Last night someone asked in the group: The more you watch the market, the more money you lose, why?
I replied: You treat the candlestick chart like an electrocardiogram and your position like your life.
After being in the crypto world for a long time, you'll find:
Those who go all in, shut down when it drops, and get jittery when it rises a little;
Those who are out of the market, don't check for three days and miss out on big opportunities;
Only those with 'half position + stop loss' are smiling every day, their curve moving upwards.
This isn't mysticism, it's a game mentality: Winning isn’t about showing off, losing isn’t about cursing; Blowing up isn’t about passing the blame, profit isn’t about getting inflated; Just focused on 'how to play the next round', not tangled up in 'how to recover from the last round'.
How to incorporate a game mentality into a trading system? Three steps to achieve it.
Step one, don’t go all in.
If you put your entire capital on the line, you turn from a player into a gambler, and all you have left is prayer, praying that it doesn't produce Alpha, but high blood pressure instead.
Step two, don’t stay out of the market. Without any coins in hand, your sensitivity to the market instantly drops to zero, only realizing the bull market too late and relishing in the bear market, as your understanding and capital shrink together.
Step three, adjust your position to the 'slightly pressured' zone.
My method: Lying in bed at eleven at night, if I can still wake up instantly due to breaking news, then my position is just right.
Too tired? Money is too little, can't get excited.
Can't sleep? Money is too much, heart can’t handle it.
I keep 40%-60% for myself, I don't smash my computer when it drops 10%, and I don’t quit my job when it rises 20%. I check the market first thing in the morning but am not scared out of my wits by a 15-minute spike.
Someone asks: Is a game mentality about lying flat?
Wrong, it is the most aggressive offense.
It forces you to focus on 'how to win the next round', rather than 'how to recover from the last round'. The former develops strategy, the latter produces emotion; strategies can be replicated, but emotions can only explode.
Therefore, trading should be 'gamified':
Fixed positions to level up, stop losses as revival coins, and reviewing trades as strategy guides.
If you excel at these three things, you'll find:
The market is still the same market, the coins are still the same coins, But you have evolved from 'being chopped up like cabbage' to 'gold farming studio'.
Finally, here’s a saying for you:
Don’t treat trading as life or death, treat it as ranking;
As your rank goes up, your capital is just a bonus trophy. @juice带单
Last night, I posted a student's notes in the group, and they went viral within half an hour.
I have organized it into the following text, serving as the 'first lesson' for new fans:
I have been staring at K-lines for three years and finally understood one thing: K-lines themselves do not speak; they merely project the 'voice' of the operators on the screen. Want to predict the future with a few candles?
No way; but if you can understand the operators' hidden language, at least you won't be led around by the nose.
I have summarized three commonly used hidden phrases to share with you.
Hidden Phrase One: False Breakout, Real Lift
The script usually goes like this: the price suddenly breaks through important support, and the comments section immediately wails. Retail investors see the breakout and panic sell. However, the operators quietly buy back the chips and lift the price back above support before the market closes.
Identification Method:
1. Look at the closing price. If the 1-hour K-line breaks support and then closes back above, it is likely a washout.
2. Look at the trading volume. A sudden increase in volume at the breakout, but a decrease in volume during the rebound, with obvious signs of wash trading.
Hidden Phrase Two: Alert of Volume-Price Divergence
When the price hits a new high, but the volume decreases — a typical 'false prosperity.' Conversely, when the price is stagnant but the volume suddenly increases, it is likely that the operators are quietly accumulating.
Last year, I suffered a loss in a popular cryptocurrency: the daily line reached a new high, but the volume shrank day by day, resulting in a sharp drop three days later, wiping out all profits.
Hidden Phrase Three: Crisis of High-Level Consolidation
Sideways movement is not rest; it is dividing the spoils. Bottom-sideways means operators are accumulating; top-sideways means operators are distributing.
Distinction Method: 1. Bottom-sideways, volume gradually increases, and bearish candles are quickly engulfed by bullish candles.
2. Top-sideways, volume gradually decreases, and bearish candles slowly engulf bullish candles. Once accompanied by a surge in open interest, the storm is coming.
Are K-lines useful?
Yes, but don't just look at the ups and downs; you need to read the intentions behind them.
When you can understand these three hidden phrases, the market will be like a movie with subtitles, and the plot will be clear at a glance.
For those who don't want to go in circles, follow @juice带单 and see what the operators are plotting.
Friend is confused: "Brother, you only make moves three to four times a month, never panicking, how do you always double your investments?"
You should know that I am holding a seven-figure contract position.
People around me only know that I "make some investments," no one understands the logic behind this calmness.
The core of trading is to first widen the time frame.
The fluctuations below the daily chart are just noise, the 4-hour chart only helps to look at the structure, and the signals worth betting on must wait for confirmation from the daily or even weekly charts.
For trial positions, I only use very light positions, like testing the waters.
Wait for the weekly close to lock in the trend, then gradually increase the position, placing the stop-loss just outside the weekly K reversal low—wide enough to let the market fluctuate freely, also wide enough for me to sleep peacefully.
A trade should be held for at least a week.
I usually rarely watch the market, spending just a few minutes each day to compare with my plan: Is the current trend continuing or is it a consolidation? Just having this in mind is enough.
The rest of the time, I read, work out; trading, for me, is just a side job.
Many people can't hold onto their trades, simply because their eyes are filled with unrealized gains and losses.
