加密晨曦

Whether you're a seasoned veteran dominating the crypto scene or a budding newcomer ready to make your move, come join my chat room now!
Group up for gold mining in 2026, let's make U until our hands hurt!
Chat privately or just tap
聊天室 to join the group, I'll be waiting for you in the group, rain or shine!

The essence of trading has never been about competing with the market, but rather combating one's own human weaknesses. Those traders who can navigate through bull and bear markets may not be the most technically skilled, but they are certainly the most mentally stable. Here are 3 key mental strategies to remember today to help you maintain your core during fluctuations:

🚨 First, break the three mental demons: data shows how valuable emotions can be.

1. FOMO chasing high prices demon: When the Google Trends heat for a certain coin peaks and the community floods with 'missing out and hitting thighs', data shows that the subsequent 7-30 days of returns are likely negative. The peak of public frenzy is often the starting point for major players to offload; what you think is the 'last train' might actually be the 'crash scene'.
​
2. Frequent trading demon: Low-frequency traders achieve an annualized return of 18.5%, while high-frequency trading groups, after incurring a friction cost of 3.8%, only see a return of 11.4%. Attempting to capture every wave with 'smart operations' will ultimately cause you to miss out on the main upswing of asset appreciation.
​
3. Holding onto losses demon: Assets that have lost over 50% require a 100% increase to break even, and the probability is extremely low. Clinging to the illusion of 'just wait a little longer for a rebound' is essentially paying for luck with opportunity cost, which may ultimately turn a 'small loss' into 'zero'.

Currently, ETH is attempting a low bounce near the support below; pay attention to the support levels at 3310-3270 and 3245-3205. If these levels hold without breaking, consider a low bounce with a potential upward movement of 30-400 points. $ETH
#ETH走势分析

Can it still go up?$ETH

1.13
The turning point window is approaching, and the strategy of shorting on rallies remains unchanged.
In the past two days, the market has been trading within a range-bound box, failing to break out with a clear directional move. Meanwhile, news developments continue to escalate, and market sentiment has clearly shifted toward risk aversion—gold and silver have surged strongly, dragging down the cryptocurrency sector. The upcoming CPI data release tonight could trigger significant market volatility if it comes in. Based on the current structure and sentiment, I personally lean toward bearish momentum dominating.
From the chart perspective, price ranges have been contracting continuously, and short-term momentum shows a 'step-by-step hesitation' pattern. Entry points must be precise; otherwise, traders are easily shaken out by repeated whipsaws. Following the range-bound logic, do not go long before the resistance level is effectively broken.
Current key levels are now very clear:
Resistance: 92600
Support: 90000
It is likely that the market will remain range-bound before the data release, with the decisive direction likely to emerge within the next one or two days.
Trading reference:
BTC: Short at the 92300–92600 zone; consider a short-term long near 90300 to capture range expansion.
ETH: Short at the 3145–3150 zone; consider a short-term long near the 3060 support level, with timing synchronized to BTC.
No further elaboration—turning point is near, manage your rhythm, and strictly control risk.
Wishing everyone smooth trading and steady profits. #加密市场观察 $BTC
$ETH

CHZ shows strong momentum signals. The token is breaking through a key resistance level, accompanied by a significant increase in trading volume. Keep a close eye on on-chain activity and price movements — this could be a pivotal moment for Chiliz holders. Monitor whether the upward trend continues or faces a pullback at current levels. $CHZ

12.13
The current market is still within a daily-level ascending channel, but the trend is weak.
In the 4-hour and 1-hour timeframes, the market is ranging with clear top and bottom structures. The resistance zone is 3170-3185, and the support area is 3050-3070.

Trading Strategy:
Short Position: Observe for short entries above 3165, with a stop-loss at 3189, first target at 3120, and second target at 3080. $SOL x
Long Position: Enter long near the lower boundary at 3065, with a stop-loss at 3041, first target at 3095, second target at 3120, and third target at 3150.

