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道长谈比特币

中长线分析判断比特币走势,仅供娱乐。
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0204 Spring Start Qi Men Trend AnalysisOverall, there is repeated oscillation upwards. The following is the automatic analysis made by Ai, which does not constitute investment advice. Below I provide the most complete, structured, and coherent price deduction and phased trend analysis for the first half of February (2026-02-04, after the start of spring), starting directly from the closing price of the second half of January you confirmed: 74783. The analysis is divided into: ✔ Review of prerequisites and market positioning ✔ Core strength judgment of the Nine Palaces / Star Gate combination ✔ Phase-by-phase trend deduction (specific range & price) ✔ Risk points & verification conditions ✔ The overall rise and fall in the past half month and the price range

0204 Spring Start Qi Men Trend Analysis

Overall, there is repeated oscillation upwards.
The following is the automatic analysis made by Ai, which does not constitute investment advice.

Below I provide the most complete, structured, and coherent price deduction and phased trend analysis for the first half of February (2026-02-04, after the start of spring), starting directly from the closing price of the second half of January you confirmed: 74783.

The analysis is divided into:

✔ Review of prerequisites and market positioning
✔ Core strength judgment of the Nine Palaces / Star Gate combination
✔ Phase-by-phase trend deduction (specific range & price)
✔ Risk points & verification conditions
✔ The overall rise and fall in the past half month and the price range
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A few points you must adhere to in the crypto world Determines your survival 1. Leverage should not exceed three times, unless in the initial phase of a bull market. In a bear market, stick to spot trading; do not imitate the master, as the master is looking for trouble and testing the waters with the heavens 🤪🤪🤪 2. If there are profits, you must withdraw funds regularly. The master has already withdrawn half this round and will not re-enter unless the market funds are depleted. Remember! This is the method for long-term stability. 3. Nowadays, the strategies of market manipulators are diverse, so do not be greedy; gradually reduce your positions when new highs are reached, and re-enter on significant dips, which means at least a 20% drop, entering in batches. By following the above three points, you will not fear any risks. 🤪🤪🤪
A few points you must adhere to in the crypto world
Determines your survival
1. Leverage should not exceed three times, unless in the initial phase of a bull market. In a bear market, stick to spot trading; do not imitate the master, as the master is looking for trouble and testing the waters with the heavens 🤪🤪🤪
2. If there are profits, you must withdraw funds regularly. The master has already withdrawn half this round and will not re-enter unless the market funds are depleted. Remember! This is the method for long-term stability.
3. Nowadays, the strategies of market manipulators are diverse, so do not be greedy; gradually reduce your positions when new highs are reached, and re-enter on significant dips, which means at least a 20% drop, entering in batches.
By following the above three points, you will not fear any risks.
🤪🤪🤪
Short-term view Contract positions have already been reduced to a low point The main force's ability to clean up again is insufficient The bulls have already been educated to run at the slightest rebound So the probability of the bulls stopping losses at this position is quite high Looking back at the 22 bear market It took five days to rebound to the daily middle track in this structure Currently, the daily opening state needs to be repaired So it is estimated to take more than ten to twenty days Patience is required.
Short-term view
Contract positions have already been reduced to a low point
The main force's ability to clean up again is insufficient
The bulls have already been educated to run at the slightest rebound
So the probability of the bulls stopping losses at this position is quite high
Looking back at the 22 bear market
It took five days to rebound to the daily middle track in this structure
Currently, the daily opening state needs to be repaired
So it is estimated to take more than ten to twenty days
Patience is required.
22 Bears are cut down again and again This round has not increased much So it may not go this way Looking at the same structure Currently 73 at a 40% discount Then the bear bottom at a 40% discount Is roughly around 50,000 Breaking a little below is over 40,000 This is an extremely low price Reach it casually to bottom-fish Of course The extreme price point is just over 30,000 So leverage cannot exceed one time Above!
22 Bears are cut down again and again
This round has not increased much
So it may not go this way
Looking at the same structure
Currently 73 at a 40% discount
Then the bear bottom at a 40% discount
Is roughly around 50,000
Breaking a little below is over 40,000
This is an extremely low price
Reach it casually to bottom-fish
Of course
The extreme price point is just over 30,000
So leverage cannot exceed one time
Above!
Short-term sideways repair This week, closing above 77 is fine Important bottom indicator 🤪🤪🤪
Short-term sideways repair
This week, closing above 77 is fine
Important bottom indicator
🤪🤪🤪
The neighbors are all bouncing back Not even Bitcoin dogs are better The method of slaughter by dog funds is unheard of Even in a bear market There are still daily mid-line rebounds to help you escape Nowadays Just pretend it’s shit Fortunately, the Daoist has zero cost for Bitcoin 🙄🙄🙄
The neighbors are all bouncing back
Not even Bitcoin dogs are better
The method of slaughter by dog funds is unheard of
Even in a bear market
There are still daily mid-line rebounds to help you escape
Nowadays
Just pretend it’s shit
Fortunately, the Daoist has zero cost for Bitcoin
🙄🙄🙄
Be patient Position 73 is about the limit It will get better after four Will it continue to drop? Then we'll have to force a liquidation Wait for the bottom area around April or May 🙄🙄🙄
Be patient
Position 73 is about the limit
It will get better after four
Will it continue to drop?
Then we'll have to force a liquidation
Wait for the bottom area around April or May
🙄🙄🙄
What doesn't kill you will make you strongerCurrently, the smart money bottom-fishing indicator On the weekly and daily levels Both show bottom-fishing signals According to past observations It's rare for signals to appear on both levels At least it represents a position worth bottom-fishing has arrived Be patient and hold on 🤪🤪🤪

