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$BTC
Market price 96000 Direct sale 96888 Direct operation 94888

【0115 Daily Report】Short-term BTC is consolidating at a high level, high OI suggests a breakout is imminent
$BTC $ETH $SOL
Today's Fear & Greed Index is 54, sentiment appears to have returned to neutral with a slight greed, but in reality it's market confusion before direction selection. On the macro front, the delay of the US Supreme Court's tariff ruling has caused some funds to hold back, while the recovery of the Sui network and positive news about WLFI are more of an internal celebration within the sector. Although Bitmine continues to stake ETH, signaling long-term confidence, the key right now is liquidity competition.

BTC:
In the early morning 15-minute chart, BTC is stuck at the awkward 96,500 level, just one step away from the 97,000–98,000 resistance zone on the 4-hour chart. Note the data: OI (open interest) remains at an extremely high level of 9.28 billion, which is definitely not a good sign, indicating massive divergence between bulls and bears, with the battle now reaching its peak. At such a high OI level, the main players love to trigger sharp spikes to wash out weak positions. Watch the 15-minute support at 95,000; if it holds and volume surges above 97,500, bulls might still dream of pushing toward 100,000; but if it breaks below 94,500, that's the moment of bait-and-kill after false bullish signals, with huge downside risk.

ETH:
ETH remains as unimpressive as ever, moving in tandem with BTC but showing weaker performance, lingering around 3,320 in the morning. The 3,380–3,400 zone is filled with technical resistance, and daily moving averages are not yet improving. Although on-chain staking data looks good, without volume support, it's all empty talk. Focus on the 3,200 level as short-term defense; only if it holds above 3,350 can bulls show signs of a comeback. For now, it's still stuck in an oscillating quagmire, slowly recovering.

Key Points for Today:
Although Sui and WLFI are attracting some attention, the overall market still depends on BTC's mood. With high OI levels for BTC and ETH, volatility could explode at any moment, making 'whipsaws' or sharp spikes to wash out leveraged positions highly likely. Stay calm, manage your position size, monitor ETF inflows, and avoid becoming a victim of liquidity.

⭐⭐The above are personal views and recaps, not trading advice.
#Strategy增持比特币 #美国非农数据低于预期 #比特币2026年价格预测 #加密市场观察

$ETH
已翻倍

$ETH

Market price 3330¥ per hundred 5 cabins Entry direct 3220 Direct bamboo shoots 3380

$CLO
market price around 0.738 direct operation 0.714 direct sale 0.753

$XMR
Market price around 562, direct operation 550/535, direct bamboo shoot 568

$B
Market price around 0.277, direct operation 0.24, direct sprout 0.29

先出$VVV

【0112 Daily Report】Bitcoin OI remains high, beware of trap setups
$BTC $ETH $SOL
Today's fear index is 41, placing the market in the 'fear' range, yet Bitcoin's price remains flat at a high level.
On the macro front, India has implemented its strictest 'live selfie' KYC yet, while rumors emerge in the U.S. about seizing Venezuelan assets—these compliance risks are washing out weak positions. Coupled with a surprisingly weak non-farm employment data of only 50k, the market now bets on the Fed pausing rate cuts in January, temporarily dampening liquidity expectations. The funding flow is interesting: there's a clear sign of capital rotating from Bitcoin to the second-layer ecosystem.
Bitcoin experienced extreme thin trading volume around 91,400 early today. The 15-minute Bollinger Bands have contracted to an extremely narrow range, indicating a breakout is imminent. The biggest concern now is the high open interest visible on the chart—a sword hanging over the market. With no macro catalysts in sight, major players have strong incentive to trigger a sharp downward move ('bear trap') to liquidate high-leverage long positions.
Intraday trading strategy:
Support at the 15-minute level is at 90,800; a break below this would target the 4-hour critical line at 90,000. Resistance stands at 92,500—until it breaks and holds, stick to a defensive stance and beware of major players 'drawing the trap' to harvest profits. The next resistance for Bitcoin lies near 93,500.
Ethereum has clearly outperformed Bitcoin this time, refusing to fall further and forming an independent trend. The hourly chart has built a solid 'triple bottom,' with a quick rebound after testing 3,080 early today. The exchange rate has bottomed and rebounded, signaling clear capital rotation.
Trading strategy:
As long as 3,050 is not broken, every pullback is a chance to bet on catch-up gains. Once volume breaks through the 3,200 resistance, bulls will surge directly, with a short-term target of 3,500.
Key focus for today:
Affected by rate cut expectations, ETF data is likely to turn net outflow again or stall. The current market is dominated by Asian capital, with clear signs of increased liquidity in the 'Chinese Meme' sector and Layer2赛道. Pay close attention to逆势上涨 stocks like HYPER, FXS, RENDER, as well as catch-up opportunities within the Ethereum ecosystem.
#Solana涨势分析 #加密市场观察 #比特币2026年价格预测 #ETH whale movements

