🔁 What is the four-year cycle of the crypto market?
The core is summed up in one sentence:
Bitcoin halves every 4 years, which affects the bull and bear cycles of the entire crypto market.
💡 New coin supply decreases Miner selling pressure declines ⛓️ Market expectations change → Prices are likely to experience a "whole cycle of market movement"
📈 Classic four-phase rhythm
① Bear market bottoming phase ⚙️ Market is quiet, trading volume is low ⚙️ Newcomers exit, veterans quietly position ⚙️ Media attention significantly decreases
👉 Long-term positioning phase
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② Halving occurs (supply shrinks) ⚙️ Stories start to be told ⚙️ Prices do not necessarily surge immediately ⚙️ Sentiment shifts from "doubt" to "expectation" 👉 The market begins to warm up
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③ Bull market main rising phase (6 to 18 months after halving) ⚙️ BTC rises first → Funds spill over to altcoins ⚙️ Memes, AI, DeFi, GameFi take turns to surge ⚙️ FOMO begins to explode 👉 The most profitable time and also the easiest time to be greedy
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④ Bubble + Crash (End of bull market) ⚙️ Everyone thinks "this time is different" ⚙️ Newcomers enter crazily, veterans start to withdraw ⚙️ Good news is fully priced in → Crash into bear market 👉 Emotional peak, highest risk
📈 Common rhythm after halving (sense of time) ⚡️ 0 to 6 months after halving: Consolidation, washing out, doubt phase ⚡️ 6 to 18 months after halving: Main rising phase most likely to appear ⚡️ End of main rising phase: Emotional peak, many newcomers entering ⚡️ Subsequently enters: Correction + Bear market adjustment phase
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⚠️ Variables in this cycle ETF + Institutional funds + Macro liquidity Cycle may advance / delay / lengthen Will not follow the textbook, but "halving affects the trend" still holds
Do not guess the top, do not catch the knife, only follow the direction given by the market.
✅ Only go with the trend ✅ Take profits and leave ✅ Exit when liquidity is reached ❌ Do not fight, do not hold on to positions
Trading is really like a mirror, it will magnify your fears and greed.
Those who can maintain their rhythm, are not because they are very accurate, but because their discipline is strong enough and risk control is solid enough.
Today I remind myself: When the market is urgent, it's even more important to take action slowly.
Do not chase, do not rush, do not gamble on direction, treat every trade as training.
Today I brought candy to worship the Earth God ❤️ (February 3rd) Thank you for all the blessings along the way in 2025 With gratitude, I step into 2026 ✨
“A gold V account that looks very much like Binance has released an airdrop announcement...”
What will you do❓ A. Wow! The golden transmission (recognition) certificate must be real! Click immediately B. Hot knowledge: Scammers can also open a gold V account, confirm whether it is really official information before proceeding to the next step! C. Luckily, I am naturally suspicious, I haven't followed what counts as an official account? Directly report it
Leave your choice and reason in the comments, and 3 people will be drawn to receive a 30U safety red envelope #币安安全星期四
Auspicious Clouds ~Golden Horse「Binance Classic Color Scheme」✨
币安Binance华语
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👀Family, I was criticized by the boss for forgetting to change my avatar.
⬇️ I'm online waiting for kind-hearted people to help design a Binance Chinese Square avatar. You can participate by posting your design works in the comments!
Paru will offer 3 Binance peripheral rewards to three excellent ideas🙇
This episode, special thanks to the Growth Companion of the classroom, for clarifying complex issues and breaking down everyone's doubts, leading to many moments of "Oh, I see," which are truly worthwhile 👏
✨ The participation rules are very simple:
Just fill in your learning summary in the form below We will select the best 2 review sharers ❤️
Core design concept: "A strong wind reveals the tough grass, a swift horse rides the waves of wealth" 🌟A symbol of speed, power, and the surge of wealth
Binance: Original logo + Binance colors with the four characters "Binance Chinese"
Horse symbolism: Swiftness, freedom, expansion, flowing wealth, and masculinity.
币安Binance华语
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👀Family, I was criticized by the boss for forgetting to change my avatar.
⬇️ I'm online waiting for kind-hearted people to help design a Binance Chinese Square avatar. You can participate by posting your design works in the comments!
Paru will offer 3 Binance peripheral rewards to three excellent ideas🙇
Learning is not about learning a lot, but about learning the piece that is most lacking at the moment. The market teaches every day, and the price is the teacher.
Review, take away the emotions, and only look at the facts.
It's not about reflecting on wins or losses, but finding out
➡️ Where is the discipline ➡️ Where is human nature out of control
Execution power Comes from 'simple rules + no hesitation at the moment'
Daily improvement Not pursuing explosive growth all at once
As long as you increase by 1% every day, it will be 37 times in a year.
Cycle 🔄
Even if it's slow, it must go up. This is the only system that allows traders to survive and go far.