After a fantastic rally of almost 700% in 30 days, $RIVER is now at the brink of anticipation. Price is approaching key resistance at 38.200–39.017, but signals are starting to show fatigue.
📊 Current conditions:
· RSI in overbought zone (65–75) · Volume has drastically decreased from the peak · Negative funding rate → many long positions are paying fees · Price is still above all EMAs (trend is still up, but has become overextended)
🎯 Key areas:
· Strong resistance: 38.200 – 39.017 · First support: 34.600 (EMA20) · Main support: 31.735 – 30.588
⚖️ Rough probabilities:
· 70% price will consolidate / correct first · 30% direct breakout and continue up
🛑 Trading conclusion: NO TRADE FOR NOW. Wait for confirmation:
· If price breaks & closes above 39.017 with high volume → can consider LONG. · If price is rejected at resistance and drops to support 31.7–34.6 → look for LONG opportunities with better risk/reward.
Don't FOMO. Current risk/reward is less attractive. Safety first — wait for the market to give clearer signals.
🔍 AXSUSDT Update: At the Peak, but the Underlying Data is Panicking!
The price of AXS is still holding at $2.00 (+19% in 1 day), but the data behind the scenes actually shows a condition that is contrary to its price increase.
📉 What is happening?
· The rally of the last month has become overextended (1D RSI >74) · Continuous negative funding rates — futures traders are paying to short · Massive selling volume by smart money detected (CVD is very negative) · Long/Short Ratio is nearly 1:1, while the price is high
🎯 This means: Bullish momentum still exists on the daily chart, but the momentum is starting to tire. Derivative data is like a ticking time bomb ready to trigger a correction if there is confirmation of a decline.
⚡ Simple strategy: ✅**Don't FOMO buy at $2.00+** ✅**Wait for confirmation if you want to short:** price fails at $2.10–2.20, then drops with large volume ✅Correction target: $1.75 (strong support) ❌**Invalidation:** price breaks & closes above $2.28 (continued breakout)
💡 In summary: The market is currently in a "high risk, low reward" zone for longs. It's better to wait for a pullback to support or confirmation of a reversal from the resistance area.
Stay safe, don’t be greedy — sometimes the best trade is no trade.
$RNDR Update | Breakdown Confirmed, But Be Careful!
The price of RENDER ($RNDR) has finally broken down from the key support at **$1.963** and touched $1.933 (-7% today).
📉 Technical Facts:
· Bearish structure is still strong · High selling volume at breakdown · Next target: $1.863 (previous low)
🚨 Warning Signs Appearing:
· Funding rate flipped POSITIVE → signal of potential short squeeze · RSI approaching oversold on larger timeframes · CVD is still negative, but selling pressure is starting to slow down
🎯 Current Strategy: ✅If already short: Hold, SL above $2.03, target $1.86 ⏸️If not yet entered: Don't FOMO short here! 🔄Wait: Pullback to $1.97–$1.98 for rejection confirmation
⚠️ The risk of a short squeeze is currently high. Patience is key.
SOL Update: Short Setup Triggered, Now Waiting Mode.
The latest analysis shows that our actions yesterday were correct: ✅Breakdown $127.50** occurred. ✅**First target ~$126.20 almost reached.
Current Conditions: ▪️Price is pausing at ~$127.8 after a sharp decline. ▪️Trend is still bearish, but selling momentum is weakening in smaller time frames. ▪️No safe buy (long) signals.
What's Next? 🏹DON'T RUSH IN! Risk/Reward at the current price is not attractive.
We are waiting for these 2 possibilities:
1️⃣ If the price rises to $129.7 - $131 and is rejected (RSI weakens) → NEW SHORT SETUP opens.
2️⃣ **If the price breaks & closes below $126.20** → Continue **SHORT** towards $122.
Conclusion: A good trade is already in progress. Be patient and wait for the next confirmation. No trading for now if there is no clear setup.
