帝王说币

Family, who understands! The big chess game in the Middle East has turned into a suspense drama; Saudi Arabia suddenly issued the U.S. a 'gag order' and threw a deep-water bomb into the crypto market 💥 Don't just focus on the oil price bouncing around; those in the know are quietly laying out these few coins, missing out could mean hitting your thigh in regret!
First, let me highlight for my friends who find it impressive but unclear: it’s not that Saudi Arabia and Iran suddenly 'shook hands and made peace', but rather that little Salman played a textbook-level strategic game, directly announcing a ban on U.S. military planes passing through Saudi airspace to strike Iran, and also got Oman, Qatar, and other countries involved in the 'Middle East non-alignment' 🌍 This move was definitely not a spur-of-the-moment decision; it was all calculated with meticulous profit considerations behind it.

🔥 Who understands, brothers! The recent drop in USDT against the Vietnamese Dong has completely overturned my predicted scenario. I thought I would have to wait until March-April to touch the bottom range of 26.300-26.800, but this thing is like a roller coaster that stepped on the gas, plummeting 3.45% in a month, diving from 27.250 directly to 26.330, falling faster than the ice cubes melting in the milk tea shop downstairs! Many friends complained to me that they had only raised half of the funds, and the vehicle was already at the edge of the platform. If you are slow by a step, you will directly slap your thigh, and it hits hard without any warning.
Don't rush into panic or charge recklessly; let's analyze the underlying logic behind this sharp drop. The key point is that the fluctuation in stablecoin exchange rates has never been caused by a single factor. The strengthening of the Vietnamese Dong against USDT (which means USDT is depreciating) is driven by three overlapping forces. First, there is an imbalance in supply and demand in the regional market. Recently, local liquidity for USD in Vietnam has been tight, and some traders are selling USDT to convert to local currency, leading to excessive selling pressure that directly crushes the exchange rate in the short term. Second, external geopolitical disturbances add chaos; some overseas forces always want to stir trouble in emerging markets and influence capital flows through both overt and covert means, causing market sentiment to panic and further amplify exchange rate fluctuations. Third, the transmission of global funding cost differences; the Fed's high-interest rates have maintained a longer-than-expected cycle, leading to an imbalance in the interest rate spread between the Vietnamese Dong and USD assets, triggering some short-term capital outflows, which indirectly exacerbates the selling pressure on USDT.

Who understands this, guys! Just yesterday, I was nervously watching the Middle East situation, afraid that I would wake up to skyrocketing crude oil prices and the crypto market being crushed by geopolitical black swans. Today, I was completely stunned by Trump’s statement **“No war, no attack”**!
This move really clarified market expectations!
The news personally confirmed by the Iranian ambassador to Pakistan is like pouring a bucket of cold water on the boiling risk-averse sentiment. The market's reaction was ridiculously fast, a textbook case of risk pricing that we can dissect and analyze.
First, let's look at this plunge in crude oil, which is not surprising at all! The previous surge in oil prices was not due to supply and demand issues, but because traders artificially added a layer of **“war risk premium”**. The fear was that once missiles fired, oil transport channels would be cut off, leading to a global supply disruption. Now, it’s fine; since there’s no war, the premium has gone to zero: ✅ No military conflict = No supply shock ✅ No missile crisis = No panic buying ✅ No geopolitical black swan = Oil prices return to fundamentals

Family! Who understands! Just recovered from the panic of last year's $120,000 BTC correction, and the market throws another 'deep-water bomb'—that mysterious prophet who accurately predicted the BTC peak in October 2025 has spoken again! At the current $95,000, he's calling for a year-end surge to $250,000, with ETH touching $20,000, SOL skyrocketing to $1,500, and altcoins collectively hitting ATH. Plus, industry bigwig CZ frequently hints at a 'super cycle.' Is this wave a real carnival or just wishful thinking? As someone who has been immersed in the crypto circle for eight years, I won't play around today; I'll lay bare the underlying logic of this prediction for you!
Let me be honest: when I first saw this prediction, my immediate reaction was, 'Here comes another traffic peddler,' but after reviewing the latest reports from giants like Fidelity and Bitwise, I put away my sarcasm. This prediction is not just a castle in the air; there are significant movements behind the scenes where institutions are rewriting the rules of the game. The core logic is simple: the crypto market is no longer a playground for retail gamblers. Institutional funds and regulatory frameworks are reshaping a new price-driving model, and the halving curse of the past four years may truly be broken.

