毛不易啊

Every day is serious nonsense🤬

No structure to look at

No indicators to look at

Only looking at my own mood

The dentist will have retribution

Small table of India-Pakistan conflict

[Aerospace Rainbow] supplies Pakistan with drones
[AVIC Chengfei] supplies Pakistan with fighter jets
[Thunder Micro Force] supplies Pakistan with PL-15
[Aerospace Nanhu] supplies Pakistan with air defense radars
[Guangdong Hongda] supplies Pakistan with HD1 missiles
[Inner Mongolia First Machine] supplies Pakistan with armored tanks
[Shengnan Technology] supplies Pakistan with aviation reducers
[Tianhai Defense] supplies Pakistan with warships
[Dongtu Technology] The company's independent operating system has been applied to Pakistan's military drones
[Shanghai Stock Index] supplies India and Pakistan with funds

$ETH Liquidation Analysis (Current price approximately $1827):

📉 Bullish liquidity clusters below: Significant trading volume around $1815-20, $1800, and near $1790. The main liquidity pool is concentrated around $1780.

📈 Bearish liquidity area above: Dense areas are located above $1835, $1850, and $1870, extending higher.

⚖️ Key Insight: There is a significant amount of liquidity both above and below the current price, creating potential price magnets🧲
🧭 Trader Takeaway: Increased volatility is expected near these clusters. This helps identify potential support/resistance levels, manage risk (be cautious of stop-loss hunting near clusters), and set profit targets.

#Berkshire Hathaway 2025 Shareholder Meeting: Investment Wisdom and Future Outlook#
At the 2025 Berkshire Hathaway shareholder meeting, Warren Buffett shared his profound insights on the market, economy, and investment strategies, providing valuable guidance for investors:
✦ Confidence: U.S. Market
Buffett reaffirmed his strong confidence in the U.S. market, stating that he will continue to invest in the U.S. in the future, believing that its strong economic foundation and innovative capabilities will continue to create value for investors.
✦ Caution and Patience: Opportunities in the Next Five Years
The current market environment is relatively cautious, but Buffett expects better investment opportunities in the next five years. He emphasized that investing requires patience, as opportunities will always arise when one is well-prepared!
✦ Long-Term Holding: Japanese Market
Berkshire will continue to hold the five major trading companies in Japan, with plans extending for fifty to sixty years. Even in the face of potential interest rate hikes in Japan, Buffett's confidence in the Japanese market remains unwavering.
✦ Strategic Layout: Renewable Energy and Electricity
Buffett stated that the rapid growth of electricity demand provides vast opportunities for investment. Berkshire plans to collaborate with various states to actively promote renewable energy projects and seize this historic opportunity.
✦ Market Volatility: Stay Calm
Although there has been recent volatility in the stock market, Buffett believes this is not a bear market, reminding investors to stay calm amidst short-term fluctuations and focus on long-term value.
✦ Technological Future: Conservative Attitude Towards Autonomous Driving
Regarding autonomous driving technology, Buffett has shown a relatively conservative attitude, choosing to observe and wait for its more mature development stage.
Buffett's sharing once again confirms his long-termism and value investment philosophy: whether it is market volatility, economic conditions, or technological changes, investors should maintain clear thinking and adhere to the long-term holding strategy of quality companies.

#Crypto Market Interpretation#
The current market situation of Ethereum (ETH) is indeed quite volatile. The recent phenomenon of “daily turtle egg harvesting, after harvesting the top, harvesting the bottom” reflects, to some extent, the short-term volatility and emotionality of the market. Below is an interpretation of the current market situation and response suggestions:
1. Main Reasons for Market Volatility
Operations of Whales: Recently, it has been observed that a whale address that received ETH from an ICO in 2015 has been depositing ETH to exchanges, while still holding a large amount of ETH. The actions of such addresses may trigger market concerns about large-scale sell-offs, thus affecting price trends. Market Sentiment Fluctuations: In the short term, market sentiment can be easily swayed by the operations of individual addresses, especially when the actions of these addresses are interpreted as potential selling pressure, which may trigger panic among other investors. Macroeconomic and Technological Developments: The price fluctuations of ETH are also influenced by the macroeconomic environment and technological developments, such as interest rate policies and regulatory dynamics.
2. Interpretation of the Market
Short-term volatility is normal: The crypto market has always been accompanied by volatility, especially for highly liquid assets like ETH, where price fluctuations are the norm. Long-term trends are more valuable for reference: Although short-term price volatility may cause anxiety, the long-term trend of ETH is more dependent on its technological developments (such as Vitalik's long-term roadmap), the growth of its ecosystem, and the macroeconomic environment of the market.
3. Investor Response Strategies
Stay calm: Market volatility is the norm, and investors should avoid being influenced by short-term emotions, especially to avoid blindly following the crowd to sell. Focus on long-term value: The long-term potential of ETH lies in the development of its ecosystem, such as Ethereum's Layer 2 expansion and protocol improvements. Investors should pay more attention to these fundamental factors rather than short-term price fluctuations. Diversify investments: If you are concerned about market volatility, consider diversifying investments to reduce risk exposure to a single asset. Effective risk management: Set reasonable stop-loss points to avoid suffering excessive losses during extreme market fluctuations.
4. Potential Impact of Whale Behavior
Short-term selling pressure may intensify: If this whale address chooses to sell off a large amount, it may exert certain pressure on market prices, especially in cases of weak market liquidity. Long-term impact is limited:

#Crypto Market Dynamics# Recently, it has been observed that a whale address from a 2015 ICO, which received 76,000 ETH, has deposited 2,500 ETH to the exchange Kraken in the past 14 hours, valued at approximately 4.59 million USD, with a cost price as low as 0.31 USD. This address also holds 13,500 ETH, which may soon be sold off, raising market concerns.
Market Impact Analysis:
Short-term Price Pressure: If this address chooses to sell off a large amount, it may create significant downward pressure on ETH prices, especially in a market with weak liquidity. Market Sentiment Fluctuation: The behavior of whale addresses is often seen as a market signal and may trigger panic among other investors, further exacerbating the selling pressure. Limited Long-term Impact: Although short-term volatility may be triggered, the long-term trend of ETH still depends on technological developments, market adoption, and the macroeconomic environment.
Investor Recommendations:
Monitor Market Dynamics: Closely track the follow-up movements of this address and the market response to assess whether it may trigger a chain reaction. Risk Management: Consider setting stop-loss points to avoid excessive losses during extreme volatility. Long-term Perspective: The long-term value of ETH lies in the development of its ecosystem, and short-term selling pressure may present buying opportunities.

#Buffett 2025 Shareholder Meeting: Investment Wisdom and Market Insights#
At the 2025 Buffett Shareholder Meeting, Warren Buffett discussed several key topics regarding the market, economy, and investment strategies, providing investors with valuable wisdom and insights:
Leadership Changes:
Buffett announced that he will step down as CEO of Berkshire at the end of the year, with Greg Abel taking over, marking the beginning of a new era for the company. Although Buffett will continue to provide guidance, the company's core values and long-term strategies will not change.
Cash Reserves and Investment Opportunities:
Berkshire's cash reserves have reached $347.7 billion, and Buffett stated that he will patiently wait for genuine investment opportunities, hinting that there may be a “time to act” in the next five years. Good opportunities are rare, but definitely worth waiting for.
Long-Term Investment in the Japanese Market:
Buffett reaffirmed his long-term confidence in the Japanese market, planning to hold investments in the five major trading companies for 50 years or longer, demonstrating his trust in Japanese companies and optimism about the Asian market.
U.S. Economy and Fiscal Policy:
Buffett expressed concern about U.S. fiscal policy but remains optimistic about its long-term prospects. He pointed out that, in the context of globalization, fiscal policy issues are not unique to the U.S., and investors need to focus on the fundamentals of companies.
Market Volatility and Investment Mindset:
Buffett reminded investors that short-term market volatility is normal, and recent adjustments are negligible compared to historical crashes. He advised investors to adapt to market changes and focus on the long-term value of companies rather than short-term emotions.
AI and the Reinsurance Industry:
Buffett stated that he would not make concentrated investments around AI, but would rather lean towards the reinsurance industry, emphasizing the long-term competitive advantages of traditional industries.
Balancing Patience and Action:
Buffett emphasized the need to find a balance between patiently waiting and taking swift action in investments. When opportunities arise, one should not hesitate.
Advice for Young Investors:
Buffett reminded young investors that associating with outstanding individuals can have a profound impact on personal growth and decision-making abilities.
Buffett's sharing reaffirmed his long-termism and value investing philosophy. Whether it be market volatility, changes in leadership, or opportunities in globalization, investors should maintain clear thinking and adhere to a long-term holding strategy of quality companies.

What is a high-probability entry model?
A high-probability entry model refers to a strategy that can capture favorable trading opportunities with a high probability under specific market conditions. These strategies are usually based on the following points:
Market statistical characteristics: Validated by historical data, certain patterns or signals have a high win rate under specific market conditions. Risk control: While meeting entry conditions, clear rules for risk management are established (such as stop-loss, take-profit). Clear logic: The logic of the strategy needs to be simple and clear, avoiding excessive complexity.

