小七币圈陪跑专家

The morning session today saw a clear upward surge: #比特币 rose from the intraday low to nearly $96k, with very straightforward volatility.
But I'll just give one reminder: a strong short-term move doesn't mean the major range has been broken.
After the surge, the two most important things to watch are:
1) Whether the pullback can hold (without breaking down)
2) Whether the breakout can be sustained (not just a spike)
Only when it's sustained can it be called a 'breakout'; otherwise, it's just 'rally followed by a drop' driven by emotion.
#行情分析📈 #BTC #币圈 #smallqibiquanpeipaoexpert

I've seen too many accounts go out, not because of a single big loss,
but because they broke down mentally during a period of volatility:
They were still disciplined just a couple of days ago, but started placing frequent trial trades on the third day,
by the fifth day they were saying 'I just won't believe it,'
and finally, they kept increasing their position size and speeding up their pace.
The outcome is always the same: not lost to the market, but to 'impatience.'#币安上线币安人生 #Cryptocurrency Market Watch

Urgent! Bitcoin breaks through $96,000! Is the 100,000 barrier a狂欢 or a trap? A top-taking signal has already emerged!
1. As shown in the chart, Bitcoin has strongly broken through the dense resistance zone of $95,000–$96,000, reaching a peak of $96,500, setting a two-month high! But beware, the next major resistance lies at the psychological barrier of $99,000–$100,000. This area is compounded by previous trapped positions and ETF profit-taking, creating pressure as solid as a wall—be ready with short positions! The core question: Why has BTC surged逆势 despite the odds?

2. Looking at the timeline, the trigger for the surge at $BTC was the U.S. December core CPI dropping to 2.6%, cooling down more than expected, coupled with risk-off demand triggered by political turmoil at the Federal Reserve. Funds have rushed into 'digital gold' to hedge risks. More importantly, institutional ETF holdings have surpassed 1 million units, with daily net inflows exceeding $117 million, giving a strong boost to the bulls.

3. But long-time followers know, Xiao Qi is here to pour cold water: The Fed will absolutely not cut rates in January! CME FedWatch data shows a 95.6% probability of rate hold, with only 4.4% chance of a cut. An increasing number of hawkish committee members have effectively locked in the short-term tightening space. The current surge is a typical 'expectation-overdone rebound.' $99,000–$100,000 is the ultimate top of this rally—chasing higher is just buying the top!

4. For short-term trading, Xiao Qi reminded last week: 'Do not short below $92,000; wait for a breakout above $95,000 before positioning.' Those who followed the rhythm should have already captured a round of rebound gains. Currently, BTC is oscillating around $96,000. It’s advisable to close part of your position now to lock in profits, then wait and observe until the $98,000–$99,000 range to re-enter with heavy short positions, setting a stop-loss above $100,500.

5. Long-term investors, note: Keep your 2x short positions unchanged! Xiao Qi has already placed an 80,000 U add-on at $96,000, targeting the FOMC meeting at the end of January. Ethereum is also under caution: $3,350–$3,400 is a strong resistance zone—$ETH can be used to simultaneously establish short positions to hedge risk.

6. Reviewing the trading track: From shorting at $126,000 to taking profit at $80,000, then reversing to go long at $90,000, and now reopening shorts at $96,000—every move has been perfectly timed with market rhythm. The core of this battle is the 'divergence between expectations and reality.' When the FOMC meeting at the end of January delivers its verdict and the rate-cut expectations collapse, the correction will begin! Whether right or wrong doesn’t matter—let’s see the final account results by month-end!
$ETH @小七币圈陪跑专家

📊 Today's Short-term Market Strategy Suggestions
➡️ Short-term traders can monitor:
• BTC: Slightly bullish and continue buying if it breaks above $96k and confirms with a first pullback, otherwise expect range-bound trading
• ETH: Confirm breakout volume around $3,350 before considering a slightly bullish position
➡️ Medium-term traders should pay attention to:
• BTC: Holding above $90k support is key for long-term bullish outlook
• ETH: Holding above $3,000 is necessary to continue building the next phase of upward structure

After running together for so long,
I've become increasingly certain of one thing:
Those who can run the farthest
never rely on sheer momentum.

Whether it's trading,
or life in general,
stability and sustainability
are always more important than a sudden burst.

It's okay to go a little slower,
as long as you're still on the track.#加密市场观察

Say a fact that many people are unwilling to admit:
People are naturally not suited for high-frequency, long-term, strictly enforced trading.
Greed, fear, hesitation, revenge trading,
are not personality issues,
but the default settings of human nature.
And precisely because of this,
most people in the market don't lose due to lack of knowledge,
but because they fail to act—
they know what they should do, yet can't do it.
This is also why,
more and more traders are trying to use
rule-based, systematic, automated approaches,
to counteract human nature itself.

Current #比特币 is still within a range-bound structure, repeatedly testing upper and lower levels without confirming a trend.
In such market conditions, the worst thing to do is emotionally chasing gains or panic-selling.
I focus more on whether key levels are effectively held, rather than every minor fluctuation during the session.
During consolidation periods, survival matters more than prediction.

666

Today's market situation, I'll just say one thing in plain language: Focus on the 'key levels,' not the 'sentiment levels.'
In a ranging structure, price loves to poke up and down, sweeping liquidity.
So I won't call a direction in the middle of the range; I only watch two things:
1: Whether the upper boundary is 'solidly held'
2: Whether the lower boundary is 'broken through and fails to retest'
Until confirmed, all chasing rallies or panic selling is just: handing your account over to volatility.