Suki_Su

Family, come and check out Suki's latest market analysis video!

On Friday evening, the non-farm data was released, and gold ended the week higher!

Looking at the overall market picture, what will be the short-term, medium-term, and long-term trends for BTC?

Suki will explain everything in one video~
#美国非农数据低于预期 #比特币2026年价格预测 #加密市场观察 #btc

【Suki行情速递】A16z重磅预测，2026风口何在？BTC拉升突破93,000，牛回速归？🚨

新年第一更！Suki这次从a16z的最新2026预测和盘面分析来给大家分享一点最近的看法！

a16z最新押注2026：AI代理、隐私链与稳定币将是核心风口。整个2026，市场将围绕合规和技术这两个关键词展开，金融资产上链会是一个终极目标。

📉 盘面拆解：
BTC： 短期RSI逼近80（超买），上方 98,000-103,000 是筹码密集的压力位。如果没有持有底部做多仓位，不要盲目追高，谨防主力在98k附近“画门”杀跌！

ETH： 悄然完成k线修复！日线完成下降通道突破，站稳布林中轨以上，理论目标直指 3,600-3,800，ETH可能成为下一阶段的领涨龙头！

💡 操作策略： 重点关注 ETH回踩上车机会（或做多ETH/BTC汇率）。长线拿住AI+隐私优质筹码，坐等2026风起！

BTC actually underperformed gold! Is 2025 a 'false bull market'? The truth hurts 💔

As the year comes to an end, Suki wants to ask, how is everyone’s account doing?

This year, gold has surged by 66%, silver has doubled, while BTC has actually yielded -6% this year! Life in the crypto world is tough...

If someone recommended buying BTC to friends and family at the beginning of the year instead of gold, silver, or even US stocks, remember to keep your distance this New Year~

The Federal Reserve has finally cut interest rates, but liquidity has been siphoned off by US stocks and safe-haven assets; we have indeed gone through a market with a very poor experience.

In the short term, the long-monitored 'ultimate bear' whale has recently closed positions worth $57 million continuously, only exiting and not entering, reducing the short positions from 130 million to 40 million directly. The bearish momentum may be showing signs of exhaustion, and the downside potential is limited.

However, do not attempt to open a one-sided trend position recently; the recent trend is still dominated by fluctuations!

🎯 Practical tips:
BTC: Currently in a 'weak recovery' phase, avoid betting on a one-sided surge! Currently fluctuating around 90,000, if bullish sentiment pushes it back to the 100,000 threshold, that will be a significant pressure point. Suki suggests trying to lay out short positions in anticipation of a correction.

SOL: The opportunity is clearer! It is just one step away from the ideal 'strike zone' (80-110 U). Once SOL falls into this range, you can gradually buy the dip, as the most discounted chips are available; spot or low-leverage long positions can be entered, and rebound targets could see 160 U.

In summary, admitting that 2025 is a 'false bull market' isn’t shameful; the important thing is to still be alive.

Keep your hands steady and wait for the opportunity to swing, hoping everyone can enjoy a bountiful 2026!

PS: Thanks to the new member of my family for appearing in the video with me today~

【Suki行情速递】BTC pessimistic scenario comes true, SOL shows a death top, should we buy the dip or escape now?🚨

Last night the bulls were heartbroken, Bitcoin plunged from 100,000 to 85,000. Don't panic! This is exactly the “pessimistic scenario” we warned about in our last video. The market has chosen Hard mode, but there are opportunities in danger.

As @CZ said: I believe the current penetration rate of cryptocurrency is still only in the single digits percentage — depending on whether we calculate by the number of people or total wealth. If calculated by the current total wealth, the penetration rate may be less than 1%. I believe there are several orders of magnitude for growth in the scale of cryptocurrency.

📉 Key points on the market:
BTC: Breaks below the 0.382 key support, MACD has a death cross. Do not blindly buy the dip at 85k halfway! There is a probability that the main force will need to fill the gap below 73,000, it is recommended to patiently wait for the price reaction in the range of 75,000-80,000.

SOL: Alarm sounded! The daily line shows a textbook-level "head and shoulders" pattern, the neck support (120-130) has been broken. If it cannot quickly recover, the target for decline may point directly to 80 dollars, absolutely do not catch the falling knife!

🌍 Macro dawn:
Although the candlestick is ugly, the fundamentals bring major good news: The European Central Bank's digital euro is scheduled for 2026, and Trump has appointed crypto-friendly CFTC executives. This crash may be the last deep squat for institutions to clear leverage before a compliant bull market.

💡 Operational strategy: Acknowledge the trend, avoid SOL pattern sell-offs, cash is king. Living long is more important than making money fast; what we are doing is waiting for an opportunity, not blindly consuming our capital by constantly opening positions!

When you don't understand the market, admitting your lack of understanding and learning to wait is the greatest courage!

After the interest rate cut, is the big cake still 'drawing the door'? Don't panic, that mysterious giant whale who once accurately escaped the peak has already made it clear!

Major signal: 1011 insider giant whale goes long!
According to on-chain monitoring, the '1011 giant whale' that made the market tremble and once accurately escaped the peak has made a new move! Not only has he cleared his short positions but has also aggressively gone long, with total holdings soaring to $555 million!

What is he buying? The data doesn't lie:
This giant whale is betting real money on the rebound of ETH!
ETH long position: approximately $453 million, entry average price around $3179, currently showing a profit of nearly $8 million!
BTC holdings: only over $80 million.
SOL holdings: only over $10 million.

In the eyes of top 'smart money', Ethereum's current cost-performance ratio has completely outperformed the big cake!

Why abandon the big cake? Market analysis:
BTC still carries risks: Although the daily line is in an upward channel, the RSI has not entered the overbought zone, and there is a significant divergence between long and short. If it does not break out strongly, it is very likely to pull back near 73,000 to fill the previous price vacuum area. Chasing the big cake now has a very poor risk-reward ratio!

Exchange rate reversal signal: The BTC to ETH exchange rate chart has confirmed a break below the upward channel. The bloodsucking effect of the big cake is weakening, and funds are beginning to overflow!

ETH technical breakthrough: The Ethereum daily line has stabilized above the key resistance level of 0.382, and the trend is clearly stronger than the big cake.

Copy trading strategy (recommended to save):
1. Do not stubbornly fight for high BTC, be wary of the risk of filling gaps.
2. Wait for BTC to stabilize and break through, go long on ETH. That will be the best time to get on the trend.
3. Profit-taking target: Keep an eye on the $3850 line! This is the strong resistance level at 0.618, and when it reaches here, be sure to take profits in batches and secure your gains.

Emergency warning after a 10% windfall!

(Still a bit hoarse after the flu, please don't mind)

Last night, whales collectively turned and crazily went long on ETH.
Bitcoin's volume and price are diverging, and the main force is quietly distributing.
Smart money has already acted:
Keep a close eye on ETH, SOL, BNB.
Avoid chasing BTC near 98,000.
Be aware of fluctuations around the SEC meeting on December 15.

Funds are flowing out of BTC, is the altcoin season coming?

Is BTC Confirming a Bear Market? Don't Panic, This Bear Market is 'Atypical'!

Many people are asking if the bull market is still on. From the candlestick structure, it has already deteriorated, but while BTC's price is falling, its market share has surprisingly broken below the long-term upward channel! This means that funds are not simply flowing back into Bitcoin for safety, but are seeking high-quality assets with real value creation capabilities.

Macro News and Data:
National Team Enters: The Central Bank of Kazakhstan is ready to use foreign exchange reserves to buy the dip.
Positive News from Japan: Tax reform (20% separate taxation) is expected to be realized, which will release huge liquidity.
Winners Take All: Nansen data shows that the top 6 public chains (such as SOL, TRX) have revenues 16 times that of the other 16. The bubble is bursting, but the framework is stronger!

Suki's Operational Suggestions:
Currently, BTC is in a downtrend channel, do not trade against the trend, as the previous rebounds have all ended in failure.
Spot Traders: Hold your hands! Patiently wait for the test of the lower edge of the channel.
Contract Traders: Short on rebounds. Pay attention to the resistance area of 90,000-92,000, and follow the trend.

A saying I learned recently, sharing with everyone - the market is about transferring money from the active to the patient.

This major reshuffle is not about speed, but about who can last longer!

BTC has indeed broken below 90,000 as expected. Is it time to buy the dip now?

Market Analysis: Key Points
1. Trend and Indicators: Bitcoin is currently under pressure from various EMA lines, and a bullish crossover has not occurred, indicating that it is still not the time for large-scale buying. However, aggressive traders may consider pyramid-style positioning around 90,000.

2. Fibonacci Confirmation: 115,000 (0.786) has been confirmed as an important resistance level. The price has perfectly broken below and confirmed with a retest, with the first take-profit level of 94,000 already achieved.

3. Future Targets: The next important target is 86,000, which has a high probability of being reached; the final target of 74,000 is difficult to achieve in the short term unless a significant black swan event occurs.

Trading Strategy: Short Position Take-Profit and Bounce Layout
1. Short Position Suggestions: For short positions opened above 100,000, it is recommended to take profit at around 90,000 for 30-40%; conservative traders may continue to look at 86,000, while aggressive traders can leave half to aim for the final profit of 74,000.

2. Short-term Bounce Opportunities: As the price declines, the resistance increases, and the probability of a rapid bounce increases, small intraday bounce trades may be considered.

3. Long-term Holding Advantages: Entering the market through bounce trades is a stable choice. Once the trend reverses, the better price position of these contracts allows you to hold longer and more easily capture significant one-sided market gains.

Why did the big positive news trigger a crash? Is the SEC's "regulatory easing" actually the perfect smokescreen for the big players to offload? A deep dive into the truth behind the panic, revealing the next target level.

Recently, I have been seriously studying trading, and while practicing what I have learned, I thought, why not turn it into a video to share with everyone? If there are mistakes, please feel free to point them out. It would be even better if everyone can gain something from it!

The video analyzes the market from two perspectives: news and candlestick charts! On the news side, there are two positive developments recently:
1. The SEC may ease regulations by classifying tokens to reduce the regulation of non-security tokens.
2. Visa announced the expansion of its stablecoin pilot, allowing marketplace creators to use USDC for payments.

But! The market doesn't buy it, and BTC's price has fallen below the 100,000 threshold.

Through the analysis of candlestick charts, it can also be observed that BTC has formed an M-top pattern, and it may drop to 90,000 or even over 80,000! If anyone wants to plan for a rebound trade, you can refer to the several points I mentioned in my video!