1. 68.93 → Latest low 2. 67.69 → MOST IMPORTANT (not broken yet) 3. 66.67
🎯 3 TRADING OPTIONS:
1. BUY (LONG) - HIGH RISK
· WAIT: Price touches 68.93-67.69 · CHECK: There is a big green candle + rising volume · BUY: 69.00-69.50 · STOP LOSS: 67.40 · TARGET: 71.00 → 72.00
2. SELL (SHORT) - MEDIUM RISK
· WAIT: Price rises to 70.50-70.70 · CHECK: There is a big red candle · SELL: 70.50-70.70 · STOP LOSS: 71.80 · TARGET: 69.00 → 68.00
3. WAIT - SAFEST
· Current volume is VERY LOW · Market direction is not clear · Wait for the price to reach level 67.69 OR 70.69 first
⚠️ WARNING:
· ❌ DO NOT buy now at 69.82 · ❌ DO NOT sell now at 69.82 · ✅ WAIT until the price chooses direction · 🔄 Volume is currently low (during Asia early morning)
📌 CONCLUSION:
"WAIT FOR TEST 67.69 OR 70.69 FIRST"
· If the price breaks 67.69 → prepare for SHORT · If the price bounces from 67.69 → prepare for LONG · If the price rises to 70.69 → prepare for SHORT · If the price is in the middle (69-70) → DO NOT TRADE
Reply with: 🟢 = Ready to buy at 68-69 🔴 = Ready to sell at 70-71 🟡 = Wait first, take a look first
The crypto market never fails to deliver surprises. DASH, a privacy asset that recently showcased stellar performance with a 15% surge and a global partnership announcement, suddenly reversed direction. Within hours, its chart turned red, leaving many traders wondering: what actually happened? In-depth analysis reveals a story that is more complex than just a regular correction. Behind the positive headlines about the partnership with Alchemy Pay and resilience amid market downturns, lies a technical narrative and derivative data that whisper warnings.
· Resistance: $575–$582 (selling area) · Support: $558 → $543 (main target) · Invalidation: Close above $590 (stop loss for short)
⚡ Best opportunity: SHORT in the area of $575–$582 (after pullback) or when breaking below $566. ⏳ **Timeline:** Target of $543–558 can be reached in 1–3 days if bearish continues. 📊 Rough probability: 65% down to the target, 35% rebound above $590.
💎 Conclusion: The market is still dominated by sellers. Shorting with entry confirmation is the best edge. If the price rises strongly above $590, it's better to WAIT — do not force it.
Market conditions remain tough. BTC failed to rebound and hold at critical support.
🔍 Key Points:
· Price: Still pressured in the area of $89.2k - $89.3k · Trend: All EMAs (20, 50, 200) above price = bearish structure intact · Momentum: RSI oversold (~30), MACD negative → selling pressure still exists · Volume: High when falling, low when rising → weak buying interest
🎯 Important Levels Today:
· Resistance: $90,000 (psychological) → $90,700 (bearish confirmation) · Critical Support: **$89,250** → if broken, target $88,000 - $87,600 · Invalidation: Close above $92,300 (difficult at this time)
📊 Worrisome Derivative Data:
· Funding rate still positive (0.0077%) → too many longs that haven't liquidated · Consistent negative CVD → more sell pressure · Large long liquidations yesterday → continuation possible
⚡ Probable Scenarios:
1. Base Case (70%): Small rally to $90.0k - $90.5k → rejected → retest $89.250 → breaks down 2. Bull Case (20%): Strong hold at $89.250 + reversal pattern → rally to $91.2k 3. Breakdown (10%): Directly breaks $89.250 without bounce → fast move to $88k
🛡️ Trading Plan:
· Bias: Remain bearish until close above $92.3k · Short Entry: $90.500 - $90.800 with rejection confirmation (pinbar, high volume) · Long Entry: AVOID for now. Wait for confirmed reversal at $89.250 + break $91.000 · No Trade Zone: $89.250 - $90.000 (choppy, high risk)
⏰ Timeline: Short setup likely to form within the next 24 hours if there is a rally. Breakdown can happen anytime.
📌 In Summary: The market is still in bear's grip. Don't FOMO buy at weak support. Wait for clear confirmation. Strict risk management!
PS: Derivative data (negative CVD, large long liquidations) confirms selling pressure is still strong.
Imbik Traders
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Ethereum on the Edge of a Cliff: Will $700 Million Explode Below $3,000?
Ethereum (ETH) is not just declining. It is standing at the edge of a massive liquidation cliff. The latest data reveals a silent battle between bullish and bearish “whales,” with hundreds of millions of dollars at stake—and the price of $3,000 is the trigger. Rumblings Beneath the Surface According to analysis from Lookonchain and Coinglass data, if ETH falls below $3,000, the surge in long (buy) position liquidations on centralized exchanges could reach $693 million. Conversely, if ETH manages to push above $3,200, $1.02 billion worth of threatened short (sell) positions.
TLM just pumped +19%, but the data behind the scenes is concerning:
🔻 Extreme negative Funding Rate (-1.1% to -1.2%) 🔻Selling volume is more dominant (CVD very negative) 🔻Sell/Buy Ratio = 0.83 (more people are opening sell positions) 🔻RSI has already been overbought on a small timeframe
Meaning: this rally is strongly suspected to be a temporary short squeeze, not the beginning of a new bullish trend.
