K线人生飞哥

A self-introduction for my followers

Hello everyone, I am Fei Ge. I entered the crypto space in 2017, and I can be considered an old hand. Along the way, I have stepped into countless pitfalls, but I have also summarized some of my own methodologies. From blindly following trends at the beginning, I have gradually shifted my focus to studying cycles, macro trends, and capital logic, and I have slowly found my own rhythm.

As I journeyed, I found that the crypto world is not just about ups and downs; it is more like a cyclical game: some people FOMO during the highs, while others quietly position themselves during the lows.

Currently, I am a blogger on Binance Square, sharing some of my personal thoughts and observations. I am not a great expert, just an old hand who has experienced several bull and bear markets. I hope to share the pitfalls I have encountered and the lessons I have learned, so that newcomers can avoid unnecessary detours, and I can also gain new insights through exchange.

If you also believe in cycles, logic, and long-term accumulation, then perhaps we can become companions here.

Regarding the viewpoints in my posts, please note the following points:

1: The crypto market is constantly changing, and so will my viewpoints follow the market. This industry changes too quickly; only by continuously keeping up with the industry's progress can one continue to grow. Sticking rigidly to established norms will only lead to being eliminated by the times, so I hope everyone can be more open-minded.

2: The viewpoints I post on the Square are divided into short-term and long-term. For example, even if I am bullish in the long term, there will be pullbacks in between; similarly, even if I am bearish in the long term, there will also be rebounds in between. Please do not let short-term viewpoints affect long-term perspectives. An upward market does not mean it will rise continuously without looking back; more often, it is a trend of ups and downs. Similarly, a downward market does not mean it will crash without any rebounds; more often, it is a trend of falls and rises overall. I hope everyone can understand the differences between short-term and long-term viewpoints.

3: In this market, apart from BTC, which can be followed blindly, other coins have market cycles, especially altcoins. Before buying a coin, you should at least investigate it; some things need to be understood a bit, and you cannot just buy whatever others say. Especially for those with limited funds, you need to consider the actual situation and be more cautious.

Thank you to every friend who follows and supports me; you are the motivation for my continued sharing. May we all reap our own rewards in the cycles. 🌱

Early in the morning, the entire line collapsed, thanks to Trump. 😅

Trump suddenly issued an ultimatum to 8 European allies over the weekend, threatening to impose a 25% tariff if they do not support his acquisition of Greenland. This move has triggered extreme concerns in the market about the disintegration of NATO and the collapse of the global trade order.

Additionally, the expected candidate for the next Federal Reserve Chair, Hassett, who is currently an economic advisor, indicated that Trump might ask her to stay in her current position, making the selection of the next Federal Reserve Chair uncertain, and causing bullish confidence to waver.

I have noticed that every time there is a crash, there is a shadow of Trump. If Trump starts another round of tariff wars like he did in April last year, there will be cheap chips available, of course, I'm referring to $BTC .

Everyone in the square is just talking, but I am the only one who actually went long on this garbage $LTC . I tread carefully with this order; do you think I can make it to the other side??

Apple Inc. is considering purchasing $ETH for reserves
Although this news has not been confirmed, currently $BTC and ETH, ETF have already been approved, and Wall Street capital giants BlackRock and Fidelity have already entered the scene. The US stock market has also seen companies like MicroStrategy that specialize in hoarding coins. However, with the current scale of $BTC , these funds are somewhat difficult to mobilize, so the next major good news in the cryptocurrency circle should be that world technology giants start buying BTC or ETH. For example, once technology giants like Apple, Google, NVIDIA, and Amazon enter the cryptocurrency market, it's not a problem for BTC to rise to $1 million.

Just a reminder, the US dollar index DXY has stabilized after a year of decline and shows signs of rebound. If the dollar index rises, it would be negative for assets such as US stocks, Bitcoin, gold, and A-shares.

Currently, gold, A-shares, and Japanese stocks are showing potential short-term top structures. It is expected that within the next 1-2 months, the market may undergo significant adjustments after fluctuations at the top.

The triggering factors may be inflation data, and the PCE data on January 22 and the CPI data on February 11 may trigger a violent rebound in the dollar index.

A rebound in US inflation and the Federal Reserve breaking the market's interest rate cut expectations will directly push up the dollar and kill valuations.

I feel that at my age, I have come to realize that there are many consumer traps for young people.

For example, women are encouraged to spend on luxury goods and cosmetic procedures, while men are pressured into spending on marriage and having children. This leads everyone to prematurely withdraw 30 years from their lifespan.
From a financial perspective, it is essential for every young person to escape these consumer traps and save 1,000,000 in cash (it must be cash) before the age of 30; exceeding 1,000,000 means escaping the "slaughter line." Learning to invest in high-performing dividend stocks, understanding DeFi with Bitcoin, and purchasing some bonds can allow one to live comfortably without working for the rest of their life. Alternatively, one could pursue a favorite hobby as a profession.

However, during the accumulation of this 1,000,000, there will be countless traps waiting to interrupt this process. Of course, capitalism does not favor every individual accumulating to this extent, and repeatedly sets "slaughter lines" here, otherwise, who will do the work?

The market has slightly rebounded, $TRUMP is eagerly offloading, TRUMP coin is basically finished this round and there won't be a significant surge.
The real opportunity lies in the next bull market.
Because most tokens have not been unlocked yet.
Combined with the upcoming bear market, price declines, and token unlocks, the scenario is too beautiful to imagine.
Another similar coin is $WLD .
Trump and WLD are definitely two big piles of waste right now.

It's the weekend, and the groups and people in the cryptocurrency circle have all died.
I have several cryptocurrency groups with 500 members that have already lost 90%.

Since Wall Street entered the market, $BTC has become a dog of the US stock market. On weekends when the US stock market is closed, BTC fluctuates without even reaching $500 in a day. Even if you use 125X contract leverage, you can't play because there is no volatility, so the profit effect will become less and less. Many people previously said that institutions have entered the market and there is no bear market anymore. I have always emphasized to everyone that institutions come to make money from retail investors, not to help retail investors make money.

BSC has started trading digital assets again, the on-chain meme coin surged over 430 times in a short period, and if He Yi's 1 has increased, then CZ's $4 should also go up, that's how BSC is looking for angles now 😅

Currently, the BSC chain and SOL chain are in full swing. BSC has just started up the Chinese meme coin, and the SOL chain has produced a batch of hundred-fold golden dogs. In the short term, this directly benefits the two main chains, BNB and SOL, as well as their corresponding ecosystem coins. For example, BSC chain's $FORM and CAKE, SOL chain's $PUMP and $RAY . Additionally, I think the ETH chain will soon join the battle, benefiting UNI. Also, is there a meme coin launch platform on the Ethereum chain? If so, which coin is it?

The main lineup of BTC in the short term
Coinbase whales dominate $BTC transactions
Binance whales are watching from the sidelines
Generally speaking, Coinbase whales are bullish
Binance whales are bearish; during this rebound, Binance sold a lot of BTC and $SOL

Short-term major benefits for ETH

Recently, the daily transaction count and active address count for Ethereum L1 have repeatedly broken new highs. However, the Ethereum Gas price has dropped to $0.03, and this significant drop in Gas fees is crucial. Previously, high Gas fees kept many small projects out; now that the threshold is gone, the funds and users for altcoins are coming back.

The only relatively negative aspect is the L2 tracks like OP, ARB, ZK, and STRK. The L2 tracks were initially designed to solve the issues of on-chain congestion and high Gas fees for $ETH . Now, with Ethereum's direct technical upgrades, speed improvements, and reduced gas fees, if this continues, there may no longer be a need for L2.