But I only focus on the life and death of the trend: as long as the structure isn't broken, I treat this position as if it doesn't exist.
Out of ten small stop losses, nine are a waste of effort.
But the tenth will cover all costs at once and can even earn a whole year's living expenses.
Big money is never made from frequent operations; it's given by the market.
Afraid of tension? Start with 100U, and increase the stake after doubling.
Reducing the frequency allows the leverage to be reasonably increased; once operations become frequent, no matter how powerful the system, it cannot withstand wear and tear.
Capture three to four waves each month, each wave targeting 50%, and compounding will lead to doubling.
The crypto world never lacks volatility.
What it lacks is the determination to distinguish between fluctuation and market trends.
Don't treat every rise and fall as an opportunity; learn to reduce frequency, let the market work for you, and that's the key to long-term survival and growth.@juice带单
1200U to 50,000U: I used three iron rules to turn the situation around
I have never been a trading master, just an old player in the cryptocurrency circle who has stumbled countless times and lost real money.
Last year, a friend was left with only 1200U, almost at the end of his rope and wanting to take one last gamble. When he sought my help, he had almost no hope himself—this amount of money seemed insufficient even to fill the gaps in a volatile market.
But I didn’t let him operate randomly; I only gave him three iron rules that I summarized from my experiences.
He persisted for 90 days, mechanically executing my rules, without a single emotional trade, and never blew up his account.
In the end, his account stabilized at 50,000U, going from 1200 to 50,000, over 40 times his initial investment.
Today, I’ll share these three lifesaving and profit-making rules with you; whether you can grasp them depends entirely on your execution ability.
First, diversify your funds and never go all-in. Split 1200U into three parts, without reallocating: 400U for short-term trading, with at most two trades a day, take profits when you earn; 400U to catch trends, if there’s no clear signal on the weekly chart, play dead and avoid volatile markets; 400U as “emergency funds,” to replenish positions on the day of a sudden crash, ensuring you always stay in the game. You can lose a finger but losing your head means death; going all-in is gambling with your life.
Second, only take trend profits and avoid volatile traps. Volatility is a meat grinder, and 9 out of 10 times you’ll lose. My standard is simple: if the daily moving averages are not in a bullish arrangement = stay out; if the volume breaks the previous high + daily closing confirms = enter for the first time; when profits reach 30%, take half of the profits and set a 10% trailing stop for the remaining. The market is full of opportunities, don’t rush to take risks; only take the certain ride on the trend.
Third, control your emotions and execute mechanically. Write your plan before entering a trade: stop-loss at 3%, cut it off when it hits; profit at 10%, pull the stop-loss to the cost price; turn off the computer promptly at 23:00 every day, and uninstall the app—never stay up late watching the market. The more boring trading is, the longer you’ll survive.
1200U to 50,000U is not about lucky trades but about making fewer mistakes. The capital is only once; the market has opportunities every day. First, engrave these three iron rules in your heart, then discuss technical indicators. Surviving is the prerequisite for discussing wealth. @juice带单 #ETH走势分析
Seven years in the cryptocurrency world, from incessant chatter to silence.
I used to think that understanding the market meant I should speak up for justice; now I understand that the deepest realization is learning to keep quiet.
In 2023, an elder sister took my advice and bought Ethereum. After it rose by 50%, she kept asking, "Should I sell?" I advised her to hold long-term, but she kept asking repeatedly. At that moment, I suddenly understood that what she wanted was not professional advice, but just a reassuring nod.
I said, "Sell it," and she instantly placed the order and exited the market. Later, ETH doubled again, and she came back asking about coins; I mentioned the meal I owed her for two years, and she fell silent from then on.
I stepped into the cryptocurrency world in 2018, and the deeper I delved, the lonelier I became. With thousands of fans and likes flooding in, there are very few who truly resonate with me. Some people keep asking, "How about this altcoin?" I replied, "I don’t know," and they looked shocked, thinking I was pretending.
But I truly didn’t know — researching a project requires studying the white paper, calculating the unlocking curve, and analyzing on-chain data, which takes at least a month at the fastest. If you ask me how much it will rise? I can't answer that either. Experts are never fortune-tellers.
I advised relatives to position themselves in BTC during the bull market, and they waved their hands: "Let’s wait until the MEME we hold breaks even." I smiled bitterly; by the time they break even, Layer2 would have already advanced to the third generation. They verbally acknowledge you as an expert, but in action, they want you to play by the logic of novices: only focus on low-priced coins, stubbornly hold onto losing positions, and insist on waiting until they want to sell before following the trend.
It's like someone who doesn’t know how to drive, sitting in the passenger seat directing an experienced driver. Some people follow my trades, flaunting their profits in the group, even leveraging to surpass me. The next time they ask for advice, I counter, "What’s in it for me?" In three years, I haven't received a single heartfelt thank you; instead, I’ve become a free consultant. I stay up late analyzing data and trends, while they enter the market in five minutes and blame me when they get liquidated.
Helping once feels like taking on a lifetime of responsibility. Once, when the ETH pattern looked perfect, I discovered anomalies in the on-chain data and quickly advised a friend to liquidate his position.
Later, the price indeed plummeted, and he avoided a disaster, but he never contacted me again, probably thinking I hid information from him.
Another time, I helped a friend double her SOL and escape at the peak, but she complained that I didn’t call it at the highest point. I was left speechless. Later, when a friend asked about profits, I casually took a screenshot of my wallet, and from that point on, I heard nothing from them...