Family, who understands! In this chess game of the encrypted market, some are still lamenting the October fluctuations, while others have secretly boarded the rocket 🚀 that is about to take off. Today, I must reveal to you a severely underestimated tough character, known for its dramatic drop and nicknamed 'ICU', the Internet Computer is now preparing a big move to rewrite the landscape. I dare say this opportunity, if missed, may take another year to come around!
Let me first highlight my core viewpoint: In this round of market activity, ICP is not a small follower, but a potential stock with self-sustaining capabilities. The expected increase of 750% is by no means an empty talk and may even be a conservative estimate. Don't think I'm just making grand claims; let's use data and logic to speak, the solid information is all here.

Family, who understands this! One second I was struggling to grow from 100,000 to 5 million with compound interest, planning every contract's profit-taking line, and the next second I was stunned by the 14 million 'unexpected benefits' 🙃 It's not about some worthless coin skyrocketing, but rather the arrival of compliance bonuses in the derivatives market. This kind of happy trouble is probably only understood by old players deeply involved in the crypto circle. When the money is small, there are clear goals, but when the money suddenly increases, it becomes easy to lose direction and step into pitfalls.
First, the conclusion: This 14 million must not be recklessly created according to the logic of 'getting rich quickly with small funds'! Many people suddenly receive a large amount of capital, and their first reaction is to leverage and chase after the hot trends or memes, ending up either being liquidated and losing most of their money or stepping into worthless coins that go to zero, turning from 'unexpected windfall' to 'unexpected disaster'. As an analyst who has experienced three rounds of bull and bear markets and witnessed countless capital rises and falls, today I share my heartfelt insights and teach you how to turn unexpected funds into long-term cash flow, rather than a fleeting number.

🔥 Warning! Don't keep struggling with the 4-year cycle! Will BTC drop below 30,000 or surge to 200,000 in 2026? As an analyst who has witnessed three bull and bear markets and has been battered by the market countless times, I’m here to share the truth with you. After reading this, you’ll avoid taking 3 years of unnecessary detours!
Don't rush to take sides as a 'cycle believer' or 'cycle invalidation theorist.' Let’s start by looking at historical data, because no matter how crazy the crypto market gets, it can't escape the iron law that 'history doesn't repeat itself, but it does rhyme.' My long-time followers know that I never blindly believe in a single indicator, but the trends after each halving are indeed worth examining.

Family, who understands! The crypto world has yet another confusing scene; ONDO plummeted from $2.14 to $0.42, nearly an 80% drop, catching retail investors off guard while traditional financial giants like BlackRock and Fidelity are clinging to it like prey. This operation is comparable to the 'reverse deity' of buying dips but not rises. Is it that the giants misjudged, or are we ordinary people unable to see through it? Today, let's dissect this controversial star of the RWA track.
Don't rush to feel sorry for the brothers who got stuck buying the dip; this wave of plummeting prices is not because the project is failing, but purely a supply-side farce of 'expectations being realized early.' I checked the data, and currently, ONDO's circulating supply accounts for only 31.6% of the total supply, with nearly seventy percent locked up and waiting. The main event is on January 18th, when a full 1.94 billion tokens will be unlocked, equivalent to 134% of the current circulating supply, which would put pressure on anyone. The brief rebound at the beginning of the month, to put it plainly, was just funds tentatively trying to buy the dip. Once they noticed the unlocking countdown getting closer, everyone was busy fleeing to avoid risk, and the trading activity naturally cooled off quickly, making the price rebound merely a 'flash in the pan.'

Family, who understands! A fierce character just emerged on-chain, directly turning the ETH contract into Russian roulette, and the whole community is holding its breath waiting for a live broadcast of a 'liquidation drama' 🤯 This operation is crazier than the contract market at three in the morning. Newbies are calling it magical, and even veterans are sweating. Is this a top-notch expert hiding insider information, or a desperate gambler blinded by greed? Let's peel back the details and discuss slowly.
Let me update friends who might not understand: just an hour ago, a decentralized derivatives platform suddenly revealed an astonishing short position. A whale dumped $3 million in stablecoins as margin and opened a 25x leveraged ETH short position, instantly acquiring 18,260 ETH, bringing the total position value to a staggering $60.57 million. But that's not even the most extreme part; on-chain data shows that this guy's margin could go to zero, essentially betting his entire fortune without leaving a way out, pure 'all-in shorting.'