🚨 Buffett Announces Resignation as CEO: The Future and Investment Strategy of Berkshire 🚨
In 2025, Buffett has been at the helm of Berkshire Hathaway for 60 years. He recently announced at the shareholders' meeting that he will officially resign as CEO by the end of the year. This news has attracted widespread attention in the investment community. Here are the key points and analysis from this investment 'Spring Festival':
1. Buffett Resigns as CEO, Who is His Successor?
Greg Abel to Succeed as CEO: Buffett made it clear that his successor will be Greg Abel, a director at Berkshire. Abel is currently responsible for the company's operations, and Buffett described him as 'the most suitable candidate.' Buffett will still participate in decision-making: Despite stepping down as CEO, Buffett will remain with the company to provide assistance, but the final decision-making power will be in Abel's hands.
2. Berkshire's Financial Condition: Cash Reserves Continue to Increase
Cash Reserves Rise to $347.7 Billion: As of the end of the first quarter of 2025, Berkshire's total cash, cash equivalents, and short-term government bonds reached $347.7 billion, an increase from $334.2 billion at the end of last year. Operating Profit Decline: The operating profit for the first quarter was $9.641 billion, a significant decrease from $11.222 billion in the same period last year.
3. Buffett's Investment Strategy: Patiently Waiting for Opportunities
No Intent to Sell Stocks: Buffett made it clear that he has no intention of selling any of Berkshire's stocks, demonstrating his confidence in the company's future development. Long-Termism: Buffett reiterated that his investment philosophy has not changed, and he continues to adhere to long-termism, focusing on the fundamentals of companies and long-term value.
4. Summary of Key Points
1️⃣ Leadership Change: Buffett's resignation marks the beginning of a new era for Berkshire, but he will still provide guidance on the company's development.
2️⃣ Accumulation of Cash Reserves: Berkshire holds $347.7 billion in cash reserves, indicating the company's confidence and patience in future investments.
3️⃣ Long-Term Investment Strategy: Buffett's investment philosophy remains unchanged, still insisting that 'time is the friend of good companies,' focusing on the long-term value of enterprises.

🚨 Buffett: No Need to Panic About Market Declines, Long-Termism is Key 🚨
Buffett shared his views at the shareholder meeting, emphasizing that market fluctuations are merely short-term phenomena, and true investors should focus on the long-term value of companies. Here are his three core points:
1️⃣ No Tricks with Financial Reports: Berkshire will not adjust its strategies to embellish performance; it has cash reserves exceeding $347 billion, patiently waiting for real investment opportunities.
2️⃣ Dollar Risk Warning: The U.S. fiscal deficit model is unsustainable, and the risk of currency depreciation is increasing, but many countries around the world face similar issues.
3️⃣ Long-Termism Will Prevail: Buffett reiterated that "time is a friend of good companies," advising investors to heavily invest in companies with a strong competitive edge (such as Apple and Coca-Cola) rather than chasing short-term fluctuations.
"When others are fearful, I am calculating the value of companies." Buffett demonstrates through action that a decline is not a crisis, but a litmus test for the investment system.

🚨 Love Action 🚨
Recently, one of my A8 brothers had a liquidation in contract trading and lost all his funds. This made me reflect deeply and decide to do something for this industry, rather than just pursue profit. When things are done well, money will naturally come.
As a secondary market trader, I am well aware of the pain of contract trading. The market is cruel, but we have love! In the coming month, I will send out 300 dollars directly to one brother who has experienced liquidation through the Binance chat group by sharing red envelopes for the "best luck".
👉 I invite everyone to participate:
Share your best and worst experiences since you entered the circle in the comment area, the more vivid the story, the better! I will select some particularly resonant friends from it and fund 5000 dollars to play contracts.
I hope everyone can persevere in this journey, and I will always be by your side!

🚨 Federal Reserve May Rate Decision and BTC Market Outlook 🚨
📊 Rate Decision:
The Federal Reserve maintained the interest rate at 4.25%-4.50%, with core PCE inflation data exceeding expectations at 2.8%. Market expectations for a rate cut in June have surged to 64%, with the first rate cut potentially delayed until July.
📈 BTC Short-term Risks and Mid-term Opportunities:
Short-term: BTC briefly targeted breaking $100,000, but overbought signals have emerged, increasing the risk of a pullback in the $93,000-$95,000 range, necessitating attention to whether institutional funds will continue to surge. Mid-term: If the rate cut is realized in July, BTC is expected to challenge $120,000, with year-end targets potentially rising to $150,000-$200,000 (based on historical cyclical patterns).
👉 Institutional Trends:
ETF holdings have surged, indicating continued institutional interest in the BTC market. MicroStrategy is increasing its holdings against the trend, but caution is needed regarding the market trap of 'buying the expectation and selling the news.'