8 years ago, I entered the cryptocurrency world with 5000U, completely clueless about distinguishing between mainstream coins and altcoins.
Chasing after meme coins, I got trapped when the prices surged; I stubbornly held on during LUNA's crash, watching my tens of thousands in capital shrink to a mere fraction, unable to sleep all night.
8 years later, I transformed from a "cut vegetable" into a steady trader through a set of rules I figured out myself, with my account balance frozen at 25 million.
There’s no special talent involved; it’s all lessons learned from real money. Today, I won’t sugarcoat things, just sharing 5 actionable experiences that both novices and veterans can use.
1. Protect your capital: Three iron rules that must not be broken
The core of trading is to survive. Only use "money that you won't regret losing": If you have 100,000 in savings, you can only invest up to 20,000; if your monthly salary is 8,000, your monthly investment should not exceed 800, and don’t borrow from online loans or risk all your assets. 5% mandatory stop loss: If it breaks the 5-day moving average on short-term trades, or the 20-day moving average on medium-term trades, exit immediately, do not hold the position. Divide your positions into three parts: 30% in mainstream coins for the long term, 50% for swing trading, and 20% as emergency funds, averaging down during a crash at -15%, -30%, and -50%.
2. Go with the trend: Don’t go against the market
I used to always think about catching the bottom, but ended up buying each time halfway up the mountain. Avoid bear markets: Even if it drops 50%, wait for a clear signal of an upward trend. In a bull market, catch the dips: Buying during pullbacks is safer than waiting for the bottom. Watch the trading volume: A low-level breakout with increased volume = opportunity, rising without volume = false rise, stay alert for pullbacks.
3. Technical indicators
No need for complexity; simple and practical lasts longer. 15-minute candlestick charts: Identify entry and exit points, entering when it turns from red to green and the 3-day moving average goes up. Daily MACD: A crossover below the 0 axis = buy, a crossover above the 0 axis going down = reduce positions. Weekly Bollinger Bands: The middle band is a key support level; breaking below changes the trend. When all three resonate + volume increases, the success rate of entering the market doubles.
4. Short-term survival: Three habits to avoid pitfalls
Short-term trading is not gambling; it’s about discipline. Only focus on hot trends + volume: Don’t touch coins without volume, even if they rise. Set strict profit-taking and stop-loss limits: Must sell at a 15% gain, must cut losses at a 5% drop. Only look at 1-3 minute charts: Follow the average price line, don’t enter the market during consolidation.
Lastly, let me be honest:
My stability today comes from the losses I incurred before. Discipline is more important than skills; surviving is more important than making money.
Want to turn a few thousand into a fortune? First, diligently improve your understanding; don’t treat trading as a gamble. @juice带单
There is a "foolish" method of trading cryptocurrencies that can achieve 99.99% profit.
I earned over 50 million from it, going from a divorce with nothing, burdened by debt, to becoming an 8-figure asset holder.
Eight years ago, my life hit rock bottom, and when I was at my wits' end, I ventured into the crypto world.
There are no shortcuts, only relentless effort—from following the crowd and losing to diving deep into research, I finally grasped a core logic: the consistent profits in the crypto world come not from complex techniques, but from simple, executable methods. $AXS
This method consists of 4 steps, making it easy for beginners to grasp:
1. Focus only on daily charts! The MACD golden cross is the core signal; prioritize golden crosses above the zero line for steadier trends and higher fault tolerance; 2. Keep a close watch on one daily average line! Avoid excessive indicator conflicts, hold firmly when online, and decisively exit when offline, simplifying operations; 3. Buying & reducing positions should follow rules! When the coin price stabilizes above the daily average line + volume is online, enter with the entire position; reduce by 1/3 if the wave increases over 40%, and reduce another 1/3 if over 80%, keeping chips to earn trend money; 4. Risk control is the bottom line! If the price unexpectedly drops below the daily average line the next day after purchase, immediately liquidate without taking chances, and wait to re-enter when it stands above again—though the probability of a drop is very low, risk awareness is crucial.
I never make empty promises, only conduct real market validations. $XRP
Now there are a few spots left in the team; for those who want to learn the method of guaranteed profit and turn their fortunes around in the crypto world. $FOGO
Get on board and let’s do this together, executing simple logic to earn guaranteed money! @juice带单
I personally took someone from 1400U to 54,000U, but in the end, I kicked him into the blacklist.
Don't rush to criticize me for being cold-blooded; listen to the end before deciding whether to emulate me.
On the day he entered, his account had only 1,400 left, and his phone's wallpaper was still a screenshot of a liquidation.
"Bro, if I lose again, I'm going back home."
I said fine, let's establish three rules: 1. No more than 10% per trade; profits should be taken immediately as seeds, not for drinking money. 2. If the K-line hasn't reached the position, even if I have to chop off my hand, I won't move. 3. Write 200 words of review every day; if you can't write, don't sleep. He gritted his teeth and complied.
Three days later, the account showed a floating profit of 36%, and I let him take out the profits while the principal continued to roll.
He muttered, "So slow, when will I turn around?"
I replied, "Want to be fast? Go to Macau, don't come to the crypto world."
Later, we were like two night owls, watching the charts and eating cold takeout.
1400, 1900, 5200, 8700... the numbers felt like leveling up in a game, lighting up green all the way.
On the 28th day, he stared at the 50,000U balance, his gaze started to drift: "Bro, can I take on disciples now?"
I didn't respond; I was already braking for him in my heart.
The brake pads shattered on the 34th day.
In the middle of the night, he heavily invested in a newly launched counterfeit without reporting, and woke up to a 43% drawdown.
I asked him, and he scratched his head: "I wanted to test my own market sense."
I smelled a burnt smell — that was the scent of discipline being scorched.
On the 36th day, I blacklisted him.
It wasn't about the money; it was because he threw the word "discipline" into the furnace for the thrill of speed.
The most toxic mantra in the crypto world is to tell you "double in the next second."
What truly allows people to survive is to break down every profit into the next bullet,
following the rhythm, according to the rules, in an infinite loop.
The size of the principal is just a ticket; self-discipline is the long-term pass.
First learn to control your hands in the dark before you qualify to welcome the dawn. @juice带单
That day, the fan Aya sent a profit chart, and the account increased by 210,000.
I didn't reply with congratulations, a momentarily stunned.
I lit a cigarette, and my thoughts suddenly pulled me back to three years ago.
In 2021, she popped up in the group: "Bro, can 5000U still turn around?" The profile picture was dull, but her words carried a desperate brightness. I shot back a phrase: "Learn from me, first learn to feel pain, then learn to earn."
She replied with a "1", and from then on, she became the youngest and most stubborn among my apprentices.
In three years, we only did six things, made public today, both as a celebration for her and to throw a rope to those still in the abyss:
1. Volume is the heartbeat of the market Slow rise and fast drop, don’t rush to escape, it’s likely the big players are secretly accumulating; fast pulls and slow drops require calm, true peaks are always accompanied by volume waterfalls, that’s the sound of the sickle dropping.
2. Flash crashes are for finishing off, not bonuses The sharper the drop, the slower the rebound, indicating that the big players are withdrawing while fighting. Don’t fool yourself thinking "it’s dropped so deep it should be at the bottom", in the crypto world, often there are still eighteen layers beneath the abyss.
3. High positions fear silent movements Volume increase isn’t necessarily a peak, but a lack of volume at high positions must be heeded—like a KTV suddenly going silent at midnight, the next second is likely to be the noise of a crash.
4. Bottoms require waiting for "sustained signals" A single volume spike may be a trap, only after a series of volume decreases followed by an increase can we confirm the big players are genuinely building positions; whether to follow, depends on your determination.
5. K-line is the corpse, volume is the body temperature K-line only remembers results, trading volume is the real-time thermometer: volume shrinking to suffocation, only retail investors cutting each other; sudden volume surges, funds are like sharks smelling blood.
6. Ultimate mindset: "Three No's" No obsession, decisively close the screen when it's time to exit; no greed, hands in pockets when chasing highs; no fear, daring to rationally average down during sharp drops.
This isn’t about being Zen, it’s an instinct forged from countless liquidations.
The crypto world is never short of opportunities; what it lacks are those who can stay calm and wait for opportunities.
The streetlights are already on, whether to walk or not, depends on yourself. @juice带单
At two in the morning, I personally buried 20 times the profit in the ground. It wasn't the market that killed, but human hearts. That day, my phone vibrated, and the voice only had half a breath left: "Bro, 1900U, last struggle." I replied: "Divide the money into eight parts, with a maximum of 12% per trade; withdraw profits immediately, transfer to the cold wallet, don't let it stay overnight on the exchange; set stop-loss orders, cut losses as soon as triggered, don't hesitate for a second." He responded like grabbing a lifeline, fully agreeing. For the first 22 days, we put ourselves on silent mode: Write the script before the market opens, at what time and what price; if we miss by a minute, shut down; During the market, only watch the signals, not the color of the candlesticks, if it retraces 3%, immediately pull the plug and review. 1900U rolled like a snowball, steadily climbing at a 45° slope, rolling up to 76,000U—40 times, without a drop of water mixed in. On the 23rd day, he suddenly became talkative: "If it doubles again, I'll be free." I said: "Profit is borrowed life, it must be paid back." He mumbled in agreement, but secretly filled his position. On the 25th day at dawn, he went all in on a hot search imitation, without a stop-loss. I woke up to find my account halved, with 51% evaporated. When I urged him to cut losses, he replied: "The dealer is washing the盘, bro, don’t be afraid." On the 28th day, the coin price crashed, 76,000U left 8,000U. He sent the last voice message: "Why didn’t you pull me back?" A red exclamation mark popped up, I clicked to block him, casually setting the screenshot as my screensaver— That was the tombstone I set for myself: It wasn't the bear market that killed the 20 times, but the inflation after profit. Later, I cut this experience into three lines of text and posted them on the edge of my monitor: Control the drawdown, kill the human nature, pick up money rather than rob it. The market still exists, opportunities still exist, it's just that most people treat profit as bullets, while I treat profit as a lifeboat. Today I released the lifeboat, bringing 30 people, without shouting orders, without sharing profits, without painting dreams, only doing three things: Slice the principal, lock in profits, and castrate emotions. The road is still long, the night is still long, loneliness is also long. If you also get used to treating trading as wilderness survival, rather than gambling all in, Come on, let's walk the remaining path steadily together.@juice带单
A post-90s guy from Hunan, settled in Shanghai. $XRP
I have been through the cryptocurrency world for 8 years, starting with a capital of 50,000, and have grown to my current scale. $LTC
No insider information, no shortcuts, and certainly no luck. $GIGGLE
The only thing I did right—was to live longer than others in the most foolish way.
Many people ask: Why can some people stay in the market for a long time, while others can't survive a market cycle?
The answer is simple: understand the rhythm of the big players and control your own emotions.
The following 6 points are the "survival rules" I have repeatedly validated over more than 2920 days. They are not complicated, but they are worth more than gold:
1. Rapid rise and slow fall often do not indicate a peak. When the market suddenly surges and then slowly adjusts, it's mostly a washout or a capital turnover, no need to panic and exit.
2. Rapid fall and slow rise usually do not indicate an opportunity. After a flash crash, if prices slowly rise, it may seem like a chance to re-enter, but in reality, it is often the end of unloading; don't be fooled by "it's already dropped so much."
3. High volume at high prices does not necessarily mean death; low volume is what to be cautious of. If a price rises with accompanying trading volume, there is room for speculation; once the price stagnates and trading volume drops sharply, this "quiet" often indicates a major drop is coming.
4. A single large volume at the bottom does not equal a reversal. A true bottom is formed through grinding, with several days or even weeks of stable volume being a signal that funds are seriously building positions; a single large bullish candle is at most a "smoke screen."
5. Price is the result, trading volume is the emotion. Many people focus on the K-line's appearance, but in fact, trading volume is what really matters—it reflects market consensus and the true change in buying and selling forces.
6. Being able to "short" is what makes a true expert. Being in cash is not cowardice, but a wise choice. Not chasing highs is restraint, not panicking is confidence; when you have no obsession with the market, trading will truly serve you.
In this market, it's too difficult for one person to walk alone.
I have already paved the way from the pitfalls I've encountered and the paths I've understood over 8 years; do you want to follow along? @juice带单 #加密市场观察
“Only three or four trades a month, yet able to steadily double—I've shared this secret with curious friends.”
The core is simple: enlarge the cycle and filter out noise.
Fluctuations below the daily line are just wind and grass movements; the 4-hour chart is only used to assist in observing the structure. The signals truly worth betting on must wait for clear answers from the daily or even weekly lines.
When testing positions, only use very light hands, probing the depth like throwing stones to find the way. Wait for the weekly close to confirm the trend direction, then gradually increase the position. Set the stop-loss just outside the weekly K's counter low point, wide enough to accommodate the normal fluctuations of the market, and wide enough for me to sleep soundly at night.
From opening a position to closing it, at least a week must pass. During this period, I hardly watch the market; I only spend three minutes each day comparing with my plan: is the trend continuing or is it a consolidation? Just having a sense of it is enough.
The rest of the time, either read books or work out. People around me only know that I am investing; no one is clear that I hold a seven-digit position.
Many people cannot hold onto their trades; the root cause is that they only see the fluctuations of floating profits and losses. But I only focus on the life and death of the trend— as long as the structure is intact, I treat this trade as if it does not exist.
Out of ten small stop-losses, nine are futile, but the tenth will recoup all costs in one go, and even provide a whole year's living expenses as a bonus. Big money is always given by the market, not gained through frequent operations.
Afraid of a tense mindset? Start with 100U, and increase the position after it doubles. Lower the trading frequency to allow for an increase in leverage; once operations become high-frequency, even the best systems cannot withstand wear and tear.
Catch three or four waves a month, with each wave targeting 50%, and compounded over time, it doubles.
What the crypto world lacks the least is volatility, but don’t treat every fluctuation as a market movement. Lower the frequency, let the market work for you; this is the only way to survive long-term and grow bigger. @juice带单 #加密市场观察
Trading cryptocurrencies for 10 years, from a small investor following trends to holding 50 million in assets
I have never relied on luck to bet on the market, solely relying on a trading system of "50% position stable and steady" Stably gaining 70% returns each month, my apprentice doubled their funds in three months by following my lead.
Today, I share the hard-earned practical logic, understanding it helps to avoid countless pitfalls.
Core funding principle: Split the principal into 5 equal parts, using only 1 part to enter the market each time.
Strictly set a stop loss of 10 points, even if the judgment is wrong, you only lose 2% of the total funds, and even if you are wrong 5 times in a row, you only retrace 10%; during profits, the take profit line starts at least 10 points, thus the probability of being trapped can be almost ignored.
To improve the win rate, the key is two words: follow the trend.
Rebounds in a downtrend are all traps for the greedy, while pullbacks in an uptrend are golden low buy opportunities. Bottom fishing is licking blood on a knife's edge, following the trend to buy low is the shortcut to profit; the sooner you realize this, the more you will benefit.
Iron rule one: Do not touch cryptocurrencies that surge rapidly in the short term.
Whether mainstream coins or altcoins, those that can make multiple waves of main rising trends are extremely rare. After a short-term surge, the momentum for the rise is exhausted, and a decline after a high plateau is almost inevitable; don’t think about betting on the last wave of the market, otherwise it’s easy to get trapped at the peak.
On the technical side, grasping two core indicators is enough: MACD and volume-price.
When MACD forms a golden cross below the 0 axis and breaks through the 0 axis, it is a stable entry signal; when a death cross appears above the 0 axis, decisively reduce positions and exit. Trading volume is the "barometer" of funds; after low-level consolidation, a breakout with increased volume should be closely monitored, while high-volume without price increase must be exited immediately.
Fatal misconception: Averaging down when losing.