Additionally, the BSC chain and SOL chain are currently in fierce competition. Is there a possibility that ETH could make a comeback, catching BSC and SOL off guard? The truly enormous wealth effect memes were born on the Ethereum chain, like those of the 2021 bull market $SHIB and this round's bull market $PEPE , both of which are meme coins worth over 10 billion. The combined meme coins of the SOL chain and BSC chain don't even compare, so I plan to focus on the ETH chain in the short term, as a significant opportunity may arise.

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I looked at the recent chip structure of $FIL
Retail investors are basically selling, and their holding ratio is getting smaller
The whales absorbed the selling volume of retail investors and still control the market, with chips becoming more concentrated.

Then I looked at Grayscale's operations; this coin has also trapped Grayscale. I remember Grayscale's initial cost was 90. Over the past few years, they have been continuously lowering the average price through additional purchases, and the current average price should be around 15. This means that Grayscale's current holding of FIL is still losing 90%. However, looking at the past 30 days, Grayscale has only increased its positions in $BTC and FIL, while selling off other coins. The only projects currently visible in the storage sector are FIL and $AR , and storage is a key focus for AI's future development. Stocks in the outer market related to storage have skyrocketed, and I am watching for when a wind will blow into the crypto circle.

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Binance's top traders are rapidly increasing their long positions of $LTC . During this time, Litecoin has been heavily impacted by FDU, and hackers have directly dumped LTC on the market. Basically, all retail investors are bearish and shorting, so this time I will try to be the counterparty to retail investors and follow Binance's top traders to go long, hoping I won't get wrecked.

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Talk about the rising logic of gold $XAU and silver $XAG .

The main logic for the rise of gold is the continuous expansion of global central bank debt. In just 7 days since the beginning of 2026, global central banks have issued more than 200 billion US dollars in bonds.

Now the US debt ceiling has been raised to 410,000 dollars, and the current scale of US national debt is 380,000 dollars, leaving a lot of room for expansion.

However, according to US Treasury Secretary Basant's statement, the major issuances in the future may be long-term national bonds. Once the US adjusts its bond issuance structure, the speed of national debt expansion will slow down. Of course, this may have to wait until the Federal Reserve lowers interest rates, which will attract incremental funds to long-term national bonds.

So after the US Treasury adjusts its bond issuance structure, even if gold and silver continue to rise, it should not be as crazy as it is now. Recently, the speed of gold's rise has already slowed down, but silver is very crazy.

Secondly, the reason gold and silver are currently favored by the market is actually because funds have not flowed into the real economy. The scale of national debt is continuously expanding, and government spending is constantly increasing. However, this excess liquidity cannot be lent out due to the sluggish real economy; it can only circulate within the financial system, and gold and silver are very good assets.

During the US interest rate hike cycle, these funds actually flowed into the US reverse repurchase agreements. Due to the continuous rise in interest rates, the returns on reverse repurchase agreements became more stable and generous. The scale of reverse repurchase agreements once reached a peak of 2 trillion dollars.

Since the end of the US interest rate hike cycle, funds have been continuously flowing out of the US reverse repurchase market and into precious metals and the US stock market.

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When I was trading contracts in 2018, I once exploded 10 BTC.

Now, whenever I'm about to get too excited while trading contracts, I check the market and calculate how much 10 BTC is worth now.

I looked at the rise list, and the blockchain gaming sector has started to explode.
However, I need to remind everyone that this sector is mostly filled with worthless tokens. If it's just a worthless token, that's fine; meme coins also rise wildly, but many in the blockchain gaming sector are VC coins. Many projects have a large amount of unlocked selling pressure. It's best not to have grand ambitions in this sector; just make a few points and run, otherwise you'll end up holding the bag. #加密市场观察

The fan coin track has basically been launched
If you missed the leading CHZ and the Binance-related SANTOS
Then you can take a look at $LAZIO and $PORTO
These two fan coins, from a monthly perspective, have also been in a sideways accumulation for several months, currently at the stage of just starting, the only drawback is the lack of liquidity, can only be in small positions, currently the best liquidity in the fan coin track is CHZ and SANTOS, and both have contracts, the probability of market makers stirring things up is higher.

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