What doesn't kill you will make you stronger

Currently, the smart money bottom-fishing indicator
On the weekly and daily levels
Both show bottom-fishing signals
According to past observations
It's rare for signals to appear on both levels
At least it represents a position worth bottom-fishing has arrived
Be patient and hold on 🤪🤪🤪
Supplement Haven't understood the meaning of the Daoist priest yet? It fell for almost twenty days A rebound of twenty days is not excessive Let's see again at the end of the month Target level daily middle track 84 Daily upper track 93 Above!
Supplement
Haven't understood the meaning of the Daoist priest yet?
It fell for almost twenty days
A rebound of twenty days is not excessive
Let's see again at the end of the month
Target level daily middle track 84
Daily upper track 93
Above!
How to determine if the weak consolidation will continue to decline or if there will be a big rebound? It's very simple Currently, the market shows that it will be choppy for a while no matter what If it can break through 93 by the end of the month then a big rebound will begin in two months If it can't break through for a long time then run away 🙄🙄🙄
How to determine if the weak consolidation will continue to decline
or if there will be a big rebound?
It's very simple
Currently, the market shows
that it will be choppy for a while no matter what
If it can break through 93 by the end of the month
then a big rebound will begin in two months
If it can't break through for a long time
then
run away
🙄🙄🙄
About the gap 84 has a large gap The daily middle track is expected to drop to 84 or 85 within about half a month So this is the first target for reducing positions Then there's the 93 gap Due to the favorable conditions in February and March A significant rebound to this area cannot be ruled out It will probably be near the daily upper track at that time So there is no need to worry too much
About the gap
84 has a large gap
The daily middle track is expected to drop to 84 or 85 within about half a month
So this is the first target for reducing positions
Then there's the 93 gap
Due to the favorable conditions in February and March
A significant rebound to this area cannot be ruled out
It will probably be near the daily upper track at that time
So there is no need to worry too much
Be patient and wait Things will improve after today Then let's see if we can rebound in the next two weeks Note Due to the difficulties in April and May There is a high possibility of a significant bottom at the end of May or the beginning of June Approximately around 64 So a rebound wave is also supported Otherwise, there is still plenty of time
Be patient and wait
Things will improve after today
Then let's see if we can rebound in the next two weeks
Note
Due to the difficulties in April and May
There is a high possibility of a significant bottom at the end of May or the beginning of June
Approximately around 64
So a rebound wave is also supported
Otherwise, there is still plenty of time
Daily line closing rebound It looks okay Hope to start a half-month rebound here Target daily middle track 88 At that time, you can reduce your position
Daily line closing rebound
It looks okay
Hope to start a half-month rebound here
Target daily middle track 88
At that time, you can reduce your position
Comparison of the 22-year bear market and the current bear market The current decline is noticeably faster and deeper In 22 years, it took seven weeks to drop to this level from the peak of the rebound Whereas it only took three weeks this time In 22 years, it entered the bottom area after more than a month The bottom lingered for half a year before entering a bull market again What about this time? Let's explain it with time Since it's a bear market There's no rush to catch the bottom Because the bottom's oscillation and accumulation takes half a year There are plenty of opportunities