How many retail investors average down as losses increase, turning small losses into deep traps. Remember: Never average down when losing; only after confirming a profitable trend can you add to your position, allowing profits to snowball.
Only trade in rising trend cryptocurrencies for the highest efficiency.
A 3-day line turning upwards is a short-term opportunity, a 30-day line upwards is a medium-term market, an 84-day line upwards enters a main rising wave, and a 120-day line upwards is suitable for long-term layout; follow the trend to save time and improve win rates.
Daily review is essential: Verify whether the logic for holding coins is valid, check whether the weekly K-line trend matches predictions, and immediately adjust strategies when the trend changes. $币安人生
Trading cryptocurrencies is never a solo endeavor; I have laid out the profitable path verified over ten years. Whether to follow is entirely your choice. @juice带单 #MACD
How to help a cryptocurrency trader return to a normal life?
At 22, I ventured into the crypto world, and the years from 2015 to 2023 were a turning point in my life.
From 1200U to 800,000 U, the first time I touched an eight-digit account, that kind of ecstasy is something that those who haven't endured hundreds of trades can't really understand.
But this high didn't last long; the quick money earned by luck was soon paid back.
I deeply realized: whether you can succeed in the crypto world or return to a stable life, the key is never about "how fast you earn", but rather "how stable you are".
In my early years, I also crazily chased hundred-fold coins, always dreaming of getting rich overnight.
It wasn't until my account was cut in half several times that I suddenly woke up: a 50% drop means you need to double your investment to break even; that’s the most basic calculation.
Occasional profits don't count as winning; the key to transforming from a novice into someone who can make stable profits without being tied down by the market is to lock in profits and strictly control withdrawals.
Buffett said, "Only when the tide goes out do you find out who was swimming naked". When the market corrects, whether your account can withstand it and whether your life can remain undisturbed is the real test.
Changing bad habits is never shameful; what is truly shameful is being content with "earning and then losing" and exhausting your life in that cycle.
The difficulty in controlling withdrawals lies in human nature's tendency to "snatch opportunities", but my ability to return to stability relies entirely on giving up those opportunities that don’t belong to me.
Chasing the question "who will be the next hundred-fold coin" is the most basic mindset of trading cryptocurrencies and also the most exhausting obsession in life.
The "accounting mindset" I adhere to focuses solely on overall profit and loss, not being misled by the short-term frenzy of individual coins, and never betting my life on market trends.
The weakness of human nature is the fear of missing out and the indifference to being trapped; people always feel that "missing out is a loss". To avoid missing out, they are willing to get trapped, which is a common ailment among cryptocurrency traders and the root of life's imbalance.
However, I can roll over my investments steadily without losing my life; the core idea is three words: kill human nature. By giving up greed, I can earn stable money and also live a solid life. $XAI
If you want to make money in the crypto world without losing your normal life, don't think about "snatching money"; you need to learn to "pick up money"—abandon all uncertain opportunities and endure loneliness while waiting for that "certain winning signal".
Before each trading session, think about "not losing" first, then think about "making money"; when you spot certain profits, stop in time. $DUSK
Those who can survive in the crypto world, earn money, and maintain a normal life have always been those who understand restraint. @juice带单
No boast intended, but I really want to share this result.
Three months ago, I brought along a girl who knew nothing about trading, with a principal of 1200U. Yesterday she sent a screenshot: account net value 51200U, with zero liquidation throughout.
This isn't just pure luck, nor was it a high-stakes gamble; she simply executed the three trading rules I've verified over three years without any deviation.
1. Divide the money into three parts, leaving a good exit strategy. I had her break down the 1200U with a table: - 400U for intraday short trades, only opening one position per day, and regardless of profit or loss, must exit at the designated time, never watching the market to add to positions; - 400U to wait for weekly trend signals; if there's no signal, stay in cash, and once a signal appears, go in fully; - 400U locked in a cold wallet, I hold the key for her, and unless the account is liquidated, it will never be touched. Many people fail due to "all-in" strategies; she first learned to lock in her risks.
2. Only pursue certainty, and spend the rest of the time relaxing. The selection criteria are very simple: if the 4-hour moving average hasn't risen above 30°, no matter how enticing the market, treat it as air. When the trend finally arrives and profits reach 20% of the principal, immediately withdraw 30% to convert to USDT and transfer to a bank card—numbers on paper are all illusions; securing profits is what matters. When the market is boring, go for a run or read books; don't randomly operate on K-lines to feel relevant.
3. Write the rules in stone, and refuse emotions. The three hard rules are posted on her monitor, and even if they fade, they must not be torn down: - Stop loss at 2%, automatic liquidation upon reaching, close the software afterward, and don't look at rebounds; - Profit at 4%, take half off first, leave the rest with a trailing stop to let profits run; - Never add to losing positions; if wrong, admit it; averaging down is extending a mistake's life.
Three months later, she treated me to milk tea, saying what she was most grateful for wasn't making money, but now being able to sleep soundly.
If you're still having heart palpitations over fluctuations of dozens of U, opening positions with grand ambitions and regretting at closing—what you're lacking isn't a "hundredfold coin", but the execution rules to lock in risks.
The crypto world fears chaos more than slowness. Avoiding three years of detours is far more valuable than earning three times the principal. @juice带单
A reminder for brothers with less than 3000U in capital
Don't rush to all in, let me share a few heartfelt words. The crypto world is not a casino; it's a battlefield. The less capital you have, the more steady you must be, patiently waiting for the best opportunity like a cheetah.