🚨 BTC Price and Capital Inflow Analysis 🚨
📈 Capital Inflow and Price Trend:
Healthy Increase: Price rises accompanied by continuous capital inflow (Figure 1 Area A), indicating that funds are driving prices steadily upwards. Divergence Warning: Price increases but capital inflow slows down (Figure 1 Area B), with sentiment inertia supporting prices, making it difficult to sustain.
📊 Current Capital Inflow Situation:
Peak on April 29: The 7-day net inflow reached $10.8 billion, close to the peak of $12.8 billion in June 2024. Data on May 2: The 7-day net inflow dropped to $6.9 billion, indicating a weakening of capital sustainment.
👉 Future Outlook:
If capital continues to flow in, BTC may challenge the previous high of $73,000. If funds diminish, prices may correct, so it's important to remain calm and rational.
‼️ Reminder: Sharing is for learning and communication purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice.

🚨 $BMT Trading Strategy Update 🚨
📈 Strategy Review:
Daily Double Bottom Expectation: Initially bought $BMT based on the daily double bottom pattern. Minor Adjustment: Price broke below the minor trend line, sold about 60% of the position during the rebound in a weak market to lock in some profits.
📊 Current Market Observation:
Short-term Trend: The short-term trend appears somewhat strange, but the daily structure still meets expectations. Support Level Focus: If a major correction does not break key support, will consider re-entering, expecting a complete daily double bottom structure (target could challenge previous highs). Trend Line Reference: Although the short-term trend is not elegant enough, the trend line still supports a bullish direction.

Public Strategy Coming

1718 Ambush Long Position Stop Loss 1645. Target TBD

eth 1718 long stop loss 1645 target TBD

$BTC liquidity map shows market hotspots
🔥
! Dense long positions are concentrated at 95.7k-96k, while a large number of short positions are concentrated at 96.5k-97k, right near the current price (around 96.2k). These areas act as magnets for the price
🧲
. It is expected that there will be fluctuations when the price is tested. Use these areas to set stop losses (external) and potential targets (internal/external). Trade wisely!

Will $ETH reach the level of $3.2k by the end of the year? 🧐

TRON is quietly changing the payment landscape of the world

More and more people are using USDT, especially in regions where the economy is unstable and the banking system is unreliable. Behind these trading networks lies TRON.

Many people still associate blockchain with "speculation" and "scalping," but TRON is bringing cryptocurrency into real life in a very low-key yet powerful way.

On the world map of "TRON merchant usage heat map," different regions light up in different colors based on merchant acceptance. From Latin America to Southeast Asia, from street vendors to cross-border remittances, the use of TRON is quietly spreading.

It’s not just a slogan, it’s not hype; people are using it. Why? Simply because it really works well.

In countries like Venezuela and Argentina, where currency devaluation is severe, people are afraid to deposit money in banks, as the local currency fluctuates daily. USDT has become their "hard currency," and TRON's network, which is fast, cheap, and stable, has become their preferred tool for transactions and savings.

TRON is not just a technology; for many, it is a lifeline in reality. Cross-border workers rely on it to send money back home, small vendors use it for payments, and young people use it to preserve their assets. These are real stories happening, not empty words from a white paper.

Southeast Asia, especially the OTC market in China, has long considered TRON as infrastructure. Low transaction fees, fast deposits, and no errors. You may not have noticed, but it has already become the default channel for many people's digital lives.

Some people always ask: "What is the practical use of cryptocurrency in real life?" Next time someone asks this question, you can show them this world map to see who is using it, where, and why.

TRON did not rise to prominence through hype; it has slowly built a network through one real transaction after another, one person at a time, trusting it.

Making finance freer, fairer, and more accessible to everyone.

🚨 5.3 Public Contract Strategy Performance and Today's Opportunities 🚨
📈 Yesterday's Strategy Review:
BTC Short Strategy: Yesterday's BTC short position was liquidated at the 97500 level, successfully achieving a profit of 1500 points. The success of this strategy highlights the importance of accurate market trend judgment and execution.
Strategy Highlights: The short position was triggered at the highest point, avoiding potential risks from market fluctuations, demonstrating the strategy's efficiency and precision.
👉 Today's Strategy Opportunities:
5.3 Public Contract Strategy: A new strategy will be launched today, combining market trends and technical analysis to provide investors with higher profit opportunities. Welfare Strategy Claim: Follow us now to receive today's welfare strategy and seize market opportunities ahead of others.

Focus on the right ones, the market is mixed; I hope every fan can achieve substantial profits.