand for data authenticity and anti-counterfeiting in the AI era makes AR's permanent storage model irreplaceable.
GRT (The Graph): Blockchain data indexing. A must-have component for all DApp development, similar to Google in Web3.
LPT (Livepeer): Decentralized video transcoding. With the explosion of AI-generated videos, it significantly reduces video processing costs.
THETA: Video content delivery network. Has deep expertise in streaming media and AI computing, with partners including Samsung and Sony. @大圣兄 #山寨币热点 #DePIN #加密市场观察

Ethereum Market Analysis: Three support levels below the Fibonacci sequence: 0.382(3106) 0.5(3044) 0.618(2981). Now observe the direction choice after the consolidation near 3100. If a large-scale convergence pattern ends and the price starts to rise, it's a good time to initiate long-term long positions at the lower end of the triangular convergence, with the optimal entry near 0.618(3000). For short-term trades, follow the range-bound strategy. Refer to the 15-minute Bollinger Bands. @大圣兄 #ETH #山寨 #ETH走势分析

III. RWA and DeFi Evolution (Institutional Capital and Yield Management)
ONDO: The leading compliant Treasury tokenization platform. Backed by BlackRock, it serves as the compliance benchmark for real-world asset tokenization on-chain.
LINK (Chainlink): Cross-chain oracle. The foundational connector for all RWA projects; the CCIP protocol has become the standard for bank settlements.
PENDLE: Interest rate management marketplace. It will be the sole tool for large-scale capital to manage yield and risk when re-staking and RWA adoption become widespread by 2026.
AAVE: The gold standard in decentralized lending. The most secure platform, having survived multiple bear markets, serving as the anchor of DeFi.
MKR (Sky): A decentralized central bank. Achieves substantial profits by holding significant amounts of U.S. Treasuries, featuring a strong buyback mechanism.
UNI (Uniswap): The leader in DEXs. The Hook feature in version V4 has evolved Uniswap from an exchange into a foundational liquidity hub. @大圣兄 #山寨 #LINK🔥🔥🔥 #ONDO‬⁩

January 8th 8 AM ETH Trend Analysis
Candlestick and Volume: On the daily chart, the candlestick formed a engulfing pattern near the key resistance level of 3326, and if the price reverses around this level, it is highly likely to form a triangle consolidation. The short-term trend has shifted to downward.
Bollinger Bands: The daily Bollinger Bands are expanding, with the middle band moving upward. The middle band presents a good entry point for long positions.
Supply and Demand: The support zone is located at 3117-3145; the resistance zones on the daily chart are 3270-3310 and 3327-3446.
Fibonacci Levels: Upward pullback
0.382 corresponds to 3184, 0.5 to 3216, 0.618 to 3238, and 0.786 to 3269. For larger timeframes, when trading within a triangle consolidation pattern, the Fibonacci levels are highly reliable.
Personal recommendation is for reference only: The daily chart has not yet broken out of the consolidation range. Currently, it is recommended to trade based on triangle convergence. For short-term trades, consider shorting after a price rebound. @DaShengXiong#ETH #山寨 #BTC #加密市场反弹

II. AI + Crypto Track (The #1 Narrative for 2026, High Odds)
TAO (Bittensor): Decentralized computing power incentive. The "Bitcoin" of the AI world, building the largest decentralized algorithmic sharing network globally.
RNDR (Render): Distributed GPU rendering. A necessity in the era of video generation (Sora/Veo, etc.), regarded as NVIDIA in Web3.
FET (ASI): Super Agent Alliance. Integrates multiple technologies, making it the most comprehensive blue-chip stock in the AI track, covering data, models, and interaction.
AKT (Akash): Decentralized version of cloud computing. 80% cheaper than centralized cloud, highly explosive potential in 2026 when GPUs are extremely scarce.
IO (io.net): Solana AI flagship. Utilizes the DePIN model to integrate global computing power, backed by strong funding, positioning itself as the next-generation computing powerhouse.
NEAR: Chain abstraction + AI. Founded by one of the co-authors of Transformer, with deep technical foundation, focused on native integration of AI on the blockchain. @dashengxiong#AI #BTC #山寨 #财富自由