STRATEGY:
🎯 Best SHORT area: 0.00268 – 0.00279 🛑Stop Loss: above 0.00279 📉Target down: 0.00207 – 0.00214
WINDOW:
· Setup can appear in the next 1–3 days. · If valid, the downward movement is expected to last 3–10 days.
Success probability for shorts in the resistance area: ±65%.
Conclusion: Don't FOMO buy now. Wait for rejection confirmation at high areas for SHORT with controlled risk/reward.
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Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trading futures involves high risk. Do your own research and manage risks well.
AIA/USDT Update (PERP) - as of January 20, Time to Be Careful!
📈 Price Action: Strong rally +57% in a short period. Price now at ~0.314. 📊 Momentum: RSI overbought (68-100), a sign of possible correction. 💰 Derivative Data:
· Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) EXTREMELY NEGATIVE (-975M). Smart money sells during the rally. · Volume drops drastically (from hundreds of millions to 2.6M), rally loses momentum. · Positive funding rate, incentive to short.
🎯 Bias: Bearish for correction/pullback. 🔎 Best Edge: Wait for confirmation of rejection at resistance to SHORT. 📍 Important Areas:
· Resistance: 0.339 & 0.398 · Support: 0.314 (current) -> 0.279 -> 0.265 · Entry Short: Rejection at 0.339 or break & close below 0.314. · Stop Loss: Just above entry. · Target: 0.279 -> 0.265 -> 0.214
⏳ Window: Signal may appear in the next 6-16 hours. 🤔 Probability: 70% chance of a downward correction, 30% chance of further upward movement (needs high volume).
Brief Conclusion: The rally looks exhausted with large sell signals behind the scenes. Don't FOMO long. Wait for a neat or safe short setup on the sidelines. No setup = NO TRADE.
Reply: ✅= Understood, will wait ❓= Need more explanation 🚀= Ready to execute setup
Imbik Traders
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DASH Crashes, Is the Positive News Just a "Trap"?
The crypto market never fails to deliver surprises. DASH, a privacy asset that recently showcased stellar performance with a 15% surge and a global partnership announcement, suddenly reversed direction. Within hours, its chart turned red, leaving many traders wondering: what actually happened? In-depth analysis reveals a story that is more complex than just a regular correction. Behind the positive headlines about the partnership with Alchemy Pay and resilience amid market downturns, lies a technical narrative and derivative data that whisper warnings.
Based on the latest data (Jan 20, 2026, ~20:30 WIB), here is the analysis and reassessment of the DASHUSDT trading setup:
📈 DASHUSDT UPDATE: BOUNCE 8% FROM SUPPORT!
Current price: 73.17 (+8.1% from low 67.69) Strong rebound occurred! Here is the latest update:
✅ WHAT HAS HAPPENED:
· Support 67.69 HOLDS & strong bounce · EMA20 (71.66) HAS BEEN BROKEN · RSI rose from 35.5 → 57.45 (oversold to bullish) · Long/Short Ratio: 2.1052 (aggressive buyers entering)
· Momentum: Short-term Bullish · Volume: Increasing (6.4M > MA5 5.4M) · Funding: Still negative (-0.137%) · CVD: Still negative (-492K) but decreasing
⚠️ WARNING:
· Rising 8%+ quickly → potential profit taking · L/S Ratio 2.1052 → too bullish (warning) · Resistance nearby (75.78 only 3.5% from here)
📌 CURRENT STRATEGY:
1️⃣ SHORT SETUP (Preferred):
· Wait for a test of 75.78-76.55 · Look for rejection pattern · Entry: 75.50-76.00 · SL: above 77.50
2️⃣ LONG SETUP (Secondary):
· Wait for a pullback to 71.66 (EMA20) · Look for a bounce with volume · Entry: 71.80-72.20 · SL: below 70.26
3️⃣ BREAKOUT PLAY:
· If it breaks 76.55 with volume · Wait for retest as support · Entry long: 76.10-76.30
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👉 DON'T FOMO! Wait for a clear setup. 🔁Retweet if you are following this movement. 📉Like if waiting to short at resistance. 📈Follow for real-time updates.
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Reply with: "🔼" if you are going long from 68-70 "🔽" if waiting to short at 76 "⏸️" if waiting for a pullback first
The crypto market never fails to deliver surprises. DASH, a privacy asset that recently showcased stellar performance with a 15% surge and a global partnership announcement, suddenly reversed direction. Within hours, its chart turned red, leaving many traders wondering: what actually happened? In-depth analysis reveals a story that is more complex than just a regular correction. Behind the positive headlines about the partnership with Alchemy Pay and resilience amid market downturns, lies a technical narrative and derivative data that whisper warnings.