Comparison of the 22-year bear market and the current bear market
The current decline is noticeably faster and deeper
In 22 years, it took seven weeks to drop to this level from the peak of the rebound
Whereas it only took three weeks this time
In 22 years, it entered the bottom area after more than a month
The bottom lingered for half a year before entering a bull market again
What about this time?
Let's explain it with time
Since it's a bear market
There's no rush to catch the bottom
Because the bottom's oscillation and accumulation takes half a year
There are plenty of opportunities
Previously watched 11 12 01 not good Resulting in my hands not keeping up with my heart An impossible situation Moreover I believe 80,000 has strong support Can support a wave of rebound during the New Year So did not consider the situation of the support being broken Now it's just strong liquidation and stop-loss Holding a little spot to fight back next round Waiting for the end of the year 🤪🤪🤪
Previously watched 11 12 01 not good
Resulting in my hands not keeping up with my heart
An impossible situation
Moreover
I believe 80,000 has strong support
Can support a wave of rebound during the New Year
So did not consider the situation of the support being broken
Now it's just strong liquidation and stop-loss
Holding a little spot to fight back next round
Waiting for the end of the year
🤪🤪🤪
If the last support area of 74 breaks down Then there will be no way out After the Daoist master closes the position, there is still some spot Waiting to leverage again at the end of September Since the dog庄 strictly follows the four-year cycle Then let's play with the four-year cycle In October, double the leverage to fight back That's all!
If the last support area of 74 breaks down
Then there will be no way out
After the Daoist master closes the position, there is still some spot
Waiting to leverage again at the end of September
Since the dog庄 strictly follows the four-year cycle
Then let's play with the four-year cycle
In October, double the leverage to fight back
That's all!
Qimen is favorable The daily level still has to decline Then there's nothing to be done Just hold on until after the beginning of spring Just pay attention to the final bottoming out on Tuesday 🤪🤪🤪
Qimen is favorable
The daily level still has to decline
Then there's nothing to be done
Just hold on until after the beginning of spring
Just pay attention to the final bottoming out on Tuesday
🤪🤪🤪
The biggest mistake of the Taoist is Knowing that the months of 11, 12, and 01 are not good Mining was going well Yet still coming out to buy the dip at over 100,000 for a rebound Now look what happened Directly trapped inside The Taoist is about to explode Dog stockholder, come on If you have the ability, kill it at 70,000 🤪🤪🤪
The biggest mistake of the Taoist is
Knowing that the months of 11, 12, and 01 are not good
Mining was going well
Yet still coming out to buy the dip at over 100,000 for a rebound
Now look what happened
Directly trapped inside
The Taoist is about to explode
Dog stockholder, come on
If you have the ability, kill it at 70,000
🤪🤪🤪
Risk Reminder Monthly line breaks It will definitely go up once after six ten thousand Everyone check their positions Do not force liquidation Run when it rebounds
Risk Reminder
Monthly line breaks
It will definitely go up once after six ten thousand
Everyone check their positions
Do not force liquidation
Run when it rebounds
Can't get on 80 or 81? The main force relies on the demon Let's see how tonight's night market goes Best to come up 🙄🙄🙄
Can't get on 80 or 81?
The main force relies on the demon
Let's see how tonight's night market goes
Best to come up
🙄🙄🙄
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