Last year, I guided a brother who had only 1500U; at first, his hands were trembling.
I told him: "Don't be afraid, follow the rules, and slowly roll the snowball." Four months later, his account reached 19,000U; six months later, it directly hit 35,000U, and the key is that he never blew up his account once.
This is not luck; it's the victory of discipline. Three iron rules allowed him to grow from 1500U to today:
First, divide the money into three parts, always leave yourself a way out.
1500U split into three parts:
500U for day trading, only trading BTC and ETH, taking profits at 2-4% fluctuations; 500U for swing trading, waiting for certain opportunities, holding positions for 2-4 days; the last 500U is emergency funds, which should never be touched under any circumstances. Those who go all in, whether the market rises or falls, can never go far.
Second, only trade trends, avoid volatility.
The market spends 80% of the time in a sideways range; frequent trading is just working for the exchanges. If there are no signals, stay in cash and have tea; if there are signals, enter decisively. Take out half of the profits at 12%, securing gains is real skill. Remember: if you don't move, that's fine; but when you do, make sure to win.
Third, rules are greater than everything; emotions must be locked down.
Single trade losses should not exceed 1.2%, and you must cut losses at the point; if profits exceed 2.5%, reduce the position by half, let the remaining profits run; never add to losing positions; don't let emotions ruin you. You don't need to be right every time, but you must do the right thing every time.
Having a small capital is not scary; what's scary is always wanting to get rich overnight. Turning 1500U into 35,000U relies on rules, patience, and discipline, not on gambling instincts.
I have been navigating the crypto world for many years, and this method has helped me avoid countless pitfalls.
I've turned on the streetlight for you; how to walk the road is up to you. Do you want to hit the road together? @juice带单 #加密市场观察
Can the cryptocurrency world allow ordinary people to achieve financial freedom?
The answer is: Yes, but the probability is as low as winning the lottery.
Its core charm has never been guaranteed profit, but rather the existence of a 'non-monopolized upward window.'
Many traditional big shots in the country look down on this emerging market; in the global game of chess, no one can completely block your path to making money—this is also its most fascinating aspect.
Recently, that blogger who turned 20,000 into 200 million but was scammed back to zero was not a genius; they just happened to hit a few major bull markets.
The logic of making money in the cryptocurrency world is actually very naked: first luck, second luck, and only third is understanding.
And understanding is more often used to guard money, not to help you get rich for the first time.
The vast majority of people have to go through these three steps: Initially relying on luck to make a wave, quickly losing it back; In the middle period, gaining experience to be profitable, yet tripping on 'not knowing when to sell,' leaving only a depleted principal; Until the later stage, figuring out what to buy, when to buy and sell, being able to fully capture a segment of the market, can one truly make money.
This has nothing to do with talent; it is merely the self-awareness process of ordinary people fighting against the market and overcoming greed.
It is no longer an era of becoming rich overnight; blind doubling in a crazy bull market is becoming increasingly rare.
A more realistic approach is: precise knowledge + extreme luck.
First, learn trading logic, engage in low-risk repeatable arbitrage, earn small money, grow the principal, and then wait for 2-3 trend opportunities a year; catching just one is enough to rewrite your life.
Don't be obsessed with getting rich all at once; those who can slowly reach the end in the cryptocurrency world have already outperformed 90% of people. #加密市场观察
If you also want to find like-minded people to keep an eye on the market, avoid pitfalls, and seize opportunities, why not chat with me—let's not gamble on luck but compete with rationality and the power of solidarity. @juice带单
Many people think the focus of contracts is only on liquidation, viewing it as poison.
The ridiculous thing is that they can't even distinguish between poison and antidote.
Are you a loser who doesn't trade contracts, thinking you can get rich by hoarding big pies?
Contracts themselves are not scary; what's scary is treating them like a casino. The real logic of making money is simple to the point of being outrageous:
First, find the right position before taking action. Don't rush in halfway up the mountain; wait until it has dropped thoroughly, is exhausted, and can't drop anymore, then slowly pick up chips.
Second, think about how much you can lose first. It's not about how much you can make, it's about how much you can lose. What is the worst outcome of this order? Think it through before placing the order; this is your safety rope.
Third, if you're right, just lie back; if you're wrong, cut it off. Don't fall in love with the market, don't marry your losses. Hold tight to the profitable orders, and delete the losing orders immediately.
The difference is here: gamblers treat contracts like lottery tickets, while we treat contracts like ATMs.
But ATMs also have seven major taboos; stepping on one is enough to make you drink from the cup:
1. Itchy hands. It's uncomfortable to be empty-handed, and being fully invested makes one anxious, always feeling like you've missed out on a billion. The truth is: opportunities are always there, capital is not guaranteed.
2. All-weather trading. Attempting to play both sides ends up with both sides getting killed. Until the trend breaks, stick to one direction and don't play smart.
3. Counter-trend rebound snatching. This is what beginners love to do, without exception. Catching flying knives in a downtrend is not bottom fishing; it’s looking for death.
4. Hesitation in placing orders. Afraid of false breakouts and false breakdowns, scared of missing out in the end. Get in once the trend is confirmed; don’t hope to buy at the lowest point, that’s the work of a fraud.
5. Conspiracy theory patients. Always feeling that the main force is watching your few coins; if your mentality collapses, stop trading, don’t let illusions ruin your judgment.
6. Full position all-in. You might get rich overnight, but you might also go to zero overnight. Each time you open a position, at most half a position; leave the green mountains, and you won't worry about not having firewood.
7. Refusing to admit mistakes. Adding to losing positions makes the losses bigger; in the end, you bury yourself alive. The market won’t be wrong; the mistake is yours. The quicker you admit it, the smaller the loss.
In this market, fighting alone is just sending your head out. I have already stepped on all the mines and paved the road; I’m just waiting for you to come. #加密市场观察
Don’t want to be chives? Then be the sickle.
Join me in being that rational profit-seeker. @juice带单
Starting with 1000U: Taking Position Management to the Extreme
Many people talk about position management in a vague way, or only throw out the term 'light position',
but what everyone really cares about are three points: How much position should be taken? Should adjustments be made after a loss?
How to allocate stop-loss and take-profit? Today, we will break down position management using an initial capital of 1000U clearly.
The core essence is pointed out first:
Position management = Risk management.
Trading is not about making a profit on every trade, but being able to bear losses when wrong, holding on when right, and not letting the account collapse during fluctuations. Position size is never based on feeling, but determined by the worst result you can endure.
Set a basic position size of 10%:
With 1000U capital, use 100U to open a position, which is the default intensity of the trade. The key is that no single trade should destroy you; as long as you keep the account, there is always the possibility of starting over infinitely.
Dynamic position size only follows the account:
After making a profit, recalculate 10% based on the new balance. If 1000U rises to 1200U, use 120U to open a position. Profits prove that you deserve a larger position; after a loss, absolutely do not increase the position but instead reduce it. If 1000U drops to 900U, use 90U; if the state is poor, it can also drop to 70-80U. Survive the loss period first before discussing recovery.
Build positions in batches to fragment risk:
Don't go all in at once; use a pioneering position building method, entering in 2-3 batches of 7% each. Start with 70U from 1000U to test, if the trend is right, add another 70U to confirm; if the structure is established, you can add another 70U at most. If wrong, exit with light damage; if right, add positions in line with the trend. Qualification for adding positions is always given by the market.
Stop-loss is the prerequisite for position: Set an initial stop-loss of -8% to -12% upon entering. If a 100U position loses 10U, exit; first clarify the worst result. After making a profit, move the stop-loss up by 5-10%, locking in floating profits as certain profits. The core of stop-loss is to keep you at the table.
Layered take-profit to lock in profits:
When approaching the target of 5-10%, close out 70%-80% of the position to take the bulk, and continue to hold the remaining position while moving the stop-loss up. Either ride the trend or exit gracefully; don’t let the profits you’ve earned slip away.
The win-loss ratio determines long-term profitability:
Don’t rely on win rate, rely on win-loss ratio. Conservative types 1:1, balanced types 1:1.5, pioneering types 1:2.6+, even with a 40% win rate, the account can steadily rise. #加密市场回调
Final summary: Steady positions, stop-loss as a lifeline, win-loss ratio determines the future. The cryptocurrency market is never short of opportunities; what it lacks are those who can seize the next opportunity. @juice带单
8 years in the crypto world, from $30,000 down to $8,000 on the brink of quitting, to now growing my account to $30 million.
I didn't rely on insider info, nor did I touch any Ponzi schemes. I only grasped 7 harsh truths — this isn't a get-rich-quick guide, but survival rules earned through countless liquidation nights and sleepless screen-watching.
1. Trading is not about prediction, but execution
I used to guess price movements by staring at candlesticks, panicking and cutting losses before Bitcoin crashes, and FOMOing into altcoins during rallies, losing nearly all my $30,000. Later I realized: there are no prophets in crypto. The key is building a trading system: clear entry signals, strict stop-losses, and sticking to the rules no matter how wild the market gets — don’t overthink the future, just focus on execution.
2. There’s no perfect strategy, only one you can stick to
I tried MACD, RSI,缠论 (Wen Theory), followed countless so-called 'gurus' and their indicators — all led to losses. Eventually I found that a simple moving average + volume model works best for me. No matter how many tricks the market throws, sticking to a method that fits you and mastering it is far more reliable than jumping from one strategy to another.
3. Losses are normal; controlling losses is key
Market crashes and sudden drops are routine — no one can avoid losses. I learned not to hold losing positions or average down. Accept small losses, use them to protect against larger gains. Remember: only those who control their losses deserve to make profits.
4. Profits come from patience
I used to check dozens of trades a day, terrified of missing a doubling opportunity — but the more I traded, the more I lost. Now I trade no more than 5 times a month, only when major coins show clear trends. Less trading, better quality — this brings more stable and lasting results than constant activity.
5. The hardest part isn’t skill, it’s conquering human nature
Greed made me buy high and get stuck; fear made me sell at the bottom; impulsiveness made me change my strategy on the fly — these human flaws are the real causes of liquidation. Technical skills are easy to learn, but the real challenge is keeping your hands off the keyboard during market volatility.
6. ‘Probability + Execution’
I no longer obsess over single trades. There’s no guaranteed winning trade in crypto. As long as I stick to my system and execute strictly, probability will eventually work in my favor. A few losses don’t matter — consistent profitability is the goal.
7. ‘No-self’ trading
Now, I don’t get overly excited when I win or discouraged when I lose. Price movements don’t affect me emotionally — I only enter or exit based on system signals. Trading has become as natural as breathing for me — I only profit from what I truly understand, steady and reliable. @juice带单 #合约养家