Trump's Crypto Wealth Surpasses $1.4
Billion in One Year
In the year since his inauguration, President Donald Trump and his family have reportedly amassed assets worth around $1.4 billion (approximately Rp 22 trillion) from cryptocurrency-related projects. This figure accounts for nearly one-fifth of the total net worth of the Trump family, which reaches $6.8 billion. According to Bloomberg's analysis, the growth of wealth from this crypto is largely contributed by the DeFi project World Liberty Financial and the president's official meme coin. However, the overall net worth of the family did not experience a significant increase as it was offset by the decline in stock prices of Trump's social media company, Trump Media & Technology Group Corp.
CFTC Launches 'Future Proof' Initiative to Oversee Crypto and Prediction Markets
Just a month into his role as chairman of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), Michael Selig made an impact by launching the 'Future Proof' initiative. This step aims to modernize the regulators' approach to overseeing digital assets and the increasingly popular prediction markets. In his column in The Washington Post, Selig stated that the rules created decades ago for agricultural commodity futures contracts are no longer suitable for new trading products and venues, such as crypto. 'CFTC must upgrade,' he asserted, by implementing what he calls 'a minimum effective dose of regulation.'
CLOUSDT Perp | Update January 20, Technical Analysis
The market is at an interesting point:
📈 Current Conditions: •Price ~0.661, up >5% today •Low TF (15m-1H): Strong bullish, RSI 74 (overbought) •High TF (1D): Still in a long-term uptrend from low 0.152, but correcting from ATH 0.914 •Mixed EMA alignment: EMA20 > EMA50 > EMA200 in low TF, but not perfectly aligned in high TF
1. Price at local resistance (0.662-0.674) 2. RSI overbought in low TF 3. Conflict signals: momentum vs position 4. Risk/Reward not favorable for new entry
🔍 Observations: •Break & hold above 0.674 → continuation rally confirmation •Rejection with high volume → pullback opportunity •Key support: 0.633 → 0.621 → 0.590
⏳ Timeline: 12-48 hours ahead will determine the next direction
🕒 Timeline: Correction may occur within the next 24 hours - 7 days.
✅ Conclusion: Short-term bias bearish for correction, but the larger trend is still bullish. Avoid FOMO long here. Wait for a pullback to support or confirmation of rejection at resistance.
Option 1 (Direct & Concise): $AXS📈 up 25%. Strong but overbought. NEGATIVE Funding = trapped short? Wait for a correction to go long. NO TRADE here. Key: Support 1.97-2.07, Resistance 2.28. #AXSUSDT #Crypto
Option 2 (With Questions): $AXS just surged 25%. Bull trend still exists, but data shows divergence: •Funding Rate: Negative •CVD: Negative on higher time frame •Price: Overbought Correct first before continuing to rise? Patience. #Trading #AXS #AXS/USDT
Option 3 (Focus Strategy): Setup $AXS: Bullish (big trend), Bearish (short-term data). ➡️Bias: Wait for a correction to LONG. ➡️No Trade currently. ➡️Important Levels: Resistance: 2.28 Buy Zone: 1.97-2.07 Stop: <1.85 Trade the pullback, not the FOMO. #altcoins #AXS🔥🔥🔥
$BTC - Update January 20 Technical & Opportunities
Objective analysis based on current price action and on-chain/derivative data shows the following conditions:
MARKET STRUCTURE: ▫️Trend: Short to medium-term bearish (Lower Highs confirmed). ▫️Key Levels: $94K as new resistance; $88K-$85K as vital support. ▫️Momentum: Weak RSI, negative MACD on 4H/1D TF.
DERIVATIVE DATA: ▫️Negative CVD → selling pressure still exists. ▫️Low Long/Short ratio → sentiment not yet bullish. ▫️Positive but low funding rate → no leverage euphoria.
BEST OPPORTUNITIES RIGHT NOW: Waiting for a pullback to the $92.5K - $93.5K area for rejection confirmation and to execute SHORT with a target of $89K**. Invalidation if the price closes 4H above **$94K.
NOTES:
· If there is no pullback, it is better to NO TRADE. · Long not recommended until the structure changes. · Probability of this setup ~60-65%.
U.S. President Donald Trump openly vowed not to back down in his efforts to "control Greenland," even hinting at the possibility of using force. This statement triggered a strong backlash from European allies and threatens the stability of the long-standing U.S.-EU security and trade alliance. Trump also posted AI-generated images on social media claiming sovereignty over Greenland from Denmark, while criticizing several European allies, including France. This move exacerbates trade tensions, especially after Trump's threat to impose tariffs of up to 200% on French wine and champagne.