If the market breaks upward, observe for short entries in the 3260-3280 zone, with a stop-loss at 3310, first target at 3220, and second target at 3185.
If the market breaks downward, focus on long entries in the 3000-3020 zone, with a stop-loss at 2980, first target at 3050, and second target at 3075.
For reference only! #加密市场观察

1.12
From the current chart perspective, the daily level still maintains a two-day consecutive bullish pattern, with real body candles accompanied by upper shadows. There is still some short-term selling pressure above, as the strong bullish momentum has formed a corrective pullback trend. On the 4-hour chart, the Bollinger Bands show an expanding pattern, with the middle band flattening and the upper and lower bands diverging. After previously breaking through the upper band resistance, the price has continued to trade above the upper band. Moving averages and technical indicators lean toward the buyers. The MACD fast and slow lines are below the zero line, forming a bullish crossover below the axis, with the green histogram showing a volume expansion trend. On the 1-hour chart, the Bollinger Bands are opening up, with the distance between the middle and upper bands increasing. The price is trading above the middle band, indicating that the short-term bullish trend remains dominant. However, strong resistance exists near the upper band. The MACD remains in a bullish crossover, with the histogram continuing to expand, indicating strong momentum in favor of buyers. Caution is needed regarding potential bearish divergence at higher levels. The RSI levels are trending toward stabilization, suggesting the medium-term upward trend remains intact. Overall, the market is still within an upward channel. The current pullback is a normal consolidation after testing higher levels and does not indicate a reversal trend. Therefore, the afternoon trading strategy should follow the midday approach, focusing on buying on pullbacks.
btc91800一91300 nearby for long positions, watch 93500
eth3150一3120 nearby for long positions, watch 3200#比特币2026年价格预测

1.9

End of the week, Friday's market behavior never follows the norm—either a strong surge in line with the trend, or a washout. We just need to follow the trend. Wishing all brothers a smooth conclusion!

In the past two days, market sentiment has been weak, with Bitcoin continuously declining, breaking key support levels one after another, reaching a low of 89,200. The strategy is clear: don't guess the bottom, don't catch a falling knife. Sell on any rebound, and profits will naturally come when the timing is right.

Last night, Bitcoin rebounded to around 91,500 before facing resistance and falling back—classic short-term recovery after a deep drop, certainly not a reversal. The chart is clear: lack of volume on the rebound, no sustained upward momentum, clearly showing weak bulls.

Regardless of time frame, the current market is dominated by bears, with no signs of reversal or stabilization. Before the trend changes, every rebound is a chance to short. Continue shorting from resistance levels and wait patiently for the target price.

BTC trading suggestion: short at 91,500–92,100, target 90,500–89,000.
ETH suggestion: short at 3,140–3,180, target 3,040–2,900.

From the 1-hour chart, BNB rebounded from 924 to 894, then rose steadily, but selling pressure around 920 remains, making it difficult to break through in the short term. Consider light short positions at higher levels.

Personal suggestion, for reference only (strict stop-loss required)
BNB can be shorted around 920-925, with targets at 900-890

1.5

#加密市场观察 After 4 hours at the hourly level, Bitcoin surged to 93300 but did not continue upward, instead retracing a bit. It is now stuck at the upper band of the Bollinger Bands, and the KDJ indicator is opening downward—this indicates that the pressure above is quite noticeable.

The short-term strategy remains to maintain a rebound and short strategy.

Specific operations: You can consider placing short orders in the range of 92600-93300, with a target area of 89000 below, and set up defenses according to your position size. $BTC $ETH are both based on this logic.

ETH Stalemate, waiting for a direction
Prices are stuck at the critical line of 2950-2980, both bulls and bears are holding their breath. A break above 3000 will relieve anxiety, while a drop below 2900 will initiate a bottom search. The market is like a compressed spring, with volatility dropping to freezing point. In such times, cash is the trump card. Not guessing the direction, just waiting for the market to provide a clear signal before pulling the trigger.

12.31
BTC: 88600–89200 area under pressure to short, target focus on 87600–86800 support zone

ETH: 2990–3020 area encountering resistance to short, below look successively at 2940–2910 support

Overall thinking is mainly based on range trading and executing at resistance levels. Before an effective breakout occurs, do not blindly chase the rise, strictly control positions and stop losses.