$VVV
Market price around 3.38, direct operation 3.15, direct bamboo shoot 3.48

$BTC

Market price around 91150, direct sales 89500, direct笋91850

$pippin

Market price around 0.36 Direct operation 0.34 Direct sale 0.37

【0109 Daily Report】Pump phase, focus on support and non-farm reversal!
Today's fear index reached 41.
Affected by the initial jobless claims data, the probability of a Fed rate cut in January has dropped to 11.6%, leading to short-term liquidity tightening and a clear压制 on buyer confidence. However, I still see positive aspects: the Florida HB 1039 proposal is advancing, boosting expectations of sovereign-level buying; institutional activities are frequent as well, with Bitmine once again staking $176 million in ETH, and stablecoin trading volume hitting a record high. There is reason to believe that the fundamentals remain solid.
Regarding $BTC , early in the day, there was repeated争夺 around the 91,000 level, with the daily chart showing three consecutive down days. From the 4-hour perspective, the moving averages have crossed down, but the downward momentum is shrinking, indicating strong support in the 90,000–90,800 range. Here, open interest remains high, and long-short conflicts are intensifying, making a 'pin bar' move highly probable.
In my view, as long as 90,200 support is not broken effectively, the overall trend remains a healthy consolidation phase within an uptrend. The short-term resistance is at 92,500, and a breakout above 94,500 is needed to confirm the end of the correction.
Now let's talk about $ETH , whose trend continues weakly correlated, with price hovering near 3,115, and the Bollinger Bands opening downward. Although there is a positive signal from Bitmine's large-scale staking, the market lacks coordinated capital. The short-term support has shifted down to 3,050; if Bitcoin stabilizes, Ether may form a local double bottom between 3,080–3,100. For trading, it is recommended to wait for right-side signals and avoid blindly bottom-fishing, with resistance at 3,200 above.
Key focus today: the non-farm employment data tonight will be a crucial turning point. Strong data may further suppress rate cut expectations. Additionally, keep an eye on Tether's newly launched gold-backed stablecoin concept and movements in the RWA sector. Florida state legislation is also a potential major positive catalyst in the near term—just stay vigilant.
#ETH巨鲸动向 #比特币2026年价格预测 #比特币流动性 #加密市场观察 $SOL

$MERL

Market price 0.2435 Direct operation 0.255 Direct supply 0.238

【0108 Daily Report】Recommended Potential Breakout Assets, Macro Data Interpretation!
$BTC $ETH $SOL
The enthusiasm for the Solana ecosystem, which has been consistently emphasized recently, remains strong, especially with the SKR airdrop scheduled for January 21st. Personally, I still hold on, as the potential breakout driven by on-chain activity may still be ahead. Additionally, the RWA sector has seen new developments: Brazil has launched BRD, a stablecoin backed by government bonds with an annualized yield of 15%, marking a national-level entry. The sectors I favor typically have solid fundamentals; after setting a stop-loss, one only needs to patiently wait for the breakout.
Today, I'd like to highlight WLFI. It has applied for a national trust bank license in the U.S., planning to offer compliant stablecoin custody services, placing it in a demand zone on the news front. This represents a significant fundamental shift, offering immense upside potential and a high risk-reward ratio. There is strong reason to believe institutional funds are positioning themselves around this compliance narrative, making this a likely potential breakout asset.
Currently, I still view this as normal consolidation within a bull market. The ADP data came in unexpectedly low at only 41,000, although below expectations, it's favorable for rate cut speculation. BTC is consolidating around $91,200, with open interest remaining high—clearly indicating the main players are washing out positions. I plan to take a speculative position: the strong support zone is $90,200–$90,800 (a previous area of dense trading), and I'll look to accumulate in batches around $90,600, betting on a rebound. Bitcoin is currently at a minor support level, with the next major support around $90,200—if it drops that low, a slight rebound may occur.
Overall, open interest remains elevated, so caution is advised—never chase prices higher!
ETH's movement remains weak, but it has formed a 'triple bottom' around $3,123, with $3,100–$3,120 serving as the last line of defense for bulls. Sentiment is currently hesitant, but as long as $3,100 isn't broken, bold attempts can be made—this is precisely why I've consistently advocated for staggered accumulation.
I've already signaled in the group that this strategy has been completed, and the next phase is staggered shorting. The plan to short BTC in the $95,000–$104,000 range remains in effect. At that time, I’ll also short ETH, AVAX, SOL, FIL, XRP, and other altcoins. This price range may not be reached, but we’ll act if the opportunity arises.
Stay steady. ETF funds are currently on the sidelines, but any drop to the support zone presents an opportunity, in my view. Those who missed out need not panic—2026 is expected to be a major bull market, offering plenty of chances to enter.
#币安上线币安人生 #加密市场观察 #SOL has significant upside potential

$BTC
已止盈