Family, who understands! This morning, I secretly bought some spot at the 11.4 position while staring at the market. I thought I would stay up all night and catch up on sleep, but ended up in a 'deep hibernation' and nearly missed the double bottom formation on the 15-minute chart. I didn't wake up, which left me with just a small amount of ant positions, not even enough to fill the gaps. 😭 By the time I groggily opened my eyes, the price had surged to around 14, pulling more than twenty points, and I regretted it so much that I slapped my thigh. I completely missed the bottom position and the take profit, focusing on a counter-trend operation ceiling.
First, let me insert a sincere remark. As someone who has been in the crypto space for eight years, I always feel that the biggest enemy in trading is not market volatility, but one's own 'physiological limits' and 'greed'. This time, I made a mistake on the former (overslept and missed signals) and also fell victim to the latter (hesitated to sell when it rose more than twenty points). Fortunately, my trend judgment on ZEN was not wrong. Today, I will share some insights based on the market conditions and also discuss my future operational plans. Newcomers should not blindly follow trends; first, understand the logic.

Stop obsessing over the hundredfold myth and losing sleep! Today, with two new accounts for investment, I walked away with a net profit of 85U and treated myself to a delicious double pork knuckle rice meal. The moment the broth soaked the rice was even more satisfying than watching the coin price surge by 10 points. In a space filled with 'all-in to get rich' and 'missing out and crying', I must praise this 'small profits are safe' approach; it is the lifeline for ordinary players to navigate bull and bear markets.
First, let's review this operation: participated in a new project investment, two accounts realized 171U and 175U respectively. Based on the community's statistic of a single account cost of 130U, it comes down to a net gain of 85U, equivalent to a little over six hundred yuan. Some may scoff: 'What can you do with this little money? It's better to wait for a tenfold investment.' But I want to say, half of the scams in the crypto world come from the project parties, and half come from retail investors' 'get-rich fantasies.'

Family! Don't just focus on short-term fluctuations. 2026 might be the true 'exam year' for the crypto world. 😨 Those old players who treat Bitcoin's four-year cycle as the gospel are now collectively caught in a dilemma. Will this history repeat itself? After all, this pattern has survived three rounds of bull and bear markets without crashing, yet now, with institutions entering and technological changes happening, it seems to be precariously hanging.
First, let's provide new followers with some hard-core insights. Old players can skip directly to the opinions, but it's recommended to savor it a bit. The four-year cycle of Bitcoin is not a mystery; it's embedded in the supply logic coded into it. The halving of block rewards every four years essentially creates artificial scarcity, and historical data has made the script very clear. It's just that each time the decline is quietly 'flooded' in.

Family, who understands! The magical realism of the crypto circle was fully illustrated by ZEC this week. The SEC suddenly said they would stop investigating, and the core team collectively 'threw in the towel', yet the market surged back dramatically. This operation is more absurd than a TV drama; is the market crazy, or is it just that what we understand is only the surface?
First, let's clarify the timeline to prevent everyone from being swept away by the flood of news. Recently, the privacy track, which had been pressed down by regulators from various countries, suddenly welcomed a 'miraculous reversal': the SEC officially announced the end of the investigation into ZEC and will not take any enforcement actions. It should be noted that for the past few years, privacy assets have been a 'key focus' in the eyes of regulators, with exchanges delisting and various bans emerging one after another. This wave of deregulation is an enormous boon for anyone watching.

Brothers! Stop fixating on K-line fluctuations! The most powerful 'black swan' right now is not in the crypto market, but in the oil tankers in the Caribbean and the bank accounts in Qatar. The United States just sold 500 million dollars worth of Venezuelan oil but deposited the money into a third country's pocket. This operation has turned 80 years of international rules into scrap paper, more thrilling than any contract liquidation!
First, let me highlight for my friends who are impressed but confused: this is not just a simple case of 'power grabbing resources', but a completely new 'sovereign resource harvesting framework'. They haven't played this wild since the Iraq and Libya periods. Those in the know understand that the impact on global asset pricing logic is more fatal than some major platform going under.

Brothers! Have you ever had that suffocating moment: staring at the market and watching the numbers turn red, just earning enough for a hot pot meal, and then panicking to close the position, only to turn around and see the market running wild, slapping your thigh and cursing yourself for not having a bigger vision; then looking at another losing position, clearly the trend has turned bad, yet clinging to the fantasy of 'just wait a bit longer and I can break even,' stubbornly holding on, only to turn a small loss into a total collapse, crying without tears in the middle of the night while staring at your account?
I’ve been in this circle for eight years, and I’ve seen too many retail traders with top-notch strategies losing everything, and I’ve also witnessed veterans who use simple methods to earn steadily. To say a heart-wrenching truth: the crypto market has never lacked indicators, tutorials, or even opportunities that come knocking at your door; what truly drags 90% of traders into the abyss is not the technology, but the inherent human weaknesses engraved in our bones—loss aversion.

Family, who understands! While the whole internet is chasing high mainstream coins, there is an 'immortal veteran' quietly preparing a big move with a 'destruction fire.' That's right, it's LUNC (Terra Luna Classic), which countless people have sung against, yet its die-hard fans continue to hold on. Today, let's not play around. Taking the current price of $0.000043 on January 16 as an anchor point, let's analyze whether this thing can break the 'accompanying runner's fate' in 2026 and stage a textbook-level turnaround.
First, let me throw out my core viewpoint: this wave of LUNC is not a speculative frenzy; it is an inevitable excitement under deflationary logic. 2026 is likely to be a key turning point for it to go from 'survival' to 'breakthrough,' and it may even reach heights that many dare not imagine. But don't rush in; the substance must be savored slowly. Let's first clarify the core logic of this game.

Family! Did this surge in $ZEC leave many people dumbfounded? It shot up from a low point all the way to the 448 mark, and we almost thought it was entering a frenzy bull mode. Many old friends are itching to jump in and chase after it? Stop! Listen to my advice, this is not a meat opportunity; it's a 'trap for retail investors' set by the main forces. Going in now is just pure foolishness!
As a veteran who has immersed myself in the crypto market for eight years, I never rely on gut feelings to make calls, but speak the truth based on data. Let's break down the current market situation, where dangerous signals are flashing red: First, look at the 1-hour level indicators. In the MACD indicator, the DIF line has already started to turn downwards, getting closer to the DEA line, a typical precursor to a death cross. It's like running to the top and running out of energy; the subsequent downward momentum has been quietly building up. It's not that it can't rise, but it simply lacks the strength to do so.

Stop! Don't keep clicking on the price of Life Coin at 0.26164 and the floating loss of -11.96%! Those who are panicking and cutting their losses are simply packaging their chips as 'heartwarming lunches' to feed the whales, truly a paper-handed retail investor behavior. After 8 years of rolling around in the crypto space, I can see through this trick with my eyes closed; this is not a crash at all, but a meticulously staged 'bloody chip harvesting drama' orchestrated by the main players. Those who understand are quietly waiting to pick up the bargains.
Let me first educate the newbies on the routine operations of the whales. The trend of Life Coin this time is simply a textbook-level wash trading template. The first step is to set a high position to lure in the bulls, precisely locking in at the key position of 0.28538. Why this? Because this is the resistance line of the previous oscillation platform. Retail investors see 'it has broken through the key level, it’s going to take off', and immediately follow the trend to chase the highs, even charging in with high leverage, unaware that this is the 'sweet trap' tailored for retail investors by the whales, just waiting for you to take the bait and lock in your positions.

Family, who understands! When the market is a mess, some are at the top crying, while others rely on precise T trading to secretly pocket their capital. My recent 'life coin' operation directly demonstrates for the brothers. Once you learn it, you too can earn passively in a volatile market!
First expose the real market, no fake plays: yesterday at the position of 0.2688, I decisively sold part of my chips, then turned around and bought back at 0.1988. Not only did I recover all the initial capital that was trapped, but my holding size hasn't decreased! Some brothers might say, 'Isn't this just buying low and selling high?' Wrong! Big mistake! Real T trading is never just randomly guessing points; it contains two layers of core logic. Newbies need to grasp this to avoid a year of detours.

Family, who understands! The crypto circle has another magical scene, X (formerly Twitter) top product manager, with just one sarcastic tweet, directly caused the popular InfoFi project $KAITO to experience a waterfall market, with a 24-hour decline approaching 20%. This operation can be described as the "killing the heart" ceiling: first, cut off the vital API, then smilingly extend an olive branch to the opponent, turning "business mutual destruction" into a stand-up comedy, the fragility and absurdity of the crypto circle were vividly reflected on this day.
Let's review this scene of a "one-sided massacre". The tweet from the product manager of X translates to: "Some projects rely on token incentives to push garbage AI content on our platform, making it a mess, so we directly pulled their API 😂. By the way, affected developers, don't panic, contact me, and I'll help you connect to Threads or Bluesky, take care~" While it seems like a joke, it precisely exposes the fatal weakness of InfoFi projects like $KAITO, which overly rely on centralized platforms for traffic and data interfaces.