韭菜的成长路

Recently, the prices of gold and silver have risen sharply, and many friends involved in cryptocurrency have started to feel anxious. However, there's really no need for that; we need to understand the underlying logic of this matter.

First of all, this round of skyrocketing prices proves that the market is not short of money; liquidity is being released like a flood.

The reason why money has first flooded into gold and silver can be simply explained as the external environment being too chaotic: there are wars, tariffs, and frequent government shutdowns. This released 'flood' has been scared off by uncertainty and can only take shelter in safe-haven assets and raw materials to 'avoid the rain'.

But this is actually a very good signal. Everyone needs to understand that the soaring prices of gold and silver have always been a 'leading indicator' of liquidity.

If you don't believe it, just refer to the market from 2020 to 2021:
In August 2020, when gold hit an all-time high, Bitcoin was still hovering just above $10,000; as gold reached its peak and started to correct, when people's risk appetite returned, that pent-up liquidity immediately made a precise switch. The story that followed is well known: gold stagnated, while Bitcoin soared.

When this wave of uncertainty calms down a bit, or when people feel that gold and silver have really risen to a point where they can no longer afford it, this flood will definitely seek out higher-yielding outlets.

Historically, every time the gold market has rallied, it has inevitably been followed by a frenzy in risk assets.

At that time, cryptocurrencies that offer great value for money will be the top 'growth stocks'.
So, the current situation is not that money has disappeared, but that there is a 'queue' waiting for the tipping point of this situation to be reached, at which point this flood will accurately pour into the cryptocurrency market.

So, this is just the 'foreplay'; gold is the 'reservoir' of liquidity, while Bitcoin is the 'ultimate outlet' for this wave of wealth $BTC

The ETH prediction is the same; this week is the time for an increase. It was mentioned on the 2nd that as long as it doesn't break below 3400, it is the time to get on board. On the evening of the 8.3, when the US stock market opened, breaking below 3400 and then quickly rebounding is the time to get on board, indicating that 3400 is a significant resistance point. Additionally, coming into this week, the direction for Ethereum is gradually rising, continuing to push upward, #ETH

If ETH does not drop below 3400, it is the time for a rebound. Long and short positions can enter directly. Those who have entered have already achieved 22 consecutive wins, #ETH .

Successfully scored 40 points 😘

The current four-hour chart presents a clear stepped downward trend. Although the bulls have made several attempts to rebound, they have consistently failed to break through the resistance zone, and upward momentum continues to wane, with rebound highs constantly declining, indicating a significant weakness in the bulls' power. From the market performance perspective, the bears have firmly established dominance, with a stable downward rhythm; each rebound after a pullback is weaker than the previous one, forming a typical weak pattern. The continuity of the downward trend in the short term is worth noting. The overall shape indicates that the bears' strength is still accumulating, while the bulls' counterattacks lack effective support, leading the market to favor the bears' dominance.
【Bears】
Big Pie: 119000-118500 Bears ➡ Near 117500
Second Pie: 3870-3850 Bears ➡ Near 3800 $BTC $ETH

Why did the ancient giant whale frequently awaken after I got in the car?
Why did institutional buyers stop buying after I went long?
Why did Trump suddenly urge for interest rate cuts after I stopped my losses?
Did my position cause repeated inflation in the US economy?#BTC☀️

Help buyers (verified funds) purchase 5000 bitcoins, looking for reliable sellers, recommendations are welcome, successful transactions reward 10 bitcoins.

Bearish people are shorting BTC and ETH... Bullish people are going long on altcoins... So the former can't drop, and the latter can't rise...

The posture is analyzed based on 4 hours 🧵, and the next step is to head straight for 4000

The upward momentum is strong, with plenty of energy recently.

Bitcoin has been consolidating at a high level for two weeks, while Ethereum has surged crazily during this time, leading to a rise in altcoins. Next, it is estimated that Bitcoin will start a blood-sucking rally again, Ethereum will adjust, some altcoins will follow the rise while most will correct, and a portion will decline. This is a normal trend in a bull market. When Bitcoin reaches its true peak and forms a top, both Ethereum and altcoins will go crazy. Master the rhythm well, and don’t be fooled into getting off the train #BTC

DOGE is about to experience a surge, aiming directly for 0.3😀 Hurry up and get on board,

Obama rarely issues a statement denying Trump's bizarre accusation that he is the "mastermind" behind the "RussiaGate" scandal.
Recently, Trump found himself in a difficult position due to the Epstein list, and to divert attention, his intelligence chief suddenly brought up an old conspiracy theory, even claiming to pursue criminal charges against Obama. However, it's likely that Attorney General Bondi will not step into this trap, as it is just a nonsensical accusation; Bondi has already gotten into trouble because of the Epstein list and will not further tarnish her reputation.

Yesterday, the market rose stepwise from around 115800 to 120300 under the promotion of bullish volume, briefly retracing to 118500 in the morning before currently oscillating around 118700.

From a technical perspective, the daily candlestick shows a transition from bearish to bullish, with a support zone exhibiting a lower shadow bullish candle, indicating strong support; on the 4-hour chart, bullish volume has formed an upward movement, encountering slight resistance and a minor pullback when reaching the upper band;

The 1-hour chart maintains strength, with bullish volume continuously moving upward around the upper band.

Afternoon trading suggestions: Short the big coin upon a rebound to the 119500-120000 range, targeting a drop to 118500-117500;

Short the altcoin upon a rebound to the 3750-3780 range, aiming for a target of 3700-3680.

#ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥 As soon as it falls, there are bearish sentiments everywhere... It may not be the right time, perhaps waiting is the best arrangement.

Early Morning Strategy Verification
7.22 Afternoon
• BTC accurately captured the rebound from 116400 to 117900
• Current long position is still held
🔍 Latest Technical Analysis
• BTC: 116400 strong support at the bottom of the range
• ETH: 3670 key defense level on the daily chart
🎯 Operational Strategy
▸ BTC low long: Positioning near 116400
→ Target 118500 (hold if突破)
▸ ETH low long: Entering near 3670
→ Target 3750 (take profit in batches) #ETH

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The explanation is that the rise and fall are controlled by large funds.

Evening Strategy Ideas on July 18th 🔍 Technical Signals​​
• ​​BTC​​: Support zone at 118400-117500, hourly chart shows reduced volume consolidation
• ​​ETH​​: Strong support at 3580-3560, MACD correcting above the zero line
​​🎯 Action Plan​​
▸ ​​BTC Long Entry​​: Build positions in batches at 117500-118400
→ Target 119800-121000
▸ ​​ETH Long Entry​​: Enter in the 3560-3580 range
→ Target 3730-3750
​(Exit if BTC breaks 116900 / ETH breaks 3530)
• If support is broken with increased volume, then observe #ETH突破3600

Let's talk about it at noon on July 18

In the morning, the long order has successfully won 50 points. At noon, the big cake side, from the 4-hour and 15-minute trends, the range of movement is relatively stable and has been fluctuating. 120,800 has been tried to break through several times but failed. It is a difficult hurdle to pass.

However, from the 1-hour trend, the buying power is still strong, and it is moving towards the paste little by little. If it can break through the hurdle of 120,800, then you can continue to watch the account; if it can't break through, wait for a slight drop before buying, which is also quite safe.

Suggestion
Big cake can be bought between 119,000 and 119,500, and the target is to see 120,800 to 121,800 first.

As for the second cake, the overall trend has been going up, which is good. The strategy is to buy when it drops a little bit and follow the trend.

Suggestion: Buy the second cake between 3620 and 3640, aim to reach 4000, and try to exceed it#ETH突破3600 #BTC走势分析