CYCLES ARE STILL ALIVE!.I want to disappoint those who have already buried the 4-year $BTC cycles.Willy Woo shared charts that completely break this narrative.Capital flows are following the same cyclical pattern as before.The mechanics didn’t break, the market is simply maturing
What does the data show?
Capital inflow peaks are getting lower with each cycle.Cooling phases are gradually getting longer.So the cyclical nature remains, even if the shape of the cycles is changing.
Why did everyone decide cycles are dead?
$BTC failed to meet upside expectations this year and mass FUD kicked in.So most people claim the classic model is broken forever.But the data shows otherwise: cycle mechanics still work, the pace is just slower.The market now needs more capital to move due to changes in liquidity structure.Until new, non-cyclical sources of capital appear, cycles remain intact
My view?
What we’re seeing now looks more like time compression stretching out
Expectations of fast results no longer match the new structure
So I believe the issue isn’t with the cycles, but with our expectations of them
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$BTC has outperformed everything YTD is only 9% away from reclaiming $100,000 and a massive altseas
The recent Gold ATH could be a significant catalyst for that.
Paired with this chart, we could get some good altcoin action.
Bitcoin has outperformed everything YTD is only 9% away from reclaiming $100,000 and a massive altseason. The recent Gold ATH could be a significant catalyst for that.
Paired with this chart, we could get some good altcoin action.
I also almost haven't seen any bearish posts on my timeline since the beginning of the year, almost only bullish ones.
Coincidence? I think not.
The $80k floor has held very strongly despite extreme fear for weeks, so people are pricing in that Bitcoin will stay above $80k, which is an extremely strong floor.
This is reflected in the fear and greed index, which has returned to neutral with just a 2% pump.
Can we return to $87k and many altcoins going to 0 again? Of course, but in the mid-term I see my altcoins going up, slowly at first, then all at once.
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I also almost haven't seen any bearish posts on my timeline since the beginning of the year, almost only bullish ones.
Coincidence? I think not.
The $80k floor has held very strongly despite extreme fear for weeks, so people are pricing in that Bitcoin will stay above $80k, which is an extremely strong floor.
This is reflected in the fear and greed index, which has returned to neutral with just a 2% pump.
Can we return to $87k and many altcoins going to 0 again? Of course, but in the mid-term I see my altcoins going up, slowly at first, then all at once.
$COLLECT /USTD is showing bearish momentum The $0.072 area is a potential support zone and has been tested several times.And after the breakout of the $0.072 zone the price should bounce back nicely
ETH ETF inflow of $174,500,000 yesterday.
BlackRock bought $47,200,000 in Ethereum
Solid inflows yesterday. $174M net into ETFs, with BlackRock grabbing $47M worth, shows institutions piling in after December's flat flows. ETH's up 2.5% today around $3091, holding that $3100 floor nicely while BTC grinds higher at $89,500. This reverses the outflow streak from late last year. Cumulative AUM's pushing $17B now, locking up supply and countering any spot selling. BlackRock's been the leader, adding thousands of ETH weekly, which ties into the table you shared, looks like a pipeline of pending approvals and seed capital through 2026. Most are still pending, but the "Yes" on a couple like Grayscale points to more greenlights soon, potentially $50M+ monthly flows if they hit. Price action's bullish on the 4H, testing resistance at $3135 after bouncing from $3014 lows. Momentum's building with short liquidations over $90M in the last day, but perps are mixed, funding neutral and some short building, so no full squeeze yet. Fundamentals stay strong, TVL at $60B and fees steady, these inflows just add sentiment juice without changing the core. Edge leans up if we break $3135 with volume, could target $3290 quick. Risk is a stall below $3118, especially if macro turns (NFP Friday). Overall, good sign for ETH resilience in this neutral market. What's your view on the approvals ramp?
🥇 Fun Fact: The first Bitcoin block — the Genesis Block — was mined 17 years ago today, marking the beginning of decentralized digital money and a new financial era